Untrue-Winner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$424

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

179

Trades

929

lifetime

Volume

$51.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

51% 28% -$1,008

Politics

49% 39% +$609

Tech

0% 0% -$25

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	33	$4.2K	31,334	25,834	+5,500	No	+$209	05-15 20:25
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	17	$3.6K	6,895	6,894	+1	Yes	-$5	06-01 07:16
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	3	$2.5K	2,211	3,211	-1,000	Yes	+$1,080	01-03 08:37
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.7K	2,764	2,764	+0	Yes	+$169	05-28 12:53
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	11	$1.6K	6,592	5,426	+1,165	No	+$132	05-20 07:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$1.4K	3,429	3,429	+0	Yes	+$312	02-28 21:04
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	49	$1.4K	9,950	3,787	+6,163	No	+$237	03-29 22:40
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	5	$1.3K	2,575	2,575	+0	No	+$305	03-01 15:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.3K	7,946	5,489	+2,457	No	-$164	05-29 09:07
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	6	$1.2K	1,082	1,082	+0	No	+$60	01-03 15:16
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	9	$932	15,611	15,611	+0	No	-$128	06-02 20:37
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	3	$931	664	664	+0	No	+$91	01-15 05:59
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	5	$800	2,328	2,328	+0	Yes	-$33	06-01 16:48
will iran strike mina al ahmadi refinery by march 31	4	$795	1,639	540	+1,099	Yes	+$252	03-19 09:42
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$772	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$20	03-23 18:31
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	9	$760	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$140	06-01 15:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	17	$756	29,528	29,528	+0	No	-$129	05-25 09:23
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	10	$744	4,757	745	+4,012	Yes	-$20	05-31 07:03
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	32	$740	27,906	1,970	+25,936	No	-$517	05-28 16:40
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	14	$657	857	857	+0	Yes	+$112	05-29 16:02
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	7	$652	353	353	+0	Yes	+$46	01-03 16:27
will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	7	$562	1,213	1,213	+0	Yes	+$85	01-02 16:08
will agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	21	$554	9,512	150	+9,362	No	-$539	02-08 13:09
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	9	$553	6,140	6,140	+0	No	+$6	05-18 06:29
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	4	$540	2,343	2,343	+0	No	+$72	05-17 22:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	6	$540	2,588	2,588	+0	No	+$43	05-27 16:06
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	3	$505	332	332	+0	No	-$3	03-01 09:53
iran strike on israel by february 28	8	$501	5,144	5,144	+0	Yes	-$61	02-28 21:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	11	$465	4,792	2,923	+1,868	No	-$213	05-22 17:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	20	$427	2,039	2,039	+0	No	+$104	05-19 06:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 09:09:49	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	98	13¢	$13	0x76dd7c…
06-02 20:37:18	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,302	3¢	$133	0x30a4f2…
06-02 06:52:28	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	3¢	$3	0x217771…
06-02 05:52:48	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,200	2¢	$149	0x877a9d…
06-01 19:12:09	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x8f3e5a…
06-01 16:58:20	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,998	2¢	$117	0x8f3c5a…
06-01 16:48:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	2,212	16¢	$354	0xad4aaf…
06-01 15:50:38	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	922	16¢	$147	0xf23544…
06-01 15:50:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	78	16¢	$13	0xa0b040…
06-01 15:08:14	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	62	15¢	$9	0xc7c3e1…
06-01 15:08:14	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	589	15¢	$88	0x142197…
06-01 15:06:53	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	349	15¢	$52	0xb38602…
06-01 15:06:50	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	1,000	14¢	$140	0x2b8b4a…
06-01 13:56:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x799f45…
06-01 13:56:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	104	25¢	$26	0x632fe5…
06-01 13:24:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,969	18¢	$359	0x3cb957…
06-01 13:23:59	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	359	16¢	$58	0xe89a1f…
06-01 13:20:05	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x7b0ac9…
06-01 11:13:56	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	937	10¢	$94	0xa6da14…
06-01 11:13:39	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,063	10¢	$106	0xc3b5d1…
06-01 07:16:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	14¢	$560	0x60d02f…
06-01 06:51:24	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,223	3¢	$337	0x006684…
06-01 06:36:20	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	3¢	$9	0x694be2…
06-01 05:32:59	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	3¢	$3	0x116767…
06-01 05:20:23	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x864006…
06-01 01:57:38	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,044	4¢	$146	0x1a6de1…
05-31 18:25:18	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	15¢	$591	0x2a576b…
05-31 18:24:41	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	956	4¢	$34	0x75355a…
05-31 17:35:16	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,584	10¢	$166	0xeeb1c7…
05-31 13:58:43	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x63a34a…
05-31 13:44:11	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,200	3¢	$35	0x35fbaa…
05-31 10:47:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$49	0x752e61…
05-31 07:03:26	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1,667	2¢	$30	0x6ee1e5…
05-31 06:39:56	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	855	1¢	$9	0x061fd4…
05-31 06:32:47	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	445	1¢	$4	0x680c06…
05-30 19:09:47	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0xa9bc29…
05-30 17:51:16	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	724	23¢	$168	0x1fef5a…
05-30 16:35:05	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x074432…
05-30 13:30:49	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	650	45¢	$293	0x924ad3…
05-30 09:34:14	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	650	15¢	$98	0xdcb6e2…
05-29 22:04:06	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	95	73¢	$70	0x4eb34c…
05-29 21:31:52	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0x6c0a88…
05-29 16:52:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xf2c180…
05-29 16:47:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,778	6¢	$107	0x2e8902…
05-29 16:47:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xbf84da…
05-29 16:41:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	837	8¢	$64	0xe0fef1…
05-29 16:41:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,163	7¢	$82	0x985d00…
05-29 16:37:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$57	0x0b8beb…
05-29 16:02:57	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x954a96…
05-29 15:37:24	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	195	63¢	$123	0x1c6794…
05-29 15:33:51	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc549af…
05-29 09:07:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,457	5¢	$125	0x09771c…
05-29 09:01:12	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0xada8a7…
05-29 07:27:26	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	563	0¢	$2	0x7ea8c7…
05-29 05:42:38	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	SELL	144	37¢	$53	0x746cd8…
05-29 05:22:36	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x5a58a8…
05-29 05:21:31	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x04e2b0…
05-29 05:11:15	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	SELL	97	37¢	$36	0x8e759b…
05-29 05:00:31	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0x00fe5d…
05-28 16:40:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,008	1¢	$24	0x537065…
05-28 16:31:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,038	2¢	$16	0xa70d86…
05-28 15:41:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xc60128…
05-28 14:29:57	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	750	2¢	$18	0x38837e…
05-28 14:27:20	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	SELL	275	29¢	$80	0x5edf61…
05-28 14:24:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	127	63¢	$80	0x4934df…
05-28 14:23:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x6544c5…
05-28 14:19:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	127	65¢	$83	0x50713f…
05-28 13:02:27	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	BUY	569	18¢	$100	0xbf0126…
05-28 12:53:49	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	303	23¢	$70	0x53d465…
05-28 12:44:31	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	23¢	$11	0x03bd3d…
05-28 12:41:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	407	1¢	$5	0xfd3f51…
05-28 12:38:10	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xc767b7…
05-28 12:37:40	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	88	75¢	$66	0xe74461…
05-28 12:34:12	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x05511f…
05-28 12:33:05	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	72	51¢	$37	0xe236d8…
05-28 09:28:01	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	349	29¢	$100	0xcfb773…
05-28 07:54:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,389	7¢	$103	0x4162a6…
05-27 16:06:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,136	12¢	$132	0x061328…
05-27 16:05:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6,353	2¢	$95	0x166861…
05-27 12:48:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,000	2¢	$150	0x88e4df…
05-27 12:47:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,700	9¢	$146	0x3e956b…
05-27 01:14:20	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,135	33¢	$372	0xf6dc1a…
05-27 01:13:22	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xa5205d…
05-27 01:08:05	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x9bdc85…
05-26 18:44:08	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	880	16¢	$144	0x2a6cd6…
05-26 18:38:30	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	16¢	$33	0x91483f…
05-26 18:38:05	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	16¢	$20	0xb3710d…
05-26 13:46:39	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0x582a8e…
05-26 13:46:20	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	322	57¢	$183	0xa492e0…
05-26 13:36:25	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	57¢	$200	0x748c6c…
05-26 12:08:43	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	30¢	$104	0x83aa31…
05-26 12:01:36	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	29¢	$101	0x930244…
05-26 11:30:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,136	9¢	$99	0xf499eb…
05-26 11:28:31	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	512	31¢	$161	0xc49216…
05-26 11:02:34	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	512	34¢	$173	0x86fe31…
05-26 10:47:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	SELL	2,309	3¢	$73	0x96d050…
05-26 09:54:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xf18bec…
05-26 09:54:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x69c818…
05-26 09:54:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x509ab6…
05-26 09:48:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xcdad6c…