Identical-Dispute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,506

lifetime

Volume

$71.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-04 05:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% $-29

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776954300	4	$935	623	615	+9	open	—	04-23 14:29
btc updown 5m 1776968100	47	$712	1,084	538	+546	open	—	04-23 18:19
btc updown 5m 1776968400	2	$629	499	482	+17	open	—	04-23 18:24
btc updown 5m 1776954000	4	$564	481	468	+13	open	—	04-23 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$455	643	604	+39	open	—	04-26 11:49
btc updown 5m 1776969600	5	$387	285	208	+77	open	—	04-23 18:45
btc updown 5m 1776836100	3	$340	392	164	+227	open	—	04-22 05:38
btc updown 5m 1777002300	2	$304	226	217	+9	open	—	04-24 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$291	279	266	+13	open	—	04-26 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$277	336	226	+110	open	—	04-26 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$261	269	164	+105	open	—	04-27 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$250	200	193	+7	open	—	04-27 09:38
btc updown 5m 1776763800	2	$244	172	167	+5	open	—	04-21 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$242	191	185	+7	open	—	04-27 09:17
btc updown 5m 1776835800	2	$238	149	146	+4	open	—	04-22 05:34
btc updown 5m 1776960600	2	$227	179	173	+6	open	—	04-23 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$224	167	167	+0	open	—	05-16 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$224	260	249	+12	open	—	04-27 09:07
btc updown 5m 1775750100	4	$223	189	86	+103	open	—	04-09 15:59
btc updown 5m 1776836700	2	$220	165	161	+5	open	—	04-22 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$218	155	151	+4	open	—	04-26 02:01
btc updown 5m 1776773700	6	$208	176	171	+6	open	—	04-21 12:18
btc updown 5m 1776956100	2	$206	121	119	+2	open	—	04-23 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	13	$204	179	174	+6	open	—	04-27 02:33
btc updown 5m 1775828400	2	$204	108	107	+1	open	—	04-10 13:44
btc updown 5m 1776969000	2	$200	105	105	+0	open	—	04-23 18:34
btc updown 5m 1776769500	2	$200	349	0	+349	open	—	04-21 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$199	304	0	+304	open	—	04-26 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	05-13 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	05-13 16:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 05:21:37	btc updown 5m 1780550400	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x172037…
05-16 09:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x884aec…
05-16 09:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	62¢	$29	0x02acf3…
05-16 09:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0xc1b175…
05-16 09:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0x41bfa6…
05-16 08:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	66	68¢	$45	0x6defca…
05-16 08:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x41069b…
05-16 08:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	98	40¢	$40	0xc18337…
05-16 08:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x060b94…
05-16 08:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	88	16¢	$14	0x2b0a02…
05-16 08:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xd8e371…
05-16 07:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	104	53¢	$55	0xd5d448…
05-16 07:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xfd01f0…
05-16 07:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	140	42¢	$58	0xdb54b8…
05-16 07:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0x822018…
05-16 07:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	167	75¢	$124	0x674bad…
05-16 07:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xfceb28…
05-16 07:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	123	38¢	$47	0x43092e…
05-16 07:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0xa1c0ba…
05-16 06:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	93	65¢	$60	0x99f5e5…
05-16 05:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x044627…
05-15 11:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xdd41d5…
05-15 07:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x89d296…
05-15 03:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0e97bf…
05-14 23:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb0aa6e…
05-14 22:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xebbce4…
05-14 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xeea69d…
05-14 05:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	113	49¢	$55	0x62d1f7…
05-14 05:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x3eacb4…
05-14 05:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xef9ec9…
05-14 05:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xda915f…
05-14 05:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	79	60¢	$47	0x3c81d7…
05-14 05:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x0fb464…
05-14 05:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x40e317…
05-14 05:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6d22d3…
05-14 04:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x74122c…
05-14 04:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	113	51¢	$57	0xca9f0a…
05-14 04:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x2c6546…
05-14 04:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	122	16¢	$20	0xc0e301…
05-14 04:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xea8071…
05-14 04:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	88	75¢	$66	0x12e638…
05-14 04:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x667d2e…
05-14 03:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	74	94¢	$70	0xa80475…
05-14 03:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xbee960…
05-14 02:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xf012a8…
05-13 19:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	58¢	$117	0x9a494b…
05-13 17:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	200	95¢	$189	0x379495…
05-13 17:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x9ed383…
05-13 16:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x89af9b…
05-13 16:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x86ff2c…
05-13 15:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x5aa3ab…
05-13 15:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd1209d…
05-13 14:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x82ddfe…
05-13 13:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x772a3f…
05-13 11:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xdfea2a…
05-13 09:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x159d6f…
05-13 08:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf6df2d…
05-12 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0830d5…
05-12 14:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe6e803…
05-12 14:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0ab4f5…
05-12 09:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x920d9b…
05-12 05:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc6412d…
05-11 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef12c8…
05-11 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xda4bf9…
05-11 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9ea5f…
05-11 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x89e36e…
05-11 05:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x89d90e…
05-11 05:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x411a04…
05-11 05:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1dcbb9…
05-11 05:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x13b83f…
05-11 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x894372…
05-11 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x78b1c3…
05-11 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x60b7b4…
05-11 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x37fc29…
04-27 21:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5cf6df…
04-27 21:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xf8e950…
04-27 20:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x62f8dc…
04-27 20:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x707ece…
04-27 20:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0x77df77…
04-27 20:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x65ec45…
04-27 20:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0xc13758…
04-27 19:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x2ebc61…
04-27 19:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	27	63¢	$17	0x959368…
04-27 19:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x3187ca…
04-27 18:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x98e083…
04-27 18:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xece723…
04-27 18:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xd1d72f…
04-27 18:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x292f2e…
04-27 17:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	27	29¢	$8	0x7e99d2…
04-27 17:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x020872…
04-27 16:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xdddf32…
04-27 15:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xfe1cd1…
04-27 15:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1159be…
04-27 15:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x998bc9…
04-27 15:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xbeb1e2…
04-27 15:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x0091cf…
04-27 14:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x63a727…
04-27 14:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0xec05d4…
04-27 14:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xef1f48…
04-27 13:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc1efa4…