Orange-Bargain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,519

lifetime

Volume

$38.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-08 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776101700	1	$131	145	0	+145	open	—	04-13 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$122	67	67	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 13:09
btc updown 5m 1776101100	1	$109	132	0	+132	open	—	04-13 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$100	122	0	+122	Up	+$22	05-04 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$100	134	0	+134	Up	+$34	05-04 21:49
btc updown 5m 1776108000	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	04-13 19:22
btc updown 5m 1776114300	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	04-13 21:06
btc updown 5m 1776103500	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	04-13 18:09
btc updown 5m 1780645200	3	$75	94	0	+94	open	—	06-05 07:44
btc updown 5m 1780641900	3	$75	85	0	+85	open	—	06-05 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-01 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$70	79	0	+79	open	—	06-01 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	06-01 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	06-02 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$70	79	0	+79	open	—	05-31 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	06-01 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$70	75	0	+75	open	—	06-01 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$70	81	0	+81	open	—	06-02 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	open	—	06-02 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$70	76	0	+76	open	—	06-01 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-02 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	05-31 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-02 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$70	76	0	+76	open	—	06-02 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-02 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	06-01 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$70	73	0	+73	open	—	06-02 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$70	75	0	+75	open	—	06-01 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-02 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	open	—	06-01 18:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 16:38:34	btc updown 5m 1780936500	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x85a5cd…
06-08 16:33:06	btc updown 5m 1780936200	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xbc7973…
06-08 16:28:07	btc updown 5m 1780935900	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfb85d6…
06-08 16:24:21	btc updown 5m 1780935600	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xe16824…
06-08 16:18:25	btc updown 5m 1780935300	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x0a14b7…
06-08 16:13:03	btc updown 5m 1780935000	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x02b22d…
06-08 16:09:27	btc updown 5m 1780934700	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x6ace6a…
06-08 15:58:04	btc updown 5m 1780934100	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x49bc1f…
06-08 15:38:18	btc updown 5m 1780932900	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xb0aa19…
06-08 15:23:15	btc updown 5m 1780932000	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x6e0605…
06-08 15:18:33	btc updown 5m 1780931700	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3da57a…
06-08 15:13:09	btc updown 5m 1780931400	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x10f50b…
06-08 15:08:46	btc updown 5m 1780931100	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x552c0d…
06-08 15:03:06	btc updown 5m 1780930800	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xa57f1a…
06-08 14:58:21	btc updown 5m 1780930500	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf6bfef…
06-08 14:38:10	btc updown 5m 1780929300	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x2a74fb…
06-08 14:33:04	btc updown 5m 1780929000	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xc0f208…
06-08 14:24:10	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x8d0b54…
06-08 14:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780928100	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x48a855…
06-08 14:14:18	btc updown 5m 1780927800	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x61e44b…
06-08 14:08:10	btc updown 5m 1780927500	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x42e526…
06-08 14:04:03	btc updown 5m 1780927200	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xc0a964…
06-08 13:53:28	btc updown 5m 1780926600	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3489f2…
06-08 13:38:24	btc updown 5m 1780925700	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x3bfc8c…
06-08 13:33:36	btc updown 5m 1780925400	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x107cb1…
06-08 13:18:42	btc updown 5m 1780924500	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x742569…
06-08 13:14:01	btc updown 5m 1780924200	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x9e3670…
06-08 13:08:04	btc updown 5m 1780923900	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x34767e…
06-08 13:04:12	btc updown 5m 1780923600	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x17c465…
06-08 12:54:31	btc updown 5m 1780923000	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x57cab4…
06-08 12:49:49	btc updown 5m 1780922700	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x020343…
06-08 12:43:07	btc updown 5m 1780922400	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xef15fd…
06-08 12:33:16	btc updown 5m 1780921800	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7713d9…
06-08 12:28:54	btc updown 5m 1780921500	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x1634ab…
06-08 12:23:45	btc updown 5m 1780921200	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xaa08ad…
06-08 12:03:12	btc updown 5m 1780920000	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x00a5af…
06-08 11:54:30	btc updown 5m 1780919400	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe87bea…
06-08 11:43:34	btc updown 5m 1780918800	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xae0742…
06-08 11:34:22	btc updown 5m 1780918200	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x9bf5e4…
06-08 11:23:06	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x499f80…
06-08 11:08:04	btc updown 5m 1780916700	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xffe934…
06-08 11:03:06	btc updown 5m 1780916400	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x70091d…
06-08 10:48:12	btc updown 5m 1780915500	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x59e4dd…
06-08 10:38:18	btc updown 5m 1780914900	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x6cfa63…
06-08 10:29:06	btc updown 5m 1780914300	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf9a6d2…
06-08 10:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780913700	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8299eb…
06-08 10:03:58	btc updown 5m 1780912800	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x173bf2…
06-08 09:49:00	btc updown 5m 1780911900	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3c48fc…
06-08 09:38:07	btc updown 5m 1780911300	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xdae8cd…
06-08 09:18:09	btc updown 5m 1780910100	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xb3aa2c…
06-08 08:59:15	btc updown 5m 1780908900	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x11ca72…
06-08 08:48:19	btc updown 5m 1780908300	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x08d04f…
06-08 08:23:51	btc updown 5m 1780906800	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x9d559f…
06-08 08:13:03	btc updown 5m 1780906200	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x2e672f…
06-08 08:03:25	btc updown 5m 1780905600	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa58f2e…
06-08 07:58:12	btc updown 5m 1780905300	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x9ebd68…
06-08 07:53:19	btc updown 5m 1780905000	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe93c68…
06-08 07:08:39	btc updown 5m 1780902300	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x59b63d…
06-08 07:03:04	btc updown 5m 1780902000	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x73a4f8…
06-08 06:54:15	btc updown 5m 1780901400	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x193481…
06-08 06:43:18	btc updown 5m 1780900800	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x34cf09…
06-08 06:38:04	btc updown 5m 1780900500	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x57557a…
06-08 06:18:18	btc updown 5m 1780899300	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x47456f…
06-08 06:09:33	btc updown 5m 1780898700	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xbe87d2…
06-08 06:03:09	btc updown 5m 1780898400	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x61b360…
06-08 05:53:57	btc updown 5m 1780897800	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa0ac3e…
06-08 05:48:33	btc updown 5m 1780897500	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x8631a7…
06-08 05:38:57	btc updown 5m 1780896900	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xf8a9e3…
06-08 05:33:06	btc updown 5m 1780896600	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x2f769c…
06-08 05:28:09	btc updown 5m 1780896300	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xac635f…
06-08 05:18:25	btc updown 5m 1780895700	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xbe93d6…
06-08 05:08:37	btc updown 5m 1780895100	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfb794d…
06-08 04:34:01	btc updown 5m 1780893000	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xf2a100…
06-08 04:29:07	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x5a4e16…
06-08 04:19:33	btc updown 5m 1780892100	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x9f5dbd…
06-08 03:49:04	btc updown 5m 1780890300	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xad70c5…
06-08 03:38:22	btc updown 5m 1780889700	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x09c56c…
06-08 03:28:18	btc updown 5m 1780889100	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x45f86c…
06-08 03:23:06	btc updown 5m 1780888800	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x24f244…
06-08 03:18:37	btc updown 5m 1780888500	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x31857d…
06-07 01:28:36	btc updown 5m 1780795500	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf2f465…
06-07 01:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780795200	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xe1fb52…
06-07 01:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780794600	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf585cb…
06-07 01:08:03	btc updown 5m 1780794300	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x9be45f…
06-07 01:03:48	btc updown 5m 1780794000	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf0ea96…
06-07 00:33:52	btc updown 5m 1780792200	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x639bb5…
06-06 23:43:03	btc updown 5m 1780789200	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xeca1df…
06-06 23:38:24	btc updown 5m 1780788900	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xbae896…
06-06 23:28:22	btc updown 5m 1780788300	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x02f474…
06-06 22:58:54	btc updown 5m 1780786500	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9f42f1…
06-06 22:33:10	btc updown 5m 1780785000	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x5c624d…
06-06 22:03:54	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xb6c71b…
06-06 21:58:03	btc updown 5m 1780782900	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x33b035…
06-06 21:23:04	btc updown 5m 1780780800	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x4b08a1…
06-06 20:48:19	btc updown 5m 1780778700	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x9ce278…
06-06 20:18:18	btc updown 5m 1780776900	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x712d26…
06-06 19:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780773300	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x47e2c1…
06-06 18:58:10	btc updown 5m 1780772100	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x0beec7…
06-06 18:49:07	btc updown 5m 1780771500	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xc8ad45…
06-06 18:38:19	btc updown 5m 1780770900	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe66b3b…