Honored-Implication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,643

lifetime

Volume

$26.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-04 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 31% $-150

Other

13% 20% $-8

Politics

12% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	17	$1.3K	870	870	+0	open	—	03-15 19:23
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	15	$941	693	693	+0	open	—	03-16 16:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$858	1,715	1,715	+0	open	—	04-19 15:47
will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	15	$742	452	452	+0	open	—	03-13 13:05
btc updown 5m 1773269400	2	$579	711	703	+7	open	—	03-11 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	3	$388	5,333	333	+5,000	open	—	05-21 12:15
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	12	$324	171	171	+0	open	—	03-07 05:30
btc updown 5m 1773134700	1	$303	447	0	+447	open	—	03-10 09:25
btc updown 15m 1773408600	5	$296	228	149	+79	open	—	03-13 13:46
btc updown 5m 1773097500	1	$294	715	0	+715	open	—	03-09 23:05
btc updown 5m 1776614100	2	$293	256	244	+11	open	—	04-19 15:57
btc updown 5m 1776613800	2	$288	333	313	+20	open	—	04-19 15:54
btc updown 5m 1773407100	2	$265	262	258	+4	open	—	03-13 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$254	219	210	+9	open	—	04-26 13:07
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	10	$229	125	125	+0	open	—	03-04 06:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	12	$211	285	285	+0	open	—	03-16 09:40
btc updown 5m 1773134400	1	$203	376	0	+376	open	—	03-10 09:20
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	7	$202	170	170	+0	open	—	03-16 15:59
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	11	$197	114	114	+0	open	—	03-07 15:49
will cristian sanabria win the 2026 sucre mayoral election	8	$186	148	148	+0	open	—	03-16 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$183	169	163	+7	open	—	04-26 18:53
btc updown 5m 1773136800	1	$172	381	0	+381	open	—	03-10 10:01
btc updown 5m 1773407400	3	$167	118	116	+2	open	—	03-13 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$162	139	122	+17	open	—	04-27 13:44
btc updown 5m 1776678300	2	$161	359	0	+359	open	—	04-20 09:48
btc updown 5m 1773096300	1	$160	285	0	+285	open	—	03-09 22:47
btc updown 5m 1773273300	1	$150	341	0	+341	open	—	03-11 23:55
btc updown 5m 1776678900	1	$150	333	0	+333	open	—	04-20 09:58
btc updown 5m 1773273600	1	$150	357	0	+357	open	—	03-12 00:02
btc updown 5m 1773269700	2	$149	158	156	+2	open	—	03-11 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 03:26:45	btc updown 15m 1780542900	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x3b997c…
06-04 03:20:58	btc updown 5m 1780543200	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x830d78…
06-04 03:20:25	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 3	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x125c1e…
06-04 02:35:28	btc updown 5m 1780540500	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x01cb6c…
06-02 12:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x6d072c…
06-02 12:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9d6ea8…
06-02 12:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xeecf19…
06-02 12:28:42	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc82a8e…
05-31 18:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x87f60e…
05-31 18:31:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xca14b4…
05-31 18:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6e91c5…
05-31 18:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x709e1c…
05-31 18:25:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	194	5¢	$10	0x41b692…
05-31 18:24:51	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xacb0f6…
05-31 18:23:03	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xc476b8…
05-31 18:19:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfb48d1…
05-31 18:17:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	281	2¢	$7	0xb5fc6c…
05-31 18:12:36	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe1d513…
05-31 18:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xf95910…
05-31 18:07:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$6	0x3a0e52…
05-31 18:07:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0xdb14e0…
05-31 18:03:41	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x06a61d…
05-31 18:01:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x12d89a…
05-31 17:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x20ce44…
05-31 17:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	82¢	$34	0x3f45ae…
05-31 17:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x23e7b1…
05-31 17:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xb8c496…
05-31 17:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd086ed…
05-31 17:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9be844…
05-31 17:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x47b694…
05-26 20:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xa8a249…
05-26 20:03:01	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x950771…
05-26 20:01:41	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x832252…
05-23 16:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xad66e9…
05-23 16:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe8ce35…
05-23 16:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0xb62b1d…
05-23 14:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x8470d3…
05-23 14:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x1fa90a…
05-23 13:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x092c9a…
05-23 13:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xf1f780…
05-23 13:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x8112df…
05-23 13:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x2d85a3…
05-23 13:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3aa631…
05-23 13:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x041b4b…
05-23 13:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcea824…
05-23 13:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0x28b26a…
05-23 13:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xc94290…
05-23 13:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x222362…
05-23 13:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2daabe…
05-23 13:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x430b65…
05-23 13:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x419ce4…
05-23 13:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	54	79¢	$43	0x7841ce…
05-23 13:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	54	22¢	$12	0x050f3a…
05-23 13:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc8fcc5…
05-23 13:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x4386ed…
05-23 13:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xb42b33…
05-23 13:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x4663b2…
05-23 13:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0xbacfd6…
05-23 13:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6149db…
05-23 13:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x7444f7…
05-23 13:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xed48f0…
05-23 13:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x61e4a0…
05-23 13:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0x9c9d9b…
05-23 12:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xcfff80…
05-23 12:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0x3a95ea…
05-23 12:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xc26254…
05-23 12:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x750773…
05-23 11:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x1f4352…
05-23 11:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0x9c0a05…
05-21 19:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x29da87…
05-21 19:04:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x5e67fa…
05-21 18:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7e0b81…
05-21 18:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb4520c…
05-21 18:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8375a9…
05-21 18:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x15bbcc…
05-21 18:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8ebc2b…
05-21 18:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xacb927…
05-21 18:06:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x983f93…
05-21 17:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x2242e9…
05-21 17:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xfa82bb…
05-21 17:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x68c396…
05-21 17:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x10c412…
05-21 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0x71c8de…
05-21 17:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x78f018…
05-21 17:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x6eee44…
05-21 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x512464…
05-21 17:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x14a4a2…
05-21 17:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	73	10¢	$7	0x7360fc…
05-21 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe5157…
05-21 16:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb42fa5…
05-21 16:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5f58d0…
05-21 16:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x9bd406…
05-21 16:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa2eb0e…
05-21 16:42:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x245be4…
05-21 16:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x034be4…
05-21 16:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0xf36029…
05-21 16:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x4dd7c1…
05-21 16:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x291477…
05-21 16:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x7ebce7…
05-21 15:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x844201…