General-Cocktail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$244

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

112

Trades

515

lifetime

Volume

$7.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-29 20:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

100% 28% +$244

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	6	$909	473	473	+0	Yes	+$37	10-01 10:35
Will Rachel peak at Category 3?	18	$582	505	505	+0	Yes	+$8	10-07 14:50
Will Vance peak at Category 2?	9	$443	500	208	+292	open	—	10-29 05:36
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	14	$409	437	437	+0	No	+$83	10-08 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 19?	12	$408	221	221	+0	No	+$34	09-19 22:00
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?	10	$293	300	300	+0	Yes	-$220	10-07 08:59
Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	4	$284	300	26	+274	open	—	10-28 10:05
Will Rachel peak at Category 4?	6	$268	203	146	+57	No	+$6	10-10 12:02
Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	10	$260	340	160	+180	Yes	+$191	10-17 16:17
Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	6	$239	291	28	+263	Yes	+$58	10-09 18:48
Will Rachel peak at Category 1 or weaker?	8	$226	120	120	+0	No	+$11	10-01 20:38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 30?	12	$225	168	168	+0	No	+$34	08-30 21:57
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	4	$221	150	150	+0	open	—	10-09 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	4	$206	120	120	+0	No	+$32	09-20 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 19?	4	$166	107	107	+0	No	+$42	09-19 20:51
will champi peak as a violent typhoon	2	$165	100	100	+0	Yes	+$29	10-24 08:42
Will Vance peak at Category 4?	2	$148	90	90	+0	open	—	10-24 16:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?	2	$133	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	10-11 03:52
Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	12	$132	200	200	-0	No	-$33	10-19 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	3	$123	80	80	+0	Yes	+$34	10-19 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19?	4	$118	100	100	+0	Yes	+$72	09-19 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 27?	4	$112	76	76	+0	Yes	+$12	05-27 21:53
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	6	$99	190	190	+0	No	-$50	10-19 07:10
Will Isaias peak at Category 2?	5	$86	200	200	+0	No	-$32	10-09 17:59
Will Vance peak at Category 3?	7	$82	113	113	-0	open	—	10-24 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16?	14	$75	395	222	+173	Yes	-$4	09-17 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 29?	6	$75	86	86	+0	Yes	+$15	05-29 19:52
Will no Atlantic hurricane form in October 2026?	4	$72	147	32	+115	No	-$72	10-08 09:40
Will Isaias peak at Category 4?	4	$71	41	41	+0	No	+$2	10-10 12:02
Will Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane?	6	$64	100	100	+0	No	-$16	10-09 21:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x11b816…
10-29 20:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0xef80c5…
10-29 17:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x74f2af…
10-29 17:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x9e8d61…
10-29 16:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0x9ea119…
10-29 16:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	135	10¢	$14	0xc1c1db…
10-29 16:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdf67bd…
10-29 16:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6a9156…
10-29 16:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x30b059…
10-29 16:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	326	1¢	$3	0x118bfc…
10-29 16:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	791	0¢	$3	0x833d49…
10-29 16:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$1	0x83cedc…
10-29 05:36:47	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0xc8c963…
10-28 10:05:13	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x69d88c…
10-27 17:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	Yes	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0xf8cc56…
10-27 17:49:30	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xbd951f…
10-24 20:43:09	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x1f4f9f…
10-24 16:26:08	Will Vance peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$89	0x765142…
10-24 14:57:17	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x72a073…
10-24 14:56:18	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x79c85d…
10-24 14:56:18	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	64	25¢	$16	0x1d5e7a…
10-24 14:56:06	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x019f2e…
10-24 08:43:17	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x4c006f…
10-24 08:42:38	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x19e0f4…
10-24 08:41:20	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xfca1b9…
10-24 08:41:00	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0x13b40f…
10-23 22:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xcaac01…
10-23 20:44:11	Will Vance peak at Category 1 or weaker?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x636911…
10-23 20:39:44	Will Vance peak at Category 1 or weaker?	Yes	BUY	87	4¢	$3	0x79f788…
10-23 20:39:14	Will Vance peak at Category 1 or weaker?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x3fddbb…
10-23 18:57:26	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc2c683…
10-23 18:57:05	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$7	0xd712c6…
10-23 15:41:32	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0x026056…
10-23 13:46:33	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	150	19¢	$29	0xec3920…
10-23 13:44:57	Will Vance peak at Category 4?	No	BUY	90	65¢	$59	0x83ef64…
10-23 12:16:06	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x5eb34c…
10-22 22:11:23	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x729457…
10-22 16:16:23	will vance peak at category 3	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf6197b…
10-22 14:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xb4432b…
10-22 14:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xcdc329…
10-20 21:15:50	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0xb28abd…
10-20 21:04:21	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x65f4e5…
10-19 18:17:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xa81c46…
10-19 07:10:30	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x9e5f24…
10-19 06:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9f328a…
10-19 06:25:15	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xbc642d…
10-19 06:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xb7c822…
10-19 06:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	76	98¢	$74	0xc6ad95…
10-19 06:10:27	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x921372…
10-18 22:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x5d7c5d…
10-18 22:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x965adf…
10-18 15:19:39	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xfc5280…
10-18 11:02:12	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x9ad0ef…
10-18 11:02:12	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7b8c5f…
10-18 02:47:42	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xff9064…
10-17 16:20:12	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	SELL	90	27¢	$24	0xe6ae42…
10-17 16:19:47	will champi peak as a violent typhoon	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x3ffd3f…
10-17 16:17:18	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x335b7d…
10-16 20:53:17	Will Trudy peak at Category 5?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xdb60c6…
10-16 20:52:48	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x40e93a…
10-16 20:43:42	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$2	0x19a850…
10-16 16:44:42	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x72d560…
10-16 16:44:18	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x0359c4…
10-16 16:44:04	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x1ae489…
10-16 15:00:43	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x10eefb…
10-16 12:43:21	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	SELL	44	71¢	$31	0x718fdf…
10-16 12:42:52	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xa51bc2…
10-16 04:53:30	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x1b0c9b…
10-16 03:50:10	Will Trudy peak at Category 5?	Yes	SELL	59	10¢	$6	0x6fcb7b…
10-16 03:49:24	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	125	19¢	$24	0x3e9cbd…
10-15 19:48:55	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	80	43¢	$34	0xdce5d9…
10-15 18:50:38	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1c2198…
10-15 13:52:14	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x7e3def…
10-15 13:37:08	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	No	SELL	18	76¢	$13	0x520359…
10-15 11:24:03	Will Trudy peak at Category 5?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xc4d087…
10-15 07:01:35	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	No	SELL	42	70¢	$30	0x17fc26…
10-14 20:25:46	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x7617a1…
10-14 20:25:24	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xebb49e…
10-14 10:59:23	Will Trudy peak at Category 5?	Yes	BUY	79	20¢	$16	0xcb4567…
10-14 08:04:55	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x145e52…
10-14 08:04:38	Will Trudy peak at Category 3?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x6853a9…
10-12 15:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x801bb2…
10-12 15:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc1cb43…
10-11 03:52:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xcc5e8f…
10-10 21:45:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xc5d4fd…
10-10 12:02:37	Will Isaias peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x379365…
10-10 12:02:03	Will Rachel peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$85	0xa2412d…
10-09 21:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x9d1f94…
10-09 21:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xade13a…
10-09 21:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0xdcde3b…
10-09 21:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x014dfc…
10-09 21:01:28	Will Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xd00a61…
10-09 18:48:47	Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe1bb98…
10-09 18:28:56	Will Isaias peak at Category 4?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$17	0x24343d…
10-09 17:59:31	Will Isaias peak at Category 2?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xbf69d9…
10-09 17:55:08	Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x294d6f…
10-09 17:54:56	Will Isaias peak at Category 4?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0xdf9c8e…
10-09 17:54:40	Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$12	0x1cd6fc…
10-09 17:02:10	Will Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xfe13e6…
10-09 15:50:15	Will Isaias peak at Category 3?	Yes	BUY	151	87¢	$131	0x3f7407…