Swift-Marketing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$147

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$188

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-16 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

81% 75% -$146

Politics

19% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	-108	-$100	98¢	$-105	-$5	05-28 07:58
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-63	-$59	100¢	$-63	-$4	05-24 18:53
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-20	-$20	98¢	$-20	$0	05-28 07:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	6	$572	300	300	+0	open	—	06-02 19:54
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	4	$437	247	247	+0	open	—	10-15 19:31
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	34	$433	1,323	157	+1,166	Yes	-$316	06-12 21:23
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	15	$347	567	0	+567	open	—	10-15 19:34
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$298	429	0	+429	No	+$131	06-12 21:24
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	06-03 07:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$146	200	200	+0	Yes	-$26	10-04 20:39
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$118	150	150	+0	Yes	+$41	10-04 20:39
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	1	$100	0	108	-108	open	—	05-28 07:58
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	3	$75	90	0	+90	open	—	10-16 13:59
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$59	0	63	-63	open	—	05-24 18:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$50	82	0	+82	Yes	-$50	01-12 13:12
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	1	$50	56	0	+56	No	+$6	01-12 13:27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$33	0	40	-40	Yes	+$33	05-28 07:53
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$30	64	0	+64	Yes	+$34	01-12 13:13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	05-28 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 13:59:58	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x6dfbfe…
10-15 19:34:05	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xf8ad64…
10-15 19:34:05	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0xd45ff2…
10-15 19:33:35	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x2126ce…
10-15 19:33:02	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	45	63¢	$28	0xd08209…
10-15 19:33:02	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2de44b…
10-15 19:33:02	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0x260d14…
10-15 19:32:26	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa021cb…
10-15 19:31:34	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	247	88¢	$218	0xe373dd…
10-04 20:42:11	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	47	89¢	$42	0x3249a6…
10-04 20:41:13	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xe69af6…
10-04 20:40:28	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xe42f0f…
10-04 20:40:05	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xe48b35…
10-04 20:39:25	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	26¢	$39	0x2f895f…
10-04 20:39:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	53¢	$80	0xae4a6a…
10-03 07:20:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xce5ef0…
10-03 07:19:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x9d57be…
10-03 07:17:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x3ed07a…
10-02 20:48:29	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x468cb2…
10-02 20:42:35	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	92	57¢	$52	0x88805c…
10-02 06:57:30	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x3e9ec7…
09-29 14:13:11	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x870fb8…
09-29 12:59:06	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x08e8ad…
09-28 21:33:20	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x52a57b…
09-28 19:10:41	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	37	58¢	$21	0x3d54bc…
09-27 22:12:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xd3c569…
09-27 22:12:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x7dd8e8…
09-27 21:58:35	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x4d5456…
06-12 21:24:52	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	80	76¢	$61	0xf3afb0…
06-12 21:23:52	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	157	38¢	$59	0x93d6da…
06-03 10:45:11	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x908eee…
06-03 09:04:32	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x13aeb5…
06-03 08:50:32	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xf7572a…
06-03 08:36:00	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4c0f27…
06-03 08:10:29	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb34242…
06-03 08:02:12	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x841d01…
06-03 08:00:01	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0d565e…
06-03 07:59:48	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	153	35¢	$54	0x0f6741…
06-03 07:57:42	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x21d48b…
06-03 07:53:13	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa25d6d…
06-03 07:29:46	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbb572d…
06-03 07:29:09	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x694af7…
06-03 07:26:23	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x47356c…
06-03 07:21:25	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x016b43…
06-03 07:15:09	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	36	35¢	$12	0x4cac96…
06-03 07:14:06	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x49c912…
06-02 19:55:36	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	349	68¢	$237	0xd26f12…
06-02 19:54:05	Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	252	95¢	$239	0xf9fe61…
05-31 20:57:01	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x781d1c…
05-28 09:00:42	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x56e1b8…
05-28 08:22:55	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	196	30¢	$59	0x5d708a…
05-28 07:58:55	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x5c7d43…
05-28 07:58:03	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0xb4f6f7…
05-28 07:56:40	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xe752a6…
05-28 07:55:50	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x137b82…
05-28 07:54:06	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	97	29¢	$28	0xd89f92…
05-28 07:53:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x66acab…
05-27 16:40:38	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xb47851…
05-27 13:06:38	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0x76f99c…
05-26 08:29:30	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x842ad4…
05-26 05:54:20	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0x6fe0a6…
05-25 20:25:14	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xcd5919…
05-25 15:09:41	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5b413f…
05-25 07:17:37	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	116	27¢	$31	0xf21c72…
05-24 18:58:21	Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0xe3e3fa…
05-24 18:54:58	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	68	24¢	$16	0x2468fe…
05-24 18:54:15	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xf2ea6b…
05-24 18:53:01	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	63	93¢	$59	0x03ede7…
05-16 03:27:13	Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x0c7ad1…
05-12 14:47:37	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x16096c…
05-12 11:11:47	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x02a7de…
05-12 11:08:57	Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x83b68f…
05-12 11:08:29	Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x96beb4…
05-12 11:07:56	Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x5a7ad3…
05-12 11:06:51	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xb8d194…
05-12 11:06:14	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	56	23¢	$13	0x231554…
01-12 13:27:18	jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x7960ed…
01-12 13:13:04	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x032693…
01-12 13:12:02	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x666b90…