Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$44.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$472

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 08-21 07:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$23

Other

0% 75% -$5

Politics

0% 60% -$4

Tech

0% 50% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No		-2	-$2	52¢	$-1	+$0	07-29 03:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	44	$28.0K	14,979	13,122	+1,857	Yes	+$15	03-30 00:55
bitcoin above 62k on march 30	5	$9.3K	4,678	4,678	+0	Yes	+$6	03-30 02:44
bitcoin above 80k on april 1	3	$6.9K	3,479	3,470	+9	No	+$0	03-30 01:24
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	02-21 21:25
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	03-03 20:59
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	2	$8	5	3	+2	No	+$0	03-26 02:54
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	2	$7	6	2	+3	Yes	+$1	03-26 10:08
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $330 end of April?	2	$6	4	3	+2	Yes	+$0	04-18 05:31
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	-$6	05-13 20:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 10:17
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$6	6	3	+3	Yes	+$1	03-24 03:08
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-21 07:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 6	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-06 10:24
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	1	$5	0	5	-5	No	$0	07-02 03:32
ethereum above 2300 on march 16	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-14 23:33
aapl up or down on march 18 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	03-18 17:50
Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-18 00:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$4	3	1	+2	No	+$0	03-22 07:44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	-$4	02-15 11:38
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	03-31 15:19
spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	-$4	02-24 11:11
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	02-23 08:43
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	-$3	02-21 02:36
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-29 19:54
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt5 and 3pt0	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	02-19 00:06
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-09 11:27
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	-$3	02-16 11:46
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-20 08:33
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	05-15 13:21
will bitcoin reach 68500 on march 8	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-09 00:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 07:32:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcafed6…
07-29 03:14:05	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0xf90693…
07-02 03:32:23	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa65a8b…
07-02 03:31:59	Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x507703…
06-17 15:15:49	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xcaacce…
05-18 00:40:11	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb239eb…
05-15 13:21:44	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x20910e…
05-13 20:31:39	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xf1a296…
04-18 05:31:12	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $330 end of April?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x337661…
04-11 10:48:51	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $330 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe300d1…
04-06 10:24:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 6	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xfc72cf…
03-31 15:19:17	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x760f0f…
03-30 02:44:30	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$398	0xe1c81f…
03-30 02:43:38	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	SELL	2,378	99¢	$2,366	0x72627f…
03-30 02:01:22	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,188	0x74addf…
03-30 01:51:46	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	SELL	1,900	100¢	$1,891	0x3be2e9…
03-30 01:41:58	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	3,478	100¢	$3,461	0x72778f…
03-30 01:24:30	bitcoin above 80k on april 1	No	SELL	2,493	100¢	$2,488	0x978aae…
03-30 01:19:32	bitcoin above 80k on april 1	No	SELL	977	100¢	$975	0x93c21a…
03-30 01:15:14	bitcoin above 80k on april 1	No	BUY	3,479	100¢	$3,472	0x8b13db…
03-30 00:55:26	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x489076…
03-30 00:55:24	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x910e2c…
03-30 00:55:22	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x638247…
03-30 00:54:58	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x740e4d…
03-30 00:54:56	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x7366cf…
03-30 00:54:54	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$105	0x1031a7…
03-30 00:54:50	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x262301…
03-30 00:54:00	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf9e367…
03-30 00:54:00	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xecc129…
03-30 00:54:00	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8178f6…
03-30 00:54:00	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x70fcc8…
03-30 00:54:00	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5c0358…
03-30 00:54:00	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x383287…
03-30 00:52:28	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	2,901	100¢	$2,892	0x5fe189…
03-30 00:41:36	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	3,480	100¢	$3,470	0xa18395…
03-30 00:39:02	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	2,599	100¢	$2,592	0x1370e7…
03-30 00:38:52	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$106	0x23d0dc…
03-30 00:38:50	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$106	0xe20d00…
03-30 00:38:50	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$105	0x88ca38…
03-30 00:38:50	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$105	0x7008ae…
03-30 00:37:02	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$106	0x353303…
03-30 00:36:46	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x0cbe1f…
03-30 00:36:44	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$105	0xdadcde…
03-30 00:36:44	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x0f40b5…
03-30 00:36:42	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe8e107…
03-30 00:30:58	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	3,473	100¢	$3,463	0x009c3b…
03-29 22:49:58	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	1,483	100¢	$1,479	0x41ca15…
03-29 22:46:12	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	857	100¢	$854	0x70b6e0…
03-29 22:46:04	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	1,251	100¢	$1,247	0xb2e947…
03-29 22:46:00	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	1,380	100¢	$1,376	0xe989b0…
03-29 19:54:16	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x3b9f03…
03-29 15:41:06	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	1,280	100¢	$1,276	0x5922ad…
03-29 11:51:22	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0x096204…
03-29 10:35:44	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x995e58…
03-29 10:01:34	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x431ad2…
03-29 09:59:34	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	1,345	100¢	$1,340	0x60625f…
03-29 09:45:54	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x9d698c…
03-29 08:26:22	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	590	99¢	$586	0xefc836…
03-29 08:24:56	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	2,055	100¢	$2,047	0xb7e0cb…
03-29 08:04:14	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8dfabb…
03-29 07:36:04	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	409	99¢	$406	0xd0728a…
03-29 05:37:36	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x0753e4…
03-29 02:55:38	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x3b840c…
03-29 02:55:28	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	955	100¢	$950	0x1d607a…
03-29 02:54:38	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x35aaef…
03-28 08:22:07	will solana dip to 80 on march 28	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0333e0…
03-26 10:08:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa7115f…
03-26 02:54:55	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xbf3c4d…
03-24 03:08:49	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x79f326…
03-22 22:23:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xddaed2…
03-22 07:44:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1441f8…
03-20 08:33:25	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc8726d…
03-18 17:50:17	aapl up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4edf68…
03-14 23:33:53	ethereum above 2300 on march 16	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xec7ecf…
03-14 15:32:45	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xf7d105…
03-10 10:44:35	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x330f87…
03-09 00:08:53	will bitcoin reach 68500 on march 8	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x89f1eb…
03-07 05:26:45	taylor swift pregnant by march 31	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x418658…
03-06 11:14:43	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6dd63e…
03-05 10:17:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x36206e…
03-03 20:59:29	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x5ddda1…
03-02 21:48:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x96fa07…
03-02 01:11:43	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdf5bc5…
02-26 15:44:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x7cf915…
02-24 11:11:32	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2a061b…
02-23 08:43:02	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdf2486…
02-21 21:25:54	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xc8fbee…
02-21 02:36:48	will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xebadd3…
02-19 07:33:36	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xf94340…
02-19 00:06:00	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt5 and 3pt0	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xd16604…
02-16 11:46:37	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x1a486f…
02-15 11:38:15	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5cdddf…
02-09 11:27:05	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x65d459…
02-06 11:39:47	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0xddaef0…