Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$42

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-18

last 10-24 12:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

87% 59% -$37

Sports

11% 50% -$34

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	+20	$15	88¢	$18	+$3	07-20 06:40
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+15	$6	58¢	$9	+$3	08-26 12:45
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10	-$1	85¢	$9	+$10	10-21 07:48
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+15	$8	39¢	$6	-$2	09-24 15:37
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10	$4	14¢	$1	-$3	10-22 13:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	6	$346	190	190	+0	No	+$6	07-28 22:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	3	$146	75	75	+0	No	+$2	08-26 03:13
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$102	180	20	+160	Yes	-$3	10-21 07:45
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	12	$98	196	27	+169	No	+$5	10-24 12:51
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$90	54	54	+0	Yes	+$10	07-19 00:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	7	$77	200	200	+0	No	-$17	08-31 13:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	6	$73	59	59	+0	Yes	+$6	07-21 13:44
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$51	209	66	+143	No	-$44	07-19 00:45
will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	07-29 14:29
will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 4	4	$36	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	09-18 08:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	6	$34	395	395	+0	No	-$33	08-31 13:06
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$30	200	100	+100	No	+$6	10-24 12:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	2	$27	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	09-18 06:48
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	1	$24	41	0	+41	Under	+$17	07-19 09:20
will wti reach 100 in september 2026	1	$18	25	0	+25	Yes	-$18	08-31 22:13
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	07-20 06:40
will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	1	$12	20	0	+20	Yes	+$8	08-06 11:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	3	$12	40	40	+0	No	+$1	08-31 13:07
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$11	120	0	+120	No	-$11	08-01 13:55
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	09-24 15:37
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	2	$7	20	10	+10	open	—	10-21 07:48
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	08-26 12:45
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	10-22 13:28
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$4	115	0	+115	No	-$4	07-20 04:36
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$3	125	0	+125	No	-$3	10-01 23:28
will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	5	$3	40	40	-0	No	+$1	07-30 00:52
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	3	$2	170	170	+0	open	—	09-15 08:33
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	13	$2	400	0	+400	open	—	10-21 18:29
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$1	120	0	+120	No	-$1	08-02 03:31
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	5	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	08-02 05:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 12:51:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xe5dc31…
10-24 12:50:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	38	18¢	$7	0x53cf43…
10-24 12:49:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	62	18¢	$11	0xc37972…
10-22 13:28:09	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf1833c…
10-21 18:29:48	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xa3f3d7…
10-21 18:29:48	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0x59d729…
10-21 18:29:47	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0xfdeccc…
10-21 18:29:47	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$0	0xbe1968…
10-21 18:29:47	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x50e160…
10-21 17:29:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xcbced9…
10-21 17:29:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x9bc46f…
10-21 17:29:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x704c0c…
10-21 17:29:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5f82b9…
10-21 17:29:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x34fc17…
10-21 17:29:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2f9980…
10-21 07:52:17	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xae7a70…
10-21 07:50:41	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x932d06…
10-21 07:48:18	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x78a9a1…
10-21 07:46:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xb5959e…
10-21 07:45:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x6182ad…
10-04 20:15:04	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x2f01fe…
10-03 03:58:00	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf2d5cf…
10-03 03:12:21	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xaa3b12…
10-02 01:28:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x01923c…
10-02 01:25:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xdc1304…
10-02 01:19:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x8705b6…
10-02 01:09:48	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x88783f…
10-02 01:06:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5ce0f3…
10-01 23:28:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	125	3¢	$3	0x183732…
10-01 23:25:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0xef2017…
10-01 12:40:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0x9de6a0…
09-29 13:59:50	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	64	57¢	$36	0x3ed406…
09-24 15:37:05	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x245fea…
09-18 08:42:27	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 4	Yes	SELL	35	51¢	$18	0x9c915e…
09-18 08:37:30	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 4	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xcab98d…
09-18 06:48:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xacda88…
09-17 13:41:49	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 4	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb736c7…
09-17 13:40:54	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 4	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x91354a…
09-17 13:17:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xe1fb15…
09-15 08:33:30	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x1ca847…
09-15 07:04:00	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x0c7873…
09-09 10:04:07	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xed528d…
08-31 22:13:55	will wti reach 100 in september 2026	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xbb21e4…
08-31 13:07:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbe3219…
08-31 13:06:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x33ad28…
08-31 13:06:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	SELL	395	0¢	$0	0x90ea51…
08-30 21:53:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xfe5ec5…
08-26 12:45:01	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x8149bf…
08-26 12:41:04	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xd08e9a…
08-26 09:14:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	SELL	25	24¢	$6	0x56e672…
08-26 03:13:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xcf6275…
08-25 20:24:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xbbd72f…
08-25 14:30:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$50	0xe9a831…
08-25 14:18:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xc73c4b…
08-25 13:34:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe59481…
08-25 13:33:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x3d21c4…
08-25 13:32:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0xa5e172…
08-25 13:24:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$4	0xf7d3a6…
08-25 13:20:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0xfadc2f…
08-25 13:19:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x7bf5d5…
08-25 13:18:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xc7675b…
08-07 13:43:37	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x5f1e85…
08-06 11:53:20	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc36319…
08-06 11:53:08	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x750fd9…
08-06 11:51:56	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x9a9c13…
08-04 21:44:32	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x951e18…
08-02 10:11:24	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x0b1385…
08-02 05:20:57	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xfa291e…
08-02 03:31:08	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x3f695c…
08-02 02:25:08	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x62622f…
08-02 02:22:32	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf37e71…
08-02 02:22:32	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6f7113…
08-02 02:22:32	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x14c340…
08-02 02:15:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x363a81…
08-02 01:48:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	36	46¢	$17	0x2fabe7…
08-02 00:33:39	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x73903a…
08-01 13:55:23	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xe42557…
07-30 00:52:08	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x93e4df…
07-29 14:29:57	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x40bf6b…
07-29 13:11:06	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x1ec78a…
07-28 22:37:32	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xacc602…
07-28 22:26:04	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	74	91¢	$67	0x02d65e…
07-28 22:25:37	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x7b25bc…
07-28 16:40:26	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x82015d…
07-28 15:38:29	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x434e6f…
07-28 15:24:14	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xf0b372…
07-28 14:40:49	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x780486…
07-28 14:17:28	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf89367…
07-25 13:46:33	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x813bbd…
07-25 13:44:42	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf25eee…
07-24 01:03:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xaad9f7…
07-24 01:02:15	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x34fbb4…
07-21 13:44:25	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xc69424…
07-21 13:01:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x3863a1…
07-21 05:05:37	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xed2c51…
07-20 06:40:40	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x844cc5…
07-20 04:48:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	41	33¢	$14	0x056e28…
07-20 04:43:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9d7b38…
07-20 04:36:18	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$4	0xea64db…
07-20 04:34:37	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xd4e399…