Whole-Nestling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$667

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 08-01 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 39% +$667

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1785167700	2	$2.2K	1,723	1,723	+0	open	—	07-27 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$1.1K	3,586	0	+3,586	Down	+$345	05-10 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$1.0K	2,650	0	+2,650	open	—	05-16 17:27
btc updown 5m 1785594900	2	$1000	2,026	0	+2,026	open	—	08-01 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$800	1,898	0	+1,898	Down	$-800	05-12 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$660	1,327	0	+1,327	Up	+$248	05-10 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$650	3,517	0	+3,517	Up	+$574	05-10 22:32
btc updown 5m 1785595200	1	$600	1,497	0	+1,497	open	—	08-01 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$600	2,237	0	+2,237	Up	+$662	05-11 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$550	1,919	0	+1,919	Down	+$915	05-11 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	9	$544	1,375	0	+1,375	Down	+$503	05-10 21:54
btc updown 5m 1785596100	1	$500	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	08-01 14:55
btc updown 5m 1785594300	2	$500	1,482	0	+1,482	open	—	08-01 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$422	1,282	0	+1,282	Up	$-100	05-10 22:59
btc updown 5m 1785585900	1	$400	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	08-01 12:05
btc updown 5m 1785596700	1	$400	924	0	+924	open	—	08-01 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$327	1,341	0	+1,341	Up	+$595	05-10 22:53
btc updown 5m 1785581700	2	$327	303	303	+0	open	—	08-01 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$310	1,260	0	+1,260	Up	+$503	05-10 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	7	$310	10,594	0	+10,594	Up	$-310	05-10 22:29
btc updown 5m 1785166800	3	$308	535	227	+307	open	—	07-27 15:42
btc updown 5m 1785595800	1	$300	688	0	+688	open	—	08-01 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$300	1,211	0	+1,211	Down	$-300	05-10 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$300	1,540	0	+1,540	Down	$-300	05-10 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$300	1,693	0	+1,693	Down	$-300	05-11 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$300	786	0	+786	Down	$-300	05-12 21:21
btc updown 5m 1785167100	3	$300	991	0	+991	open	—	07-27 15:46
btc updown 5m 1785168600	3	$300	1,369	0	+1,369	open	—	07-27 16:13
btc updown 5m 1785584700	3	$300	1,146	0	+1,146	open	—	08-01 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$288	2,956	0	+2,956	Up	$-288	05-11 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 15:05:42	btc updown 5m 1785596700	Up	BUY	924	43¢	$400	0x0827e2…
08-01 15:03:24	btc updown 5m 1785596400	Up	SELL	236	6¢	$14	0x74f31a…
08-01 15:02:11	btc updown 5m 1785596400	Up	BUY	236	35¢	$84	0x0080d2…
08-01 14:55:24	btc updown 5m 1785596100	Down	BUY	1,400	36¢	$500	0x5ece2c…
08-01 14:50:32	btc updown 5m 1785595800	Up	BUY	688	44¢	$300	0x11dd70…
08-01 14:46:27	btc updown 5m 1785595500	Up	BUY	660	30¢	$200	0x5c93e4…
08-01 14:40:57	btc updown 5m 1785595200	Up	BUY	1,497	40¢	$600	0x7c9412…
08-01 14:35:35	btc updown 5m 1785594900	Up	BUY	1,088	51¢	$560	0xde5ba1…
08-01 14:35:35	btc updown 5m 1785594900	Up	BUY	937	47¢	$440	0xb6b4a6…
08-01 14:33:47	btc updown 5m 1785594600	Up	BUY	360	28¢	$100	0x351bde…
08-01 14:33:27	btc updown 5m 1785594600	Up	BUY	76	31¢	$24	0x25ee11…
08-01 14:26:18	btc updown 5m 1785594300	Down	BUY	396	38¢	$149	0x9b2a03…
08-01 14:26:17	btc updown 5m 1785594300	Down	BUY	1,086	32¢	$351	0xbcfcaf…
08-01 14:20:45	btc updown 5m 1785594000	Down	BUY	342	26¢	$91	0x0bebc8…
08-01 14:20:20	btc updown 5m 1785594000	Down	BUY	343	29¢	$100	0x9449eb…
08-01 14:16:29	btc updown 5m 1785593700	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x702277…
08-01 12:30:36	btc updown 5m 1785587400	Up	BUY	171	38¢	$65	0x5c0826…
08-01 12:26:20	btc updown 5m 1785587100	Up	BUY	334	30¢	$100	0xf2eb99…
08-01 12:25:17	btc updown 5m 1785587100	Up	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0xf356fd…
08-01 12:16:02	btc updown 5m 1785586500	Down	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0xe09195…
08-01 12:11:39	btc updown 5m 1785586200	Up	BUY	209	65¢	$135	0x69a64a…
08-01 12:05:41	btc updown 5m 1785585900	Down	BUY	1,094	37¢	$400	0x28ec7e…
08-01 12:01:24	btc updown 5m 1785585600	Down	BUY	694	14¢	$100	0xf4ad4f…
08-01 12:01:03	btc updown 5m 1785585600	Down	BUY	368	27¢	$100	0x763e3f…
08-01 11:56:08	btc updown 5m 1785585300	Down	BUY	340	29¢	$100	0xd31ea8…
08-01 11:55:45	btc updown 5m 1785585300	Down	BUY	317	32¢	$100	0xe90f35…
08-01 11:53:41	btc updown 5m 1785585000	Up	BUY	421	24¢	$100	0xeff696…
08-01 11:50:20	btc updown 5m 1785585000	Down	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0xc2284e…
08-01 11:49:17	btc updown 5m 1785584700	Down	BUY	474	21¢	$100	0x1fa649…
08-01 11:48:08	btc updown 5m 1785584700	Down	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xeeaf6a…
08-01 11:47:15	btc updown 5m 1785584700	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xdd5f9a…
08-01 11:42:26	btc updown 5m 1785584400	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x143e27…
08-01 11:38:21	btc updown 5m 1785584100	Up	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0x734f4c…
08-01 11:37:50	btc updown 5m 1785584100	Up	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xd0f11a…
08-01 11:36:48	eth updown 5m 1785584100	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x0b3c8f…
08-01 11:35:03	btc updown 5m 1785583800	Up	BUY	9,663	1¢	$100	0xe4b7ad…
08-01 11:30:50	btc updown 5m 1785583800	Down	BUY	353	28¢	$100	0x2590a3…
08-01 11:30:32	btc updown 5m 1785583800	Down	BUY	268	31¢	$82	0x3c285d…
08-01 11:23:30	btc updown 5m 1785583200	Down	BUY	192	19¢	$37	0xe5a4d4…
08-01 11:22:44	btc updown 5m 1785583200	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x98d6b8…
08-01 11:20:38	btc updown 5m 1785583200	Up	BUY	145	30¢	$43	0x44bbf7…
08-01 11:18:47	btc updown 5m 1785582900	Up	SELL	678	2¢	$14	0x05f958…
08-01 11:17:54	btc updown 5m 1785582900	Up	BUY	326	12¢	$40	0x6a5f8a…
08-01 11:17:06	btc updown 5m 1785582900	Up	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x095dc0…
08-01 11:16:20	btc updown 5m 1785582900	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xbdb54d…
08-01 11:07:56	eth updown 5m 1785582300	Up	BUY	63	22¢	$14	0x883a5d…
08-01 11:06:24	eth updown 5m 1785582300	Up	BUY	555	18¢	$100	0x524d1d…
08-01 11:01:15	btc updown 5m 1785582000	Up	BUY	340	21¢	$73	0x293a57…
08-01 11:00:15	btc updown 5m 1785582000	Up	BUY	395	25¢	$100	0x131022…
08-01 10:59:35	btc updown 5m 1785581700	Up	SELL	303	75¢	$227	0x146404…
08-01 10:56:53	btc updown 5m 1785581700	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xbf1f4f…
07-27 16:16:40	btc updown 5m 1785168900	Up	BUY	1,116	9¢	$100	0xa09c86…
07-27 16:13:45	btc updown 5m 1785168600	Up	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0x8a3800…
07-27 16:12:48	btc updown 5m 1785168600	Down	BUY	809	12¢	$100	0xb3ab7d…
07-27 16:10:37	btc updown 5m 1785168600	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x28ee7e…
07-27 16:08:33	btc updown 5m 1785168300	Down	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xcf3c54…
07-27 16:06:27	btc updown 5m 1785168300	Up	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x914d35…
07-27 16:01:54	btc updown 5m 1785168000	Up	BUY	115	44¢	$51	0xb87bd9…
07-27 15:59:55	btc updown 5m 1785167700	Down	SELL	1,723	96¢	$1,660	0xee12f1…
07-27 15:55:40	btc updown 5m 1785167700	Down	BUY	1,723	29¢	$500	0xe9c1c3…
07-27 15:51:45	btc updown 5m 1785167400	Down	BUY	464	22¢	$100	0x73cac8…
07-27 15:51:15	btc updown 5m 1785167400	Down	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xda1862…
07-27 15:46:57	btc updown 5m 1785167100	Down	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x1334a0…
07-27 15:46:27	btc updown 5m 1785167100	Up	BUY	420	24¢	$100	0x7342ea…
07-27 15:46:06	btc updown 5m 1785167100	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x321d54…
07-27 15:42:16	btc updown 5m 1785166800	Down	BUY	307	33¢	$100	0x40ae6b…
07-27 15:41:43	btc updown 5m 1785166800	Down	SELL	227	48¢	$108	0x045a9f…
07-27 15:40:51	btc updown 5m 1785166800	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x303040…
07-27 15:35:45	btc updown 5m 1785166500	Up	BUY	428	23¢	$100	0x2e7bb3…
07-27 15:32:37	btc updown 5m 1785166200	Up	BUY	489	20¢	$100	0x1c4035…
07-27 15:31:25	btc updown 5m 1785166200	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x34f288…
07-27 15:29:19	btc updown 5m 1785165900	Up	BUY	325	31¢	$100	0xfc2e95…
07-27 15:26:36	btc updown 5m 1785165900	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xd354da…
07-27 15:22:19	btc updown 5m 1785165600	Up	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x6328ef…
07-27 15:20:22	btc updown 5m 1785165600	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x1002f0…
07-27 15:12:45	btc updown 5m 1785165000	Down	BUY	300	13¢	$40	0x978114…
07-27 15:10:55	btc updown 5m 1785165000	Down	BUY	288	35¢	$100	0x2e6869…
07-19 21:45:51	btc updown 5m 1784497500	Down	BUY	287	25¢	$72	0xa0cf8e…
07-19 21:41:13	btc updown 5m 1784497200	Up	BUY	1,055	9¢	$100	0x3f8af6…
07-19 21:38:25	btc updown 5m 1784496900	Up	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0x28f330…
07-19 21:36:13	btc updown 5m 1784496900	Down	BUY	399	25¢	$100	0x5dedc2…
07-19 21:31:36	btc updown 5m 1784496600	Up	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x49c93e…
07-19 21:29:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	317	31¢	$100	0xc0f1f9…
05-16 23:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	93	50¢	$47	0x644e63…
05-16 23:20:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	711	0¢	$1	0x2565ad…
05-16 18:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	536	30¢	$160	0xb44b31…
05-16 18:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	305	33¢	$100	0x3b0c14…
05-16 18:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	272	37¢	$100	0x6bf090…
05-16 18:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	545	18¢	$100	0xdb0727…
05-16 17:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	44¢	$22	0xc80eed…
05-16 17:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,758	40¢	$710	0xab75df…
05-16 17:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	841	32¢	$268	0x8c2bc4…
05-16 17:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,201	8¢	$100	0xd7e26b…
05-16 17:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	353	28¢	$100	0x5b248b…
05-16 17:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x93a4ce…
05-13 18:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xee9302…
05-13 18:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xc940f1…
05-12 22:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	266	22¢	$58	0x59bff3…
05-12 22:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	825	20¢	$161	0x05ef03…
05-12 22:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	569	6¢	$34	0x86fa85…