Honored-Implication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.45K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

1,813

Trades

2,760

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-04 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 35% -$1,396

Other

13% 30% -$56

Politics

11% 41% +$16

Sports

0% 10% -$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	17	$1.3K	870	870	+0	Yes	+$4	03-15 19:23
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	15	$941	693	693	+0	Yes	-$1	03-16 16:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$858	1,715	1,715	+0	No	+$60	04-19 15:47
will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	15	$742	452	452	+0	Yes	-$10	03-13 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:50 UTC	2	$579	711	703	+7	Down	+$177	03-11 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	3	$388	5,333	333	+5,000	Down	+$278	05-21 12:15
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	12	$324	171	171	+0	Yes	+$12	03-07 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:25 UTC	1	$303	447	0	+447	Up	-$303	03-10 09:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:30 UTC	5	$296	228	149	+79	Up	+$3	03-13 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 23:05 UTC	1	$294	715	0	+715	Up	+$421	03-09 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 15:55 UTC	2	$293	256	244	+11	Down	+$104	04-19 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 15:50 UTC	2	$288	333	313	+20	Up	+$208	04-19 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 13:05 UTC	2	$265	262	258	+4	Down	+$69	03-13 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$254	219	210	+9	Up	+$54	04-26 13:07
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	10	$229	125	125	+0	Yes	+$21	03-04 06:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	12	$211	285	285	+0	No	-$3	03-16 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:20 UTC	1	$203	376	0	+376	Up	-$203	03-10 09:20
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	7	$202	170	170	+0	Yes	-$8	03-16 15:59
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	11	$197	114	114	+0	Yes	+$1	03-07 15:49
will cristian sanabria win the 2026 sucre mayoral election	8	$186	148	148	+0	No	-$4	03-16 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$183	169	163	+7	Up	+$42	04-26 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 10:00 UTC	1	$172	381	0	+381	Down	-$172	03-10 10:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 13:10 UTC	3	$167	118	116	+2	Up	+$59	03-13 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$162	139	122	+17	Up	+$45	04-27 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:45 UTC	2	$161	359	0	+359	Down	+$198	04-20 09:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 22:45 UTC	1	$160	285	0	+285	Down	+$125	03-09 22:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:55 UTC	1	$150	333	0	+333	Up	-$150	04-20 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 23:55 UTC	1	$150	341	0	+341	Down	-$150	03-11 23:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 00:00 UTC	1	$150	357	0	+357	Down	-$150	03-12 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:55 UTC	2	$149	158	156	+2	Up	+$15	03-11 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 15:50:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x648990…
08-04 14:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xd0b9e8…
08-04 13:58:33	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	800	0¢	$1	0x323d67…
08-04 13:40:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	59	37¢	$22	0x303b27…
08-04 13:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	109	64¢	$70	0x5bd2fd…
08-04 13:37:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	109	41¢	$45	0x4e7df4…
08-04 13:31:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0xef490a…
08-04 13:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xc6006f…
08-04 13:22:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xecf49f…
08-04 13:21:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0x7835ff…
08-04 13:10:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x210bb4…
08-04 13:08:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0xd53341…
08-04 13:06:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xae6b47…
08-04 13:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd959d4…
08-04 13:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x802fc7…
08-04 13:04:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x3f93c8…
08-04 13:03:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	94	34¢	$32	0x0af49b…
08-04 13:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x5d2410…
08-04 12:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb8a224…
08-02 18:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa87382…
08-01 10:16:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0xe9433d…
08-01 10:14:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0xeb2d7b…
08-01 10:12:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	95	19¢	$18	0xefee4e…
08-01 10:07:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	133	24¢	$32	0x5f465a…
08-01 10:06:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	92	90¢	$83	0x304ddc…
08-01 10:01:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	53	35¢	$19	0x5a4acd…
08-01 10:00:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0x44fdc0…
08-01 09:55:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	127	26¢	$33	0x1436d2…
08-01 09:53:32	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xeb4f37…
08-01 09:51:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	136	10¢	$13	0xefda64…
08-01 09:50:32	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x671b21…
08-01 09:49:09	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x69d037…
08-01 09:46:44	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	43	18¢	$8	0x27a719…
08-01 09:40:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	117	24¢	$28	0x3839c8…
08-01 00:02:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0x0d095d…
08-01 00:02:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf1a131…
07-31 23:30:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	84	38¢	$32	0x363aba…
07-31 23:29:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x617fee…
07-31 23:29:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3a309e…
07-31 23:29:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	216	23¢	$49	0x814d2c…
07-31 23:28:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe1a1b9…
07-31 23:20:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0xfe662b…
07-31 23:20:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	121	19¢	$23	0xe62e4b…
07-31 23:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x13840b…
07-31 23:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	71	52¢	$37	0x19072f…
07-31 23:18:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xf66c11…
07-31 23:17:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	109	33¢	$36	0x5b316c…
07-31 23:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	136	38¢	$52	0xbf4a3c…
07-31 23:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x36b0ff…
07-31 23:05:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xa3c934…
07-31 20:09:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xd2cb62…
07-31 20:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf7c645…
07-31 19:56:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x397671…
07-31 17:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	138	35¢	$48	0xe1cdfa…
07-31 16:53:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	126	27¢	$34	0xa39d73…
07-30 15:35:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x7c5d8c…
07-30 15:20:45	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x9a0a15…
07-30 15:20:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x49d745…
07-27 19:49:42	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xc3b1c8…
07-27 15:14:51	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x64729f…
07-27 15:13:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x0a0f19…
07-27 15:13:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbe5eb4…
07-27 08:35:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x40c69d…
07-27 07:15:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0x074cad…
07-27 07:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd1d72c…
07-27 06:59:31	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf11830…
07-27 06:49:57	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x143de0…
07-27 05:55:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcfac99…
07-27 05:54:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7875c5…
07-10 09:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x443263…
07-10 08:53:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1bac58…
06-15 19:14:52	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x6ea049…
06-15 19:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xcd61ba…
06-15 19:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd8c554…
06-15 19:08:48	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x84aafa…
06-15 19:00:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	34¢	$10	0x618225…
06-15 18:58:27	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x225df9…
06-15 18:58:24	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0xc4d3c5…
06-15 18:58:21	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x34d3f2…
06-15 18:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf9c378…
06-15 18:45:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x541ed9…
06-15 18:43:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0ea3c0…
06-15 18:41:01	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x7563e7…
06-15 18:40:54	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	21¢	$6	0x2f8436…
06-15 18:40:51	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	33	23¢	$8	0x815ceb…
06-15 16:57:33	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xf3bd51…
06-15 16:57:28	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	69	23¢	$16	0x751595…
06-15 09:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa75865…
06-15 09:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xe1f829…
06-15 08:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x053237…
06-15 08:31:51	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7d163a…
06-15 08:31:33	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb2dc19…
06-15 08:31:19	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0xd489aa…
06-14 04:29:48	Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x3f0b92…
06-14 04:28:49	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x024195…
06-14 04:22:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x93d701…
06-14 04:22:01	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6bb7f7…
06-14 04:21:46	Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1f9da7…
06-12 20:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa70e03…
06-12 20:49:48	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x3420dd…