Whole-Nestling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$667

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-16 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 39% +$667

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$1.1K	3,586	+3,586	Down	+$345	05-10 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$1.0K	2,650	+2,650	open	—	05-16 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$800	1,898	+1,898	Down	$-800	05-12 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$660	1,327	+1,327	Up	+$248	05-10 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$650	3,517	+3,517	Up	+$574	05-10 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$600	2,237	+2,237	Up	+$662	05-11 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$550	1,919	+1,919	Down	+$915	05-11 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	9	$544	1,375	+1,375	Down	+$503	05-10 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$422	1,282	+1,282	Up	$-100	05-10 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$327	1,341	+1,341	Up	+$595	05-10 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$310	1,260	+1,260	Up	+$503	05-10 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	7	$310	10,594	+10,594	Up	$-310	05-10 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$300	1,540	+1,540	Down	$-300	05-10 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$300	1,211	+1,211	Down	$-300	05-10 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$300	1,693	+1,693	Down	$-300	05-11 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$300	786	+786	Down	$-300	05-12 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$288	2,956	+2,956	Up	$-288	05-11 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$221	2,472	+2,472	Down	$-221	05-12 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$219	1,091	+1,091	Up	$-219	05-12 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$215	1,017	+1,017	Up	$-215	05-11 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$200	1,092	+1,092	Up	$-200	05-11 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$200	558	+558	Up	$-200	05-10 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$200	2,471	+2,471	Up	$-200	05-10 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$200	1,554	+1,554	open	—	05-16 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$200	675	+675	Up	$-200	05-10 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$200	637	+637	Up	$-200	05-11 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$200	1,012	+1,012	Down	$-200	05-12 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$197	386	+386	Up	+$157	05-10 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$186	884	+884	Up	$-186	05-12 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$160	536	+536	open	—	05-16 18:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 23:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	93	50¢	$47	0x644e63…
05-16 23:20:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	711	0¢	$1	0x2565ad…
05-16 18:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	536	30¢	$160	0xb44b31…
05-16 18:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	305	33¢	$100	0x3b0c14…
05-16 18:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	272	37¢	$100	0x6bf090…
05-16 18:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	545	18¢	$100	0xdb0727…
05-16 17:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	44¢	$22	0xc80eed…
05-16 17:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,758	40¢	$710	0xab75df…
05-16 17:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	841	32¢	$268	0x8c2bc4…
05-16 17:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,201	8¢	$100	0xd7e26b…
05-16 17:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	353	28¢	$100	0x5b248b…
05-16 17:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x93a4ce…
05-13 18:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xee9302…
05-13 18:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xc940f1…
05-12 22:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	266	22¢	$58	0x59bff3…
05-12 22:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	825	20¢	$161	0x05ef03…
05-12 22:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	569	6¢	$34	0x86fa85…
05-12 22:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,546	4¢	$66	0x81eeda…
05-12 22:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	294	33¢	$98	0xc38192…
05-12 22:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	36¢	$23	0xfdeee9…
05-12 22:00:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0x62d6c7…
05-12 21:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x653301…
05-12 21:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	867	21¢	$185	0x5594a9…
05-12 21:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	374	16¢	$61	0x649ee6…
05-12 21:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	472	11¢	$50	0x82c2a1…
05-12 21:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x204ceb…
05-12 21:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	158	27¢	$43	0x4e551b…
05-12 21:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	358	1¢	$5	0xcf8c01…
05-12 21:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x6c379f…
05-12 21:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xb4c424…
05-12 21:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xf05cef…
05-12 21:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,196	43¢	$518	0xb5b5e2…
05-12 21:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	139	47¢	$65	0x71dcfd…
05-12 21:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	563	39¢	$217	0x28843a…
05-12 21:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	550	36¢	$200	0xadc754…
05-12 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0x92fb4f…
05-12 21:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	574	17¢	$97	0xdf7eeb…
05-12 21:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	751	13¢	$100	0xbdd762…
05-12 21:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	261	38¢	$100	0x212ea3…
05-12 21:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xd0c885…
05-11 17:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xdf8332…
05-11 17:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	612	36¢	$222	0x919e78…
05-11 17:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	853	33¢	$278	0x56adc0…
05-11 17:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	962	17¢	$161	0xe8b45d…
05-11 17:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	124	19¢	$24	0xb48aca…
05-11 17:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	607	19¢	$115	0x351439…
05-11 17:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	675	15¢	$100	0x1d8764…
05-11 17:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x75c79f…
05-11 17:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,629	3¢	$53	0x8dbeb1…
05-11 17:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	612	6¢	$35	0x3cf377…
05-11 17:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	456	22¢	$100	0xc79de4…
05-11 17:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	258	39¢	$100	0x473f0c…
05-11 17:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	975	31¢	$300	0xd32da9…
05-11 17:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	412	25¢	$102	0x9a1542…
05-11 17:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	851	23¢	$198	0x8c57e2…
05-11 17:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	380	26¢	$100	0xd04d26…
05-11 17:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x946dff…
05-11 17:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	872	11¢	$100	0xf8cb76…
05-11 16:53:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x092407…
05-11 13:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	701	13¢	$90	0xf6cd0e…
05-11 13:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	265	38¢	$100	0x631968…
05-11 13:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$25	0xc2e842…
05-10 23:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	266	9¢	$24	0x68fc03…
05-10 23:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	600	17¢	$100	0xd07b2d…
05-10 22:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	122	35¢	$43	0xb1f418…
05-10 22:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xa2dd60…
05-10 22:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	291	27¢	$79	0x6413cb…
05-10 22:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x3d06da…
05-10 22:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	324	31¢	$100	0xecacd6…
05-10 22:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x90fd23…
05-10 22:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	96	28¢	$27	0xd6de08…
05-10 22:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	922	22¢	$200	0x3e7088…
05-10 22:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	558	36¢	$200	0x0073a6…
05-10 22:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,086	26¢	$280	0xf9a858…
05-10 22:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,068	19¢	$207	0x9ae2ff…
05-10 22:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,429	42¢	$599	0x8e2da0…
05-10 22:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0455c5…
05-10 22:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	503	26¢	$132	0xf41e2d…
05-10 22:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	708	24¢	$168	0x3eb1ee…
05-10 22:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,715	3¢	$50	0x167f61…
05-10 22:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	578	17¢	$100	0xefa7d5…
05-10 22:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	619	44¢	$270	0x936dcc…
05-10 22:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	604	38¢	$230	0x05405a…
05-10 22:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7,935	1¢	$79	0xd2f33a…
05-10 22:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2,065	1¢	$21	0x665264…
05-10 22:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xd17936…
05-10 22:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	19¢	$3	0x1e926a…
05-10 22:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x1d8d25…
05-10 22:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x197ebc…
05-10 22:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	542	37¢	$200	0xfb1db6…
05-10 22:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	878	6¢	$50	0x66b790…
05-10 22:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	379	26¢	$100	0xc51eee…
05-10 22:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	446	25¢	$110	0x118925…
05-10 22:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	518	19¢	$100	0x0d4b6d…
05-10 22:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	296	34¢	$100	0x660025…
05-10 22:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	419	14¢	$60	0x52a689…
05-10 22:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	908	66¢	$600	0x0c7ebe…
05-10 22:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2,086	5¢	$100	0x403214…
05-10 22:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xee5395…
05-10 22:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	674	3¢	$19	0xc9eb7e…