Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$76

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-18

last 11-01 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

85% 54% +$1

Politics

10% 86% +$4

Tech

4% 67% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$1	94¢	$2	+$1	08-18 17:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 05:44
will xagusd reach 65 by september 7 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-11 04:57
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-10 20:26
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-20 00:50
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-14 18:31
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-03 11:05
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-21 11:25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-24 10:14
will meta reach 780 by september 21 2026	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-22 23:24
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-24 19:25
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-15 02:32
next mythos class model released by september 3 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-01 14:57
next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	08-28 22:29
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-13 22:25
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-19 02:54
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-29 08:32
will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	08-18 07:50
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-30 12:09
will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	08-27 01:55
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	-$1	08-31 10:54
spy up or down on august 26 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	08-26 17:23
xagusd up or down on august 26 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	08-26 09:11
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-01 06:56
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-07 17:15
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-25 03:30
spy up or down on august 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	08-21 02:54
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-03 02:11
will pltr dip to 180 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-29 16:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-25 22:31
will xagusd dip to 66 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-30 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 21:58:00	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x495164…
10-28 16:17:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc22ad0…
10-28 07:56:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x705668…
10-27 11:46:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8629fe…
10-27 03:32:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe817a3…
10-23 00:11:30	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0e25c5…
10-22 16:09:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1bf98d…
10-21 07:39:51	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3a0de1…
10-18 23:36:51	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x39d454…
10-18 12:11:54	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc09bc9…
10-18 00:07:51	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd9d9a0…
10-17 15:44:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7e4912…
10-15 14:07:23	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x13b72f…
10-14 01:37:43	will meta reach 770 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe42805…
10-13 16:19:33	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6e94c1…
10-10 19:34:48	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd72297…
10-10 04:48:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfe91c1…
10-09 11:54:04	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4a4895…
10-09 03:53:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe7b97d…
10-08 19:53:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf85ed1…
10-08 03:56:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xde7759…
10-06 18:20:02	will abnb reach 164 by october 5 2026 from october 6	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc63982…
10-06 10:06:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf2b693…
10-06 02:06:13	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x321364…
10-05 17:51:28	will pltr reach 192 by october 5 2026 from october 5	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc92f72…
10-05 09:42:31	will abnb dip to 158 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6c1a9c…
10-05 00:29:07	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5c53bf…
10-02 07:35:59	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0834f8…
10-01 12:19:15	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb1071c…
10-01 04:03:57	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb84c80…
09-30 18:03:23	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x926264…
09-30 07:25:35	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2586ba…
09-29 10:30:30	will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbdd0ce…
09-27 21:01:47	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf08201…
09-27 11:49:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4e1335…
09-22 23:24:16	will meta reach 780 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xbae56b…
09-20 00:50:21	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc3036d…
09-19 05:44:57	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x056e45…
09-15 02:32:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0b4ac8…
09-14 18:31:58	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x39997a…
09-13 22:25:43	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x783982…
09-11 04:57:51	will xagusd reach 65 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x669958…
09-10 20:26:06	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xd1a124…
09-07 17:15:37	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x02eecc…
09-03 11:05:37	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x243fe8…
09-03 02:11:22	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xe5c646…
09-01 14:57:30	next mythos class model released by september 3 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x268f02…
09-01 06:56:25	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x877ecd…
08-31 10:54:17	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x075ab9…
08-30 12:09:48	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x496e5a…
08-30 01:52:31	will xagusd dip to 66 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x653ced…
08-29 16:43:13	will pltr dip to 180 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x360312…
08-29 08:32:31	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x84d87e…
08-28 22:29:12	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9cbab0…
08-27 01:55:30	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x62b9fa…
08-26 17:23:30	spy up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7930ee…
08-26 09:11:31	xagusd up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4124c2…
08-25 22:31:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x8fed4a…
08-25 03:30:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x30b99b…
08-24 19:25:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x4808af…
08-24 10:14:45	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x103660…
08-24 02:10:21	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x996a78…
08-21 11:25:18	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x4f0087…
08-21 02:54:09	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x6f94dc…
08-21 02:51:31	will warsh say challenge during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa85b57…
08-20 18:41:16	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x4dda28…
08-19 02:54:18	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8ae9bf…
08-18 17:09:03	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3c5498…
08-18 07:50:49	will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc7c199…