Humiliating-Contrary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$855

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 07-02 15:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% — —

Sports

18% 0% $-11

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 rea	6	$51	28	28	+0	open	—	02-01 15:12
lal val rea 2026 02 08 val	6	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	02-08 21:52
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	03-18 19:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$31	37	0	+37	open	—	02-23 15:11
bun bay hof 2026 02 08 hof	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	02-08 19:17
bun dor mai 2026 02 13 mai	4	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	02-13 20:16
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	3	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	06-26 00:31
will russia join the board of peace	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	03-12 15:53
bun wer bay 2026 02 14 bay	3	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	02-14 16:30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	2	$22	62	0	+62	open	—	04-26 17:48
lal elc bar 2026 01 31 elc	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	01-31 22:05
fl1 psg olm 2026 02 08 olm	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-08 21:25
will dua lipa perform during the super bowl lx halftime show 523	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-09 03:07
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-04 04:38
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	6	$16	33	0	+33	open	—	02-22 13:15
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	3	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	02-09 03:08
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 gir	2	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	02-16 21:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	02-16 20:09
north korea missile launch by february 28	1	$14	38	0	+38	open	—	01-22 20:18
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	02-16 21:39
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$13	110	0	+110	open	—	03-18 23:25
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-18 23:22
lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rso	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-15 01:01
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-01 05:09
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	2	$11	31	31	+0	open	—	01-25 17:52
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$11	906	906	+0	open	—	02-21 05:45
will palestine join the board of peace	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-05 20:50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	45	0	+45	No	$-10	03-19 01:23
bun hsv bay 2026 01 31 hsv	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-31 19:47
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-01 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 15:42:40	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd21dda…
07-02 15:42:13	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 assists lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8de966…
07-02 01:21:25	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 goals folarin balogun gte1	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x852c9f…
07-01 02:59:35	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 goals folarin balogun gte1	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x362bb9…
06-28 04:42:46	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals jonathan david gte1	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdb6cf4…
06-27 13:39:23	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa64982…
06-27 04:01:19	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xed25ab…
06-27 02:37:46	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbb54e7…
06-26 04:09:58	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4762bb…
06-26 04:09:13	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8927b6…
06-26 00:31:17	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x57ef6e…
06-25 17:15:25	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x12eb03…
06-25 17:14:26	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x954d94…
06-25 17:13:22	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x3af268…
06-23 06:24:49	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xeb9210…
06-22 22:26:34	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x059875…
06-22 19:17:37	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8be582…
06-20 22:45:05	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x49dd97…
06-20 13:54:05	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x4f42ee…
06-20 13:52:44	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 shots jamal musiala gte3	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8b8a64…
06-20 13:51:50	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 goals kai havertz gte1	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5fafe6…
06-17 03:40:12	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 goals folarin balogun gte1	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2df14f…
06-16 21:10:22	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x23946f…
06-14 22:22:07	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe7b039…
06-14 22:21:45	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa1ef01…
06-14 18:30:34	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xd08574…
06-13 23:00:34	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x06c8bc…
06-12 13:47:57	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x83ac5d…
06-11 16:20:12	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x15ff2a…
06-09 19:00:25	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1d57e5…
06-09 18:59:43	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x07a6bc…
06-06 00:53:04	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x9dc1bb…
06-06 00:50:58	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x69d3c0…
04-26 17:48:24	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xe1535d…
04-21 15:43:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2d9aa2…
04-15 21:30:00	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe5e92f…
04-15 16:59:22	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfe9b30…
04-15 16:58:58	Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x82088b…
03-30 14:23:01	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xcbb32f…
03-24 20:15:25	btc updown 5m 1774383300	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x78ea72…
03-24 17:51:25	btc updown 5m 1774374600	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb80103…
03-20 00:47:03	uel ast4 lil 2026 03 19 ast4	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0xdf735a…
03-19 20:06:25	btc updown 5m 1773950700	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x42b563…
03-19 20:02:31	uel ast4 lil 2026 03 19 ast4	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1b6edd…
03-19 19:56:47	btc updown 5m 1773950100	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f549e…
03-19 01:23:13	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5a3ba9…
03-18 23:28:07	Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbc3cbc…
03-18 23:25:39	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x294009…
03-18 23:22:13	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf7f1dc…
03-18 19:27:05	ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 tot	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf77f8c…
03-18 19:25:13	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x572ead…
03-18 19:17:29	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1e6f57…
03-12 15:54:43	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xbdab32…
03-12 15:53:59	will russia join the board of peace	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xda2bf7…
03-10 18:53:01	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x0f6cf2…
03-10 18:48:25	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x3f9421…
03-01 16:20:39	sea rom juv 2026 03 01 rom	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x59ffba…
03-01 16:19:43	sea rom juv 2026 03 01 rom	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x911caf…
03-01 15:41:27	sea rom juv 2026 03 01 rom	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x94aba1…
02-28 21:16:11	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8e0f3d…
02-23 15:11:58	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xf883f0…
02-22 13:15:38	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x27e346…
02-21 05:45:28	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xe0d1bf…
02-21 05:43:28	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xd36357…
02-21 05:40:32	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	887	0¢	$4	0xf0ed41…
02-16 21:40:09	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 gir	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xe785ff…
02-16 21:39:29	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0xa21022…
02-16 20:46:23	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x99c8df…
02-16 20:42:15	2026 winter olympics ski big air womens eileen gu chn	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x286844…
02-16 20:10:19	2026 winter olympics ski big air womens lara wolf aut	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x83cfa5…
02-16 20:09:47	2026 winter olympics ski big air womens eileen gu chn	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb84637…
02-16 20:09:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xac92f8…
02-16 03:10:35	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa2e98f…
02-15 20:45:43	mwoh den lat 2026 02 15	Denmark	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6f03b1…
02-15 16:33:33	mwoh den lat 2026 02 15	Denmark	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc6f3fd…
02-15 01:21:05	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 gir	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0976e9…
02-15 01:17:55	nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb2efde…
02-15 01:07:53	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9ad807…
02-15 01:01:55	lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rso	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4fbd73…
02-15 01:01:37	lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8b5b09…
02-15 01:00:49	sea int juv 2026 02 14 int	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb74b3e…
02-15 01:00:03	will xqc plaqueboymax bart win jynxzis rocket league tournament	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc18c56…
02-14 16:48:51	lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rso	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x56717c…
02-14 16:47:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa37c96…
02-14 16:33:45	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Strickland	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x5974f2…
02-14 16:31:53	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xeaa99a…
02-14 16:30:29	bun wer bay 2026 02 14 bay	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb65258…
02-14 15:56:31	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xe8df48…
02-14 04:28:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd3f730…
02-13 21:48:21	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6289d6…
02-13 21:42:05	sea pis mil 2026 02 13 pis	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4fa871…
02-13 21:16:45	lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x545547…
02-13 21:08:57	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x18ced3…
02-13 20:24:05	sea int juv 2026 02 14 int	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x482fbd…
02-13 20:19:51	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x331d3a…
02-13 20:18:41	sea pis mil 2026 02 13 pis	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1aaf93…
02-13 20:16:27	bun dor mai 2026 02 13 mai	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa8690d…
02-12 04:21:35	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x9c366d…
02-11 22:54:19	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1d14b2…
02-10 21:09:41	epl che lee 2026 02 10 che	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xda2ad1…