Improbable-Worm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-18 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

82% — —

Crypto

14% 100% +$0

Other

4% 80% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	9	$1.4K	2,491	0	+2,491	open	—	04-24 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$103	321	0	+321	open	—	04-26 21:49
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$32	57	0	+57	open	—	04-25 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$32	54	51	+3	open	—	04-25 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$28	185	0	+185	open	—	04-26 21:48
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	05-02 23:34
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	05-02 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-09 14:29
mlb cle mil 2026 06 17	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-17 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 14:46
mlb cws nyy 2026 06 17	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	06-17 18:41
mlb sf atl 2026 06 17	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	06-17 18:09
mlb tb lad 2026 06 17	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 17:41
mlb laa ari 2026 06 17	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 17:40
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 20:44
La Bisbal: Elena Pridankina vs Kamilla Rakhimova	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-27 20:37
Huzhou: Polona Hercog vs Xinyu Gao	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	04-27 20:37
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 20:39
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 20:39
mlb tor bos 2026 06 17	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-17 17:42
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 14:48
atp krumich mrva 2026 06 09	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-09 06:35
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shenzhen Leopards	1	$2	4	0	+4	Shenzhen Leopards	+$2	05-09 14:30
val m80 sad 2026 06 18	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-18 14:43
Ostrava: Tom Gentzsch vs Rudolf Molleker	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-30 20:00
atp ferrari callejo 2026 06 09	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-09 06:35
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-25 14:44
xrp up or down april 24 2026 10am et	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-24 14:52
cs2 hotu g1 2026 06 18	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-18 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 14:49:25	aapl up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xca3119…
06-18 14:49:13	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2df93c…
06-18 14:48:47	doge updown 5m 1781793900	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd742d7…
06-18 14:48:37	xrp updown 5m 1781793900	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x326472…
06-18 14:48:23	eth updown 5m 1781793900	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x761deb…
06-18 14:48:14	sol updown 5m 1781793900	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xae1dec…
06-18 14:48:02	btc updown 5m 1781793900	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x7658d5…
06-18 14:47:28	r6siege edg kingzo 2026 06 19	Kingzone	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5ea885…
06-18 14:46:25	r6siege myquee lev 2026 06 19	My Queen	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd1158e…
06-18 14:46:16	r6siege dz wcg 2026 06 18	Wildcard Gaming	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x24970f…
06-18 14:45:46	r6siege ff2 ol1 2026 06 18	Outlast	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x20f89a…
06-18 14:45:28	r6siege ssg 5f 2026 06 18	Spacestation Gaming	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x92d63d…
06-18 14:45:04	ow t1 cr 2026 06 19	T1	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xce0f2b…
06-18 14:44:16	ow fal o2b 2026 06 19	Falcons	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe857f3…
06-18 14:43:56	val kit1 exl1 2026 06 18	Stray Kittens	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa1edd6…
06-18 14:43:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18	YFP Gaming	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc981b4…
06-18 14:43:05	val m80 sad 2026 06 18	SaD Esports	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf71f95…
06-18 14:42:50	val lev shi 2026 06 18	Leviatán Academy	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6baac7…
06-18 14:42:38	val srb adg 2026 06 18	Azure Dragon Gaming	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x270d90…
06-18 14:42:26	val nbg qor 2026 06 18	Nightblood Gaming	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6ecec0…
06-18 14:42:14	val 9z ox 2026 06 18	OXEN	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9ce2ec…
06-18 14:41:11	cs2 ice tsa 2026 06 18	Spirit Academy	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x09f9d9…
06-18 14:39:47	cs2 100t leo2 2026 06 18	Leo Team	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x37bb96…
06-18 14:39:37	cs2 furia 9z 2026 06 18	9z	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x998c45…
06-18 14:39:25	cs2 echo kol 2026 06 18	ECHO	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbafa2f…
06-18 14:39:11	cs2 hotu g1 2026 06 18	HOTU	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xccd716…
06-18 14:38:49	cs2 inf6 oxuji 2026 06 18	Infinite	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x22844d…
06-18 14:38:37	cs2 aur1 bb3 2026 06 18	Aurora Gaming	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa56435…
06-17 18:41:46	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 17	New York Yankees	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xdb78c9…
06-17 18:09:53	mlb sf atl 2026 06 17	Atlanta Braves	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x63b1e1…
06-17 17:46:28	mlb cle mil 2026 06 17	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xd24a61…
06-17 17:42:16	mlb tor bos 2026 06 17	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xbddfbf…
06-17 17:41:43	mlb tb lad 2026 06 17	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf9116a…
06-17 17:40:07	mlb laa ari 2026 06 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc89c2e…
06-09 06:36:06	atp bertran izquier 2026 06 08	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x797631…
06-09 06:35:54	atp krumich mrva 2026 06 09	Maxim Mrva	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa0dfec…
06-09 06:35:40	atp ferrari callejo 2026 06 09	Gianmarco Ferrari	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5e372b…
05-09 14:33:51	Basket Zaragoza vs. Granada	Basket Zaragoza	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbea512…
05-09 14:33:37	Barcelona vs. Burgos	Barcelona	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb8d681…
05-09 14:33:22	CB Murcia vs. Basquet Girona	CB Murcia	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf86b27…
05-09 14:31:00	Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb09ebf…
05-09 14:30:41	Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd1c4c6…
05-09 14:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xafabfa…
05-02 23:34:34	Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	Atlanta Braves	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf1641b…
05-02 20:44:38	New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xce2fbd…
05-02 20:44:28	Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x88ff2e…
04-30 20:00:36	Ostrava: Tom Gentzsch vs Rudolf Molleker	Rudolf Molleker	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x7e9ad2…
04-30 20:00:22	Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xa06aae…
04-28 19:50:46	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa1f902…
04-27 20:41:34	KCC Egis vs. Anyang	Anyang	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1ab640…
04-27 20:40:18	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monaco	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8eb1f8…
04-27 20:39:46	Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Valencia	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4e8ef0…
04-27 20:39:32	Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf55b48…
04-27 20:39:20	Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Fenerbahce	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x99e371…
04-27 20:39:10	KK Studentski Centar vs. Zadar	KK Studentski Centar	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcb4647…
04-27 20:38:48	Obras vs. Instituto Cordoba	Instituto Cordoba	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x73a272…
04-27 20:37:58	La Bisbal: Elena Pridankina vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Elena Pridankina	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xf01178…
04-27 20:37:38	Huzhou: Polona Hercog vs Xinyu Gao	Xinyu Gao	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7d56b3…
04-27 20:36:24	Will Club Aurora win on 2026-04-27?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0eef85…
04-26 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	321	32¢	$103	0x39a284…
04-26 21:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x983b53…
04-26 21:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x7df832…
04-26 21:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x72d691…
04-26 21:47:10	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x220960…
04-26 21:47:00	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x38c3ab…
04-26 21:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x513e43…
04-26 21:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0x0df6f5…
04-26 21:46:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0519c9…
04-26 21:45:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6fa644…
04-26 21:44:50	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3d22e3…
04-26 21:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1fc602…
04-26 21:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x82ad48…
04-25 14:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	51	32¢	$16	0x894e1c…
04-25 14:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6bb62d…
04-25 14:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2580a6…
04-25 14:48:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x5c44b4…
04-25 14:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x566328…
04-25 14:47:24	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd251ed…
04-25 14:47:12	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xa65d2c…
04-25 14:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x81eecb…
04-25 14:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xb1a824…
04-25 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x23941a…
04-25 14:45:08	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xcd63df…
04-25 14:44:52	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x72eec8…
04-25 14:44:48	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xa4e6eb…
04-25 14:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9f0774…
04-25 14:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x61ceee…
04-25 14:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x249b0a…
04-25 14:41:56	Ryukyu Golden Kings vs. Saga Ballooners	Ryukyu Golden Kings	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa3bd4b…
04-25 14:41:20	Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Ibaraki Robots	Shimane Susanoo Magic	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe59e5c…
04-25 14:40:30	Kyoto Hannaryz vs. Osaka Evessa	Osaka Evessa	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb6ac8f…
04-25 14:39:30	Sendai 89ers vs. Yokohama B-Corsairs	Yokohama B-Corsairs	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x5e2e26…
04-25 14:38:40	Diamond Dolphins vs. Utsunomiya Brex	Diamond Dolphins	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf3b252…
04-25 14:38:06	Kolossos Rhodes vs. AS Karditsas	AS Karditsas	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4a807e…
04-25 14:37:50	PAOK vs. Maroussi	Maroussi	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8071a3…
04-25 14:36:56	Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Tofas	Bahcesehir Koleji	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x99918c…
04-25 14:34:18	Obras vs. Instituto Cordoba	Instituto Cordoba	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5eb6cf…
04-24 18:29:44	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	805	57¢	$459	0x2d245e…
04-24 18:29:40	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xec3ae6…
04-24 17:59:00	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	96	57¢	$55	0x36792d…