Constant-Series-Cut — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved (90d)

261

Trades (90d)

275

2,545 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.63K

$24.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Other

81% 99% +$4

Sports

15% 99% -$6

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
pll arc whp 2026 05 30	2	$20	10	10	+0	Maryland Whipsnakes	+$0	06-08 04:48
mlb sf cin 2026 04 15 spread home 6pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	San Francisco Giants	+$0	04-19 20:13
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Notre Dame vs. BYU	2	$20	20	0	+20	BYU	+$0	10-18 03:35
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:01
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:26
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05290c…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57f7b8…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4177d…
10-24 14:15:05	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a4b8f…
10-24 14:15:03	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf426ff…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xae2a7b…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9f69f4…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3cfb1e…
10-24 12:40:05	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x775726…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8c49d…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb6408f…
10-22 20:16:11	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a7b54…
10-22 20:15:23	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabf037…
10-20 18:47:41	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41e86c…
10-20 18:35:32	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee395b…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa61555…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb07e55…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1f361…
10-15 20:32:50	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcfdb20…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x991f91…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d23d1…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadee7c…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x114513…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ee5fc…
10-13 01:33:57	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd6baed…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc905b3…
10-12 09:02:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3538a1…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0dd170…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xef2cef…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ec72d…
10-10 12:54:21	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa909c6…
10-10 11:14:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x608ec9…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c2e43…
10-08 19:24:17	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc9673…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88ede0…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe6d9fd…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6a8d8f…
10-07 05:38:38	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15ba0c…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2a447…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ead99…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05ee04…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x902188…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3cb25d…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x332b09…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdf33a3…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8ab9b…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0833df…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb5816…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd06a4…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x171be7…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xeb67f8…
10-01 12:06:14	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d33a8…
10-01 06:03:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee22f7…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ef616…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35e341…
09-30 23:54:48	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdeb372…
09-30 02:03:00	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58dd8a…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x166383…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3653b2…
09-29 13:20:14	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbdc1f3…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe0306a…
09-28 20:43:06	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe29d11…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e69b8…
09-27 20:41:56	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1418db…
09-27 20:12:27	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd3982…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ccc25…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x800b6e…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x467cef…
09-27 00:29:23	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e3e0a…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a79ea…
09-26 20:01:36	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50ab4a…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55d8b0…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf45222…
09-25 23:33:48	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x326c38…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1e977b…
09-24 20:45:15	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6752a…
09-24 09:44:05	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9fa2d…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0bdc6…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a523c…
09-23 04:45:13	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x25ef37…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12c4e2…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51391a…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0181c7…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84908c…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c9f9f…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x730408…
09-20 01:26:42	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d1571…
09-20 00:02:51	Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Southeastern Louisiana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffdd63…
09-19 01:39:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38bded…
09-17 17:27:07	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81b95d…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fb3b8…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x593059…
09-17 00:30:54	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b5900…
09-16 21:17:37	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4f370…
09-16 16:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe060ec…
09-16 12:05:15	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc983ea…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x931dd5…
09-16 02:35:51	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x269771…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6c4df…
09-16 00:09:54	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd08579…