Flashy-Chapel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

371

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-09 21:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 97% $-19

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$113	59	59	+0	open	—	05-06 18:31
Nothing Ever Happens: April	2	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	05-06 18:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$105	106	0	+106	open	—	05-18 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$104	105	0	+105	open	—	05-18 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$103	104	0	+104	open	—	05-17 21:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$102	103	0	+103	open	—	05-17 20:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$101	102	0	+102	open	—	05-17 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-17 17:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	05-16 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$98	99	0	+99	open	—	05-16 18:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$97	98	0	+98	open	—	05-15 21:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$96	97	0	+97	open	—	05-15 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$95	96	0	+96	open	—	05-15 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$94	95	0	+95	open	—	05-15 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$94	95	0	+95	open	—	05-15 19:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$93	94	0	+94	open	—	05-15 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$92	93	0	+93	open	—	05-15 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$91	92	0	+92	open	—	05-15 14:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$90	91	0	+91	open	—	05-15 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$89	90	0	+90	open	—	05-15 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$88	89	0	+89	open	—	05-14 23:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$88	89	0	+89	open	—	05-15 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$87	88	0	+88	Up	+$1	05-13 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$86	87	0	+87	Down	+$1	05-13 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$85	86	0	+86	Down	+$1	05-12 22:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$84	85	0	+85	open	—	05-30 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$84	85	0	+85	Down	+$1	05-12 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$84	85	0	+85	Up	+$1	05-12 20:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$83	84	0	+84	Up	+$1	05-11 22:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$82	84	0	+84	open	—	05-30 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:39:45	eth updown 5m 1781040900	Up	BUY	111	70¢	$78	0xc970cf…
06-09 21:09:31	eth updown 5m 1781039100	Up	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x92acb0…
06-09 20:04:42	eth updown 5m 1781035200	Up	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x9a72f8…
06-08 20:59:48	eth updown 5m 1780952100	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x102fcf…
06-08 20:24:58	btc updown 5m 1780950000	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x1d41af…
06-08 18:04:51	btc updown 5m 1780941600	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x20b7a9…
06-08 17:55:00	btc updown 5m 1780941000	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x2df60f…
06-08 17:44:51	btc updown 5m 1780940400	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xfef7d7…
06-08 17:29:16	eth updown 5m 1780939500	Up	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xdc22c1…
06-08 17:24:31	btc updown 5m 1780939200	Up	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x7f4221…
06-07 21:19:42	eth updown 5m 1780866900	Down	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xe31395…
06-07 17:44:48	btc updown 15m 1780853400	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x5a1d01…
06-06 19:59:49	eth updown 5m 1780775700	Down	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x6bd479…
06-06 19:19:31	btc updown 5m 1780773300	Down	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x0e3014…
06-06 18:49:33	btc updown 5m 1780771500	Down	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x0ae8b9…
06-06 18:24:16	btc updown 5m 1780770000	Up	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x18154a…
06-06 16:29:48	eth updown 5m 1780763100	Down	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x354131…
06-06 15:49:54	btc updown 5m 1780760700	Down	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x88b8cd…
06-06 14:29:43	btc updown 5m 1780755900	Down	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x14bb25…
06-06 12:14:57	eth updown 5m 1780747800	Down	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xc29606…
06-05 18:44:57	eth updown 15m 1780684200	Down	BUY	77	71¢	$55	0xe99e64…
06-05 15:04:51	eth updown 5m 1780671600	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x95cefd…
06-05 14:29:43	eth updown 5m 1780669500	Down	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x26c57d…
06-04 18:59:45	btc updown 15m 1780598700	Down	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x5e9bb7…
06-03 20:59:51	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Down	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x583315…
06-03 11:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xdf416b…
06-02 20:59:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x37b9e8…
05-31 21:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc269d0…
05-31 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xdc4f84…
05-30 21:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xaccb15…
05-30 16:54:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x902b0f…
05-30 16:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x79e549…
05-30 16:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x9a17e1…
05-30 14:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x25dd63…
05-30 13:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xd8423e…
05-30 13:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x241268…
05-30 11:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0xf33563…
05-30 10:54:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0xa66401…
05-30 10:49:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x6b9f86…
05-29 22:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x12d999…
05-29 10:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x67be54…
05-28 20:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x485b12…
05-26 19:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x895f35…
05-25 18:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x326bb2…
05-25 17:39:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xf821c3…
05-23 15:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x834708…
05-23 13:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x5005dd…
05-23 11:54:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x28a7bf…
05-23 11:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xee0769…
05-23 11:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xa002ae…
05-23 11:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x1272fc…
05-23 10:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x9055af…
05-22 23:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xfe2f28…
05-22 20:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0xe47642…
05-22 18:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xa7afcb…
05-21 23:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0xc2702b…
05-21 21:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x9afe75…
05-21 20:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xc56a5e…
05-21 20:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x7d753f…
05-21 19:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x63a7a1…
05-21 19:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x6f13d8…
05-18 12:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	74	77¢	$57	0x1e8013…
05-18 12:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xc9bea7…
05-18 11:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x898c87…
05-18 10:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x839d23…
05-18 10:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x813fc8…
05-18 10:39:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xb3cc61…
05-17 21:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x95746e…
05-17 20:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xc8802d…
05-17 18:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xece614…
05-17 17:04:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb6d0f6…
05-16 18:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x85c7d6…
05-16 18:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xf7a6b8…
05-15 21:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x070ed4…
05-15 21:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0xac2036…
05-15 20:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x801d86…
05-15 19:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xe41181…
05-15 19:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xf04bd9…
05-15 18:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0xae418e…
05-15 15:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xd93159…
05-15 14:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xfdeeb4…
05-15 12:59:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xfabb20…
05-15 11:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x53f94e…
05-15 11:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x1d15f8…
05-15 10:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x493f80…
05-14 23:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x3d2fd4…
05-13 22:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xaad062…
05-13 22:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x68c280…
05-12 22:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xdeef6a…
05-12 21:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xd5e586…
05-12 20:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xc6bbef…
05-11 22:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x916569…
05-11 20:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x14f906…
05-11 20:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x4066d3…
05-11 19:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xa800b2…
05-11 18:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x9f3a45…
05-11 17:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x511da0…
05-09 21:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x607a39…
05-09 19:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xe51b5b…
05-09 17:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x511912…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	350	$22.9K	3,191	06-09 21:40
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	320	$48.7K	16,163	06-09 21:39
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	318	$39.1K	7,573	06-09 21:39
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	317	$55.5K	18,554	06-09 21:39
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	311	$159.0K	5,731	06-09 21:39
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	311	$46.5K	9,234	06-09 21:39
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	309	$139.1K	21,590	06-09 21:40
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	302	$107.2K	7,890	06-02 20:58