Orange-Bargain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,560

lifetime

Volume

$38.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-14 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776101700	1	$131	145	0	+145	open	—	04-13 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$122	67	67	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 13:09
btc updown 5m 1776101100	1	$109	132	0	+132	open	—	04-13 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$100	122	0	+122	Up	+$22	05-04 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$100	134	0	+134	Up	+$34	05-04 21:49
btc updown 5m 1776114300	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	04-13 21:06
btc updown 5m 1776108000	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	04-13 19:22
btc updown 5m 1776103500	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	04-13 18:09
btc updown 5m 1780641900	3	$75	85	0	+85	open	—	06-05 06:48
btc updown 5m 1780645200	3	$75	94	0	+94	open	—	06-05 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$70	79	0	+79	open	—	06-01 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-01 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$70	75	0	+75	open	—	06-01 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	06-01 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	06-02 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$70	79	0	+79	open	—	05-31 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	06-01 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$70	76	0	+76	open	—	06-01 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	06-02 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$70	81	0	+81	open	—	06-02 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-01 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-02 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	06-02 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-02 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-01 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-02 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$70	75	0	+75	open	—	06-01 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-02 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-02 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-02 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 22:18:06	btc updown 5m 1781475300	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xe30742…
06-14 22:13:03	btc updown 5m 1781475000	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x28b2cd…
06-14 22:08:09	btc updown 5m 1781474700	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8e72cb…
06-14 21:58:33	btc updown 5m 1781474100	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xa3b12e…
06-14 21:43:06	btc updown 5m 1781473200	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb220fe…
06-14 21:28:55	btc updown 5m 1781472300	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb210e9…
06-14 20:38:04	btc updown 5m 1781469300	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x94da09…
06-14 17:58:21	btc updown 5m 1781459700	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x792d14…
06-14 17:08:49	btc updown 5m 1781456700	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5ee9f8…
06-14 16:13:39	btc updown 5m 1781453400	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1a1fb4…
06-14 15:23:06	btc updown 5m 1781450400	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb902f3…
06-14 14:53:36	btc updown 5m 1781448600	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xde3656…
06-14 14:49:19	btc updown 5m 1781448300	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x5e41a6…
06-14 14:33:10	btc updown 5m 1781447400	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xe3b619…
06-14 14:04:03	btc updown 5m 1781445600	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf65d06…
06-14 09:19:12	btc updown 5m 1781428500	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x61fd8e…
06-14 06:34:04	btc updown 5m 1781418600	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb75c4f…
06-14 06:23:57	btc updown 5m 1781418000	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2d6108…
06-14 06:03:12	btc updown 5m 1781416800	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb3eaa2…
06-14 00:33:07	btc updown 5m 1781397000	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xb1152c…
06-14 00:28:03	btc updown 5m 1781396700	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x653ac5…
06-14 00:23:51	btc updown 5m 1781396400	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd642a3…
06-13 21:13:31	btc updown 5m 1781385000	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe33893…
06-13 18:28:21	btc updown 5m 1781375100	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x49eb1a…
06-13 18:23:06	btc updown 5m 1781374800	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x953c62…
06-13 17:19:13	btc updown 5m 1781370900	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc80c83…
06-13 16:49:00	btc updown 5m 1781369100	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xeec7f8…
06-13 16:28:04	btc updown 5m 1781367900	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xeb4ab3…
06-13 16:23:45	btc updown 5m 1781367600	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x583bb2…
06-13 16:08:49	btc updown 5m 1781366700	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x98c462…
06-13 16:03:25	btc updown 5m 1781366400	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf13a9b…
06-13 15:43:48	btc updown 5m 1781365200	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa1fa36…
06-13 15:13:57	btc updown 5m 1781363400	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd008ed…
06-13 14:04:07	btc updown 5m 1781359200	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe90690…
06-13 13:48:27	btc updown 5m 1781358300	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa52d73…
06-13 12:58:15	btc updown 5m 1781355300	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x3a08b1…
06-13 12:33:27	btc updown 5m 1781353800	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xdd9b98…
06-13 07:38:12	btc updown 5m 1781336100	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x98f60d…
06-13 00:34:06	btc updown 5m 1781310600	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x042d01…
06-12 22:33:48	btc updown 5m 1781303400	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd9ec14…
06-12 22:23:09	btc updown 5m 1781302800	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x383d47…
06-08 16:38:34	btc updown 5m 1780936500	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x85a5cd…
06-08 16:33:06	btc updown 5m 1780936200	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xbc7973…
06-08 16:28:07	btc updown 5m 1780935900	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfb85d6…
06-08 16:24:21	btc updown 5m 1780935600	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xe16824…
06-08 16:18:25	btc updown 5m 1780935300	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x0a14b7…
06-08 16:13:03	btc updown 5m 1780935000	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x02b22d…
06-08 16:09:27	btc updown 5m 1780934700	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x6ace6a…
06-08 15:58:04	btc updown 5m 1780934100	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x49bc1f…
06-08 15:38:18	btc updown 5m 1780932900	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xb0aa19…
06-08 15:23:15	btc updown 5m 1780932000	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x6e0605…
06-08 15:18:33	btc updown 5m 1780931700	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3da57a…
06-08 15:13:09	btc updown 5m 1780931400	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x10f50b…
06-08 15:08:46	btc updown 5m 1780931100	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x552c0d…
06-08 15:03:06	btc updown 5m 1780930800	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xa57f1a…
06-08 14:58:21	btc updown 5m 1780930500	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf6bfef…
06-08 14:38:10	btc updown 5m 1780929300	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x2a74fb…
06-08 14:33:04	btc updown 5m 1780929000	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xc0f208…
06-08 14:24:10	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x8d0b54…
06-08 14:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780928100	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x48a855…
06-08 14:14:18	btc updown 5m 1780927800	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x61e44b…
06-08 14:08:10	btc updown 5m 1780927500	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x42e526…
06-08 14:04:03	btc updown 5m 1780927200	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xc0a964…
06-08 13:53:28	btc updown 5m 1780926600	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3489f2…
06-08 13:38:24	btc updown 5m 1780925700	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x3bfc8c…
06-08 13:33:36	btc updown 5m 1780925400	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x107cb1…
06-08 13:18:42	btc updown 5m 1780924500	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x742569…
06-08 13:14:01	btc updown 5m 1780924200	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x9e3670…
06-08 13:08:04	btc updown 5m 1780923900	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x34767e…
06-08 13:04:12	btc updown 5m 1780923600	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x17c465…
06-08 12:54:31	btc updown 5m 1780923000	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x57cab4…
06-08 12:49:49	btc updown 5m 1780922700	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x020343…
06-08 12:43:07	btc updown 5m 1780922400	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xef15fd…
06-08 12:33:16	btc updown 5m 1780921800	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7713d9…
06-08 12:28:54	btc updown 5m 1780921500	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x1634ab…
06-08 12:23:45	btc updown 5m 1780921200	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xaa08ad…
06-08 12:03:12	btc updown 5m 1780920000	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x00a5af…
06-08 11:54:30	btc updown 5m 1780919400	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe87bea…
06-08 11:43:34	btc updown 5m 1780918800	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xae0742…
06-08 11:34:22	btc updown 5m 1780918200	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x9bf5e4…
06-08 11:23:06	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x499f80…
06-08 11:08:04	btc updown 5m 1780916700	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xffe934…
06-08 11:03:06	btc updown 5m 1780916400	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x70091d…
06-08 10:48:12	btc updown 5m 1780915500	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x59e4dd…
06-08 10:38:18	btc updown 5m 1780914900	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x6cfa63…
06-08 10:29:06	btc updown 5m 1780914300	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf9a6d2…
06-08 10:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780913700	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8299eb…
06-08 10:03:58	btc updown 5m 1780912800	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x173bf2…
06-08 09:49:00	btc updown 5m 1780911900	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3c48fc…
06-08 09:38:07	btc updown 5m 1780911300	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xdae8cd…
06-08 09:18:09	btc updown 5m 1780910100	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xb3aa2c…
06-08 08:59:15	btc updown 5m 1780908900	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x11ca72…
06-08 08:48:19	btc updown 5m 1780908300	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x08d04f…
06-08 08:23:51	btc updown 5m 1780906800	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x9d559f…
06-08 08:13:03	btc updown 5m 1780906200	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x2e672f…
06-08 08:03:25	btc updown 5m 1780905600	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa58f2e…
06-08 07:58:12	btc updown 5m 1780905300	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x9ebd68…
06-08 07:53:19	btc updown 5m 1780905000	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe93c68…
06-08 07:08:39	btc updown 5m 1780902300	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x59b63d…
06-08 07:03:04	btc updown 5m 1780902000	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x73a4f8…