Orange-Bargain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

2,606

Trades

2,747

lifetime

Volume

$46.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 11-08 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% -$66

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:35 UTC	1	$131	145	0	+145	Down	+$15	04-13 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$122	67	67	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:25 UTC	1	$109	132	0	+132	Up	+$24	04-13 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$100	122	0	+122	Up	+$22	05-04 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$100	134	0	+134	Up	+$34	05-04 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:20 UTC	1	$100	114	0	+114	Up	+$14	04-13 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:05 UTC	1	$100	114	0	+114	Up	+$14	04-13 21:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:05 UTC	1	$100	109	0	+109	Up	+$9	04-13 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:40 UTC	3	$75	94	0	+94	Up	+$19	06-05 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:45 UTC	3	$75	85	0	+85	Down	+$10	06-05 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$70	79	0	+79	Up	+$9	06-01 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	Up	-$70	06-01 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	Up	+$10	06-01 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$70	79	0	+79	Up	+$9	05-31 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	Up	+$10	06-02 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	Down	+$10	06-01 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$70	75	0	+75	Up	+$5	06-01 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$70	80	0	+80	Up	+$10	06-02 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$70	81	0	+81	Up	-$70	06-02 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$70	76	0	+76	Down	+$6	06-02 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$70	76	0	+76	Up	+$6	06-01 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	Down	+$4	06-02 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$70	75	0	+75	Up	+$5	06-01 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	Down	+$4	06-01 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	Up	+$4	06-02 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	Down	+$4	06-02 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	Up	+$4	06-02 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$70	74	0	+74	Down	+$4	06-02 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$70	76	0	+76	Down	-$70	06-02 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$70	78	0	+78	Down	+$8	05-31 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 08:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x204ad6…
11-08 07:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x047cf5…
10-11 10:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xd45c58…
10-11 10:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x41f146…
10-11 10:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1f16dd…
10-11 10:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x52b2e6…
10-11 10:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x28c9b0…
10-11 10:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xaab8aa…
10-11 10:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x10fa8f…
10-11 09:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x50742b…
10-11 08:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf567e7…
10-11 07:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8925c3…
10-11 06:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x930b18…
10-11 05:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x31167e…
10-10 23:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xac9e09…
10-10 17:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x6c0b57…
10-10 17:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x3c382b…
10-10 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xd49140…
10-10 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xba962f…
10-10 16:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xfa26da…
10-10 16:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xd06f66…
10-10 16:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa82fcc…
10-10 16:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x091aa2…
10-10 16:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc4e10d…
10-10 14:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x8079a8…
10-10 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7bd1b2…
10-10 08:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xc826fc…
10-10 08:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x708be4…
10-09 11:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc70919…
10-09 11:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x6303b4…
10-09 11:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x50d388…
10-09 11:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x137bf1…
10-09 10:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x9d22ea…
10-09 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x593312…
10-09 07:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd3709e…
10-09 06:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf64155…
10-09 06:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd06751…
10-09 06:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x8b5301…
10-09 06:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5e8ff8…
10-09 06:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0b694c…
10-09 06:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0a0bf7…
10-09 06:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x3dafe5…
10-09 06:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x1ab120…
10-08 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xcf78b6…
10-08 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x78d410…
10-08 21:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x568f06…
10-08 20:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6c4573…
10-08 19:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xef14b2…
10-08 19:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x0f7fcd…
10-08 18:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9435cf…
10-08 12:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xe6bd71…
10-08 12:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xd10e3d…
10-08 12:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x468db4…
10-08 12:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x93826c…
10-08 11:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x4c5f9d…
10-08 08:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x7230d0…
10-08 07:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xe608f9…
10-08 06:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x7c6953…
10-08 05:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x1734e9…
10-07 19:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8ea8c4…
10-07 14:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x840be8…
10-07 14:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x9dde43…
10-07 12:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x5c583a…
10-07 11:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9974e3…
10-07 11:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x179827…
10-07 09:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x02242f…
10-07 09:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x4e7a32…
10-07 06:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x6069c8…
10-07 05:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xe9cd13…
10-07 05:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x198fbf…
10-07 00:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x19da1c…
10-06 23:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1afc67…
10-06 21:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdb6be6…
10-06 20:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb343c0…
10-06 19:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xc5744c…
10-06 18:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x6101fa…
10-06 16:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x42a1b8…
10-06 14:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7f46f5…
10-06 13:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xd2f4ca…
10-06 13:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xea80bb…
10-06 10:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3f0b1c…
10-06 07:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x26d4b8…
10-06 04:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdd744b…
10-06 04:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x87e3dd…
10-06 03:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xae0ff5…
10-06 02:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x735b1c…
10-06 02:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x890618…
10-06 02:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x7c2c28…
10-06 01:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x02ecba…
10-06 01:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xc79197…
10-06 01:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa5e675…
10-06 00:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x305423…
10-06 00:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xaaf58b…
10-06 00:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x76c614…
10-06 00:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0c5dc5…
10-06 00:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x26c233…
10-05 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xdd1465…
10-05 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x4d15d1…
10-05 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x464974…
10-05 21:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x0d1081…