Honored-Implication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,723

lifetime

Volume

$27.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-04 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 31% $-150

Other

12% 20% $-8

Politics

11% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	17	$1.3K	870	870	+0	open	—	03-15 19:23
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	15	$941	693	693	+0	open	—	03-16 16:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$858	1,715	1,715	+0	open	—	04-19 15:47
will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	15	$742	452	452	+0	open	—	03-13 13:05
btc updown 5m 1773269400	2	$579	711	703	+7	open	—	03-11 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	3	$388	5,333	333	+5,000	open	—	05-21 12:15
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	12	$324	171	171	+0	open	—	03-07 05:30
btc updown 5m 1773134700	1	$303	447	0	+447	open	—	03-10 09:25
btc updown 15m 1773408600	5	$296	228	149	+79	open	—	03-13 13:46
btc updown 5m 1773097500	1	$294	715	0	+715	open	—	03-09 23:05
btc updown 5m 1776614100	2	$293	256	244	+11	open	—	04-19 15:57
btc updown 5m 1776613800	2	$288	333	313	+20	open	—	04-19 15:54
btc updown 5m 1773407100	2	$265	262	258	+4	open	—	03-13 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$254	219	210	+9	open	—	04-26 13:07
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	10	$229	125	125	+0	open	—	03-04 06:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	12	$211	285	285	+0	open	—	03-16 09:40
btc updown 5m 1773134400	1	$203	376	0	+376	open	—	03-10 09:20
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	7	$202	170	170	+0	open	—	03-16 15:59
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	11	$197	114	114	+0	open	—	03-07 15:49
will cristian sanabria win the 2026 sucre mayoral election	8	$186	148	148	+0	open	—	03-16 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$183	169	163	+7	open	—	04-26 18:53
btc updown 5m 1773136800	1	$172	381	0	+381	open	—	03-10 10:01
btc updown 5m 1773407400	3	$167	118	116	+2	open	—	03-13 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$162	139	122	+17	open	—	04-27 13:44
btc updown 5m 1776678300	2	$161	359	0	+359	open	—	04-20 09:48
btc updown 5m 1773096300	1	$160	285	0	+285	open	—	03-09 22:47
btc updown 5m 1773273300	1	$150	341	0	+341	open	—	03-11 23:55
btc updown 5m 1776678900	1	$150	333	0	+333	open	—	04-20 09:58
btc updown 5m 1773273600	1	$150	357	0	+357	open	—	03-12 00:02
btc updown 5m 1773269700	2	$149	158	156	+2	open	—	03-11 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 15:50:00	btc updown 15m 1785858300	Down	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x648990…
08-04 14:02:14	btc updown 5m 1785852000	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xd0b9e8…
08-04 13:58:33	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	800	0¢	$1	0x323d67…
08-04 13:40:20	btc updown 5m 1785850800	Down	BUY	59	37¢	$22	0x303b27…
08-04 13:38:54	btc updown 5m 1785850500	Down	SELL	109	64¢	$70	0x5bd2fd…
08-04 13:37:51	btc updown 5m 1785850500	Down	BUY	109	41¢	$45	0x4e7df4…
08-04 13:31:17	btc updown 5m 1785850200	Down	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0xef490a…
08-04 13:25:59	btc updown 5m 1785849900	Down	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xc6006f…
08-04 13:22:23	btc updown 5m 1785849600	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xecf49f…
08-04 13:21:32	btc updown 15m 1785849300	Down	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0x7835ff…
08-04 13:10:23	btc updown 5m 1785849000	Down	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x210bb4…
08-04 13:08:44	sol updown 5m 1785848700	Down	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0xd53341…
08-04 13:06:38	btc updown 5m 1785848700	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xae6b47…
08-04 13:06:03	btc updown 5m 1785848700	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd959d4…
08-04 13:05:21	btc updown 5m 1785848700	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x802fc7…
08-04 13:04:21	btc updown 15m 1785848400	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x3f93c8…
08-04 13:03:20	btc updown 5m 1785848400	Up	SELL	94	34¢	$32	0x0af49b…
08-04 13:00:35	btc updown 5m 1785848400	Up	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x5d2410…
08-04 12:58:12	btc updown 5m 1785848100	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb8a224…
08-02 18:20:54	btc updown 5m 1785694800	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa87382…
08-01 10:16:30	btc updown 5m 1785579300	Down	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0xe9433d…
08-01 10:14:48	btc updown 5m 1785579000	Down	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0xeb2d7b…
08-01 10:12:12	btc updown 5m 1785579000	Down	BUY	95	19¢	$18	0xefee4e…
08-01 10:07:00	btc updown 5m 1785578700	Down	BUY	133	24¢	$32	0x5f465a…
08-01 10:06:30	btc updown 15m 1785578400	Down	SELL	92	90¢	$83	0x304ddc…
08-01 10:01:15	btc updown 15m 1785578400	Down	BUY	53	35¢	$19	0x5a4acd…
08-01 10:00:59	btc updown 15m 1785578400	Down	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0x44fdc0…
08-01 09:55:18	btc updown 5m 1785578100	Down	BUY	127	26¢	$33	0x1436d2…
08-01 09:53:32	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xeb4f37…
08-01 09:51:39	btc updown 15m 1785577500	Up	BUY	136	10¢	$13	0xefda64…
08-01 09:50:32	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x671b21…
08-01 09:49:09	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x69d037…
08-01 09:46:44	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	43	18¢	$8	0x27a719…
08-01 09:40:36	btc updown 15m 1785576600	Down	BUY	117	24¢	$28	0x3839c8…
08-01 00:02:42	btc updown 15m 1785542400	Down	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0x0d095d…
08-01 00:02:23	btc updown 5m 1785542400	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf1a131…
07-31 23:30:59	btc updown 5m 1785540600	Down	BUY	84	38¢	$32	0x363aba…
07-31 23:29:44	btc updown 15m 1785539700	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x617fee…
07-31 23:29:29	btc updown 15m 1785539700	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3a309e…
07-31 23:29:08	btc updown 15m 1785539700	Down	SELL	216	23¢	$49	0x814d2c…
07-31 23:28:38	btc updown 15m 1785539700	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe1a1b9…
07-31 23:20:54	btc updown 15m 1785539700	Down	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0xfe662b…
07-31 23:20:17	btc updown 15m 1785539700	Down	BUY	121	19¢	$23	0xe62e4b…
07-31 23:18:33	btc updown 5m 1785539700	Down	SELL	71	52¢	$37	0x19072f…
07-31 23:18:03	btc updown 5m 1785539700	Down	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xf66c11…
07-31 23:17:27	btc updown 5m 1785539700	Down	BUY	109	33¢	$36	0x5b316c…
07-31 23:11:17	btc updown 5m 1785539400	Down	BUY	136	38¢	$52	0xbf4a3c…
07-31 23:07:12	btc updown 5m 1785539100	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x36b0ff…
07-31 23:05:51	btc updown 15m 1785538800	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xa3c934…
07-31 20:09:06	btc updown 15m 1785528000	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xd2cb62…
07-31 20:01:59	btc updown 5m 1785528000	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf7c645…
07-31 19:56:33	btc updown 15m 1785527100	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x397671…
07-31 17:00:18	btc updown 5m 1785517200	Up	BUY	138	35¢	$48	0xe1cdfa…
07-31 16:53:47	btc updown 15m 1785516300	Down	BUY	126	27¢	$34	0xa39d73…
07-30 15:35:29	btc updown 5m 1785425700	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x7c5d8c…
07-30 15:20:45	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x9a0a15…
07-30 15:20:26	btc updown 15m 1785424500	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x49d745…
07-27 19:49:42	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xc3b1c8…
07-27 15:14:51	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x64729f…
07-27 15:13:57	btc updown 15m 1785164400	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x0a0f19…
07-27 15:13:21	btc updown 5m 1785165000	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbe5eb4…
07-27 08:35:18	btc updown 15m 1785141000	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x40c69d…
07-27 07:15:36	btc updown 5m 1785136500	Up	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0x074cad…
07-27 07:00:49	btc updown 5m 1785135600	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd1d72c…
07-27 06:59:31	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf11830…
07-27 06:49:57	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x143de0…
07-27 05:55:22	btc updown 15m 1785131100	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcfac99…
07-27 05:54:24	btc updown 5m 1785131400	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7875c5…
07-10 09:05:28	btc updown 5m 1783674300	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x443263…
07-10 08:53:11	btc updown 15m 1783673100	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1bac58…
06-15 19:00:24	btc updown 5m 1781550000	Up	BUY	31	34¢	$10	0x618225…
06-15 18:51:22	btc updown 5m 1781549400	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf9c378…
06-15 18:45:40	btc updown 5m 1781549100	Down	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x541ed9…
06-15 18:43:37	btc updown 15m 1781548200	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0ea3c0…
06-15 09:09:34	btc updown 5m 1781514300	Down	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xe1f829…
06-15 08:32:33	btc updown 5m 1781512200	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x053237…
06-14 04:22:42	btc updown 5m 1781410800	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x93d701…
06-12 20:49:48	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x3420dd…
06-12 20:48:48	btc updown 5m 1781297100	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xac82b9…
06-11 09:30:39	btc updown 5m 1781170200	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1c61fb…
06-04 03:26:45	btc updown 15m 1780542900	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x3b997c…
06-04 03:20:58	btc updown 5m 1780543200	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x830d78…
06-04 03:20:25	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 3	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x125c1e…
06-04 02:35:28	btc updown 5m 1780540500	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x01cb6c…
06-02 12:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x6d072c…
06-02 12:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9d6ea8…
06-02 12:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xeecf19…
06-02 12:28:42	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc82a8e…
05-31 18:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x87f60e…
05-31 18:31:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xca14b4…
05-31 18:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6e91c5…
05-31 18:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x709e1c…
05-31 18:25:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	194	5¢	$10	0x41b692…
05-31 18:24:51	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xacb0f6…
05-31 18:23:03	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xc476b8…
05-31 18:19:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfb48d1…
05-31 18:17:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	281	2¢	$7	0xb5fc6c…
05-31 18:12:36	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe1d513…
05-31 18:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xf95910…
05-31 18:07:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$6	0x3a0e52…