Silly-Airline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-16 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

87% 96% -$2

Politics

8% 88% -$16

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 18:05
will four or more people dissent the march fed decision	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-18 18:49
will trumps remarks not air 888	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-06 13:41
nyc mayor of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 40 59	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	03-27 15:12
will mrbeasts latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	04-07 21:13
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-30 16:29
highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 18 19f	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-16 05:59
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 3?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-05 01:05
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 13:03
Will Rhun ap Iorwerth be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 20:01
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 21:34
will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-31 19:26
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 19 2026 24c	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-19 11:05
highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 17c	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-17 11:19
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	07-15 06:38
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-29 15:15
will wti reach 115 by june 15 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 10:38
will sydney eugene be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759032	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	07-16 10:25
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-29 03:24
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	07-02 16:17
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-25 13:17
highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 18corhigher	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-19 17:29
will crooks season 2 be the 2 global netflix show this week	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	04-20 00:09
highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 12c	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-16 10:54
will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 02:51
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-25 12:05
Will Christi Jacobsen be the Republican nominee for MT-01?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-01 12:33
will prince andrew record an interview by march 31	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-30 05:57
highest temperature in atlanta on january 31 28 29f	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-30 22:51
highest temperature in paris on february 24 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-24 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 10:25:13	will sydney eugene be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759032	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1d338e…
07-15 06:38:28	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x610590…
07-14 01:58:22	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xd85038…
07-04 01:33:20	will sydney eugene be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759032	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6c946b…
07-02 16:17:40	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x32bc3d…
06-25 13:17:41	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa6a7c0…
06-25 12:05:59	Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xebf0ef…
06-15 17:05:30	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2c6120…
06-15 10:38:54	will wti reach 115 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd8c81f…
06-09 04:01:37	Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa9e3a5…
06-05 13:03:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7bd8fb…
06-05 09:06:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x508f7f…
06-01 12:33:00	Will Christi Jacobsen be the Republican nominee for MT-01?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x630add…
05-29 07:34:38	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x134fde…
05-29 03:24:50	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc0dbfe…
05-25 05:48:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xb9899b…
05-20 21:34:57	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x6f9c1a…
05-19 23:36:19	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x30a132…
05-18 00:04:21	Will William Brown be the Republican nominee for GA-11?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3f3032…
05-16 18:05:43	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x566dbc…
05-15 00:04:19	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8d6ba0…
05-10 16:41:15	Will Jesse Findling win American Idol Season 24?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xddc61b…
05-07 20:01:14	Will Rhun ap Iorwerth be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xbbdea0…
05-06 05:30:12	Will Rhun ap Iorwerth be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x50a4b0…
05-05 01:05:52	Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 3?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xac20c1…
05-04 17:45:54	Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 3?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd1f5a2…
04-29 21:49:14	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xfc7faf…
04-27 17:07:38	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9815f6…
04-23 20:01:36	will mrbeasts video get between 82 and 83 million views on day 6	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x93d5d4…
04-20 00:09:08	will crooks season 2 be the 2 global netflix show this week	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x6c9cb0…
04-16 01:51:44	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf3e210…
04-13 00:00:23	will trust me the false prophet be the 2 global netflix show this week	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6842c4…
04-07 21:13:15	will mrbeasts latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x657a49…
04-07 18:21:41	will mrbeasts latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x438a46…
04-06 13:41:21	will trumps remarks not air 888	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xa958d9…
04-05 04:29:57	will trumps remarks not air 888	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x9ffacb…
03-31 19:26:29	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa072e0…
03-30 19:26:27	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x2fc9ea…
03-30 16:29:21	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xe5bbd3…
03-30 05:57:24	will prince andrew record an interview by march 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdc86af…
03-30 00:08:06	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1a1a34…
03-29 15:15:22	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa65154…
03-29 01:51:36	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xd96c55…
03-27 15:12:13	nyc mayor of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 40 59	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x715409…
03-26 16:56:45	nyc mayor of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 40 59	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x70d117…
03-25 19:36:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x162fe8…
03-19 17:29:03	highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x118c09…
03-19 11:05:03	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 19 2026 24c	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x96b8f4…
03-18 18:49:03	will four or more people dissent the march fed decision	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3073c8…
03-18 18:18:07	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 19 2026 24c	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x6b8887…
03-18 02:51:15	will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x670337…
03-17 22:50:21	will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x71acbd…
03-17 17:02:27	highest temperature in madrid on march 17 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x79e26a…
03-17 17:02:27	highest temperature in madrid on march 17 2026 23c	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x28de22…
03-17 11:19:53	highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 17c	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x622247…
03-17 11:15:23	highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 36c	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x887047…
03-17 00:00:23	will four or more people dissent the march fed decision	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xd3a9f4…
03-17 00:00:23	will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x54332f…
03-16 18:48:11	will jensen huang say data center at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x130ec0…
03-16 12:02:27	highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 17c	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xbee1e2…
03-16 12:02:27	highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 36c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa9dd78…
03-16 10:54:03	highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 12c	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x53d182…
03-16 10:06:47	highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 68 69f	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x778f8b…
03-16 05:59:25	highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 18 19f	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xeb22be…
03-16 04:18:15	highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 18 19f	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeb9977…
03-16 03:41:21	highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 12c	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1bac66…
03-16 00:25:39	will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x280c3c…
03-15 14:43:15	will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 32m and 35m	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x22ea89…
03-15 12:49:29	will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 32m and 35m	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb9fcfa…
03-15 08:24:09	will jensen huang say data center at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x68976b…
03-12 23:41:37	Will Ryan Binkley be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x627c7e…
03-11 04:00:27	will kelvin buck be the democratic nominee for ms 01	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6b675f…
03-11 01:49:15	will cliff johnson be the democratic nominee for ms 01	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6f7bda…
03-10 18:54:43	will the dinosaurs be the top us netflix show this week	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xabbe18…
03-10 18:54:29	will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa057c2…
03-10 03:33:55	will project hail mary score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb46b01…
03-10 03:29:53	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 577	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2e7755…
03-09 23:55:47	will war machine be the top global netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3fbc86…
03-09 18:09:05	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 9 be between 2800000 and 3000000	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xaa7853…
03-09 00:00:27	will cliff johnson be the democratic nominee for ms 01	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x22f1c4…
03-09 00:00:21	will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x32666b…
03-09 00:00:19	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 577	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x51e02f…
03-09 00:00:19	will war machine be the top global netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x12da04…
03-09 00:00:19	will kelvin buck be the democratic nominee for ms 01	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x119988…
03-09 00:00:17	will the dinosaurs be the top us netflix show this week	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x207eda…
03-08 00:00:09	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 9 be between 2800000 and 3000000	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x4b9f87…
03-06 16:17:57	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xedd056…
03-06 11:32:35	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt6	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x43e794…
03-05 22:50:49	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt6	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x47e24f…
03-04 01:55:49	will jasmine crockett win the texas democratic senate primary by 5 or more	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x259027…
03-04 00:00:51	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4d47a0…
03-02 19:40:11	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 38 39f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf37234…
03-02 13:45:29	will jasmine crockett win the texas democratic senate primary by 5 or more	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7b6117…
03-02 09:26:29	Will Ryan Binkley be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb56d73…
03-01 20:38:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7c08a3…
03-01 07:02:09	us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7e3067…
03-01 00:01:41	will project hail mary score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x019ed4…
02-28 06:52:19	highest temperature in chicago on february 28 2026 42forhigher	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x34f299…
02-28 04:48:11	highest temperature in chicago on february 28 2026 42forhigher	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6ab403…
02-27 17:13:47	highest temperature in toronto on february 27 2026 2corbelow	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x23652c…