Wry-Apprehension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.7%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$996

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-08 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

77% 100% +$0

Other

22% 0% $-4

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	12	$342	512	512	+0	open	—	05-23 21:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	6	$148	78	78	+0	open	—	05-22 04:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$117	86	86	+0	open	—	05-20 21:55
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-16 21:06
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	3	$35	19	26	-6	open	—	06-08 18:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 17:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	6	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 22:29
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	4	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	06-08 12:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-16 16:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	3	$20	32	32	+0	open	—	06-08 20:46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	7	$16	26	26	+0	Lilmix	$-4	05-05 11:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	3	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 16:26
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-08 20:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-12 00:33
iran closes its airspace by june 15	4	$10	658	0	+658	open	—	06-08 00:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	06-06 22:04
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-08 20:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-08 20:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-29 23:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	05-16 00:18
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	06-08 20:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-13 00:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$6	13	9	+4	open	—	05-29 23:52
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-08 21:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-10 05:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$5	12	12	+0	open	—	05-21 11:44
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 01:01
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	4	$5	70	0	+70	open	—	04-29 23:52
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 16:06
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$4	12	12	+0	open	—	05-09 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 20:58:46	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xcb2353…
06-08 20:46:27	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	SELL	32	29¢	$9	0xd19f84…
06-08 20:42:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x181df4…
06-08 20:39:51	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x6d334b…
06-08 20:39:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xaae8f2…
06-08 20:39:33	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x06856a…
06-08 18:41:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	26	79¢	$20	0x43f152…
06-08 12:28:15	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x19f8ec…
06-08 00:28:40	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xda31ca…
06-07 23:46:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x40388a…
06-07 23:46:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1fe77d…
06-07 23:46:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x15dbc8…
06-07 13:25:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xa6ef86…
06-06 22:16:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa5dec8…
06-06 22:15:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe79017…
06-06 22:14:40	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xf8420f…
06-06 22:04:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xe98cda…
06-02 23:27:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7c8c8c…
06-02 23:20:07	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xde28af…
06-02 23:09:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4f3399…
06-02 23:06:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x553bc9…
06-02 23:01:06	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x999bbd…
06-02 22:55:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ef164…
06-02 22:49:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2d7845…
06-01 19:19:48	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x586557…
06-01 19:18:32	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd0a89c…
05-31 04:45:58	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x921f6e…
05-30 14:05:29	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xbfd67b…
05-30 14:04:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xcb9b58…
05-30 02:14:47	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x57d2f8…
05-30 01:25:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xeede4c…
05-29 23:52:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe29d91…
05-29 23:52:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcf3a58…
05-29 23:51:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x795407…
05-29 23:50:21	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3e39ac…
05-29 23:48:26	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xeb03f8…
05-29 23:45:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x2abe13…
05-29 23:44:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x48e0bb…
05-29 23:43:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcb5529…
05-29 23:42:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x15ce6a…
05-23 21:44:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	83	81¢	$68	0x483ddf…
05-23 03:03:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x89b8ed…
05-23 02:58:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	419	1¢	$4	0x93f2eb…
05-23 02:58:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x9fc9e3…
05-23 01:37:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x9ca908…
05-22 04:46:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	84	90¢	$76	0x8fda6e…
05-22 04:45:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xda2fad…
05-21 21:19:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc27114…
05-21 21:09:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe5c020…
05-21 16:49:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	136	85¢	$116	0xa0903b…
05-21 12:19:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8f24c0…
05-21 11:46:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe9e91b…
05-21 11:44:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x8996cc…
05-20 22:32:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb12378…
05-20 22:31:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xb87822…
05-20 22:30:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x68a215…
05-20 22:30:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x21efa4…
05-20 22:29:31	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x668b6a…
05-20 22:04:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	73	83¢	$61	0x6fa315…
05-20 22:03:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x093a8f…
05-20 22:02:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8aeeee…
05-20 21:55:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	86	71¢	$61	0xfa17fa…
05-20 00:24:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xa8f5a8…
05-19 12:42:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xcafcc8…
05-19 12:34:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xc15583…
05-19 12:21:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x5f8b76…
05-19 12:09:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x18a16f…
05-19 12:08:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x83cd9b…
05-16 16:54:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	64	66¢	$42	0xd881b7…
05-16 16:26:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x661ddb…
05-16 16:26:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x9d239b…
05-16 00:18:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc5a47b…
05-15 16:06:30	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xab51c4…
05-15 15:52:18	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5cb396…
05-15 15:51:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5213a0…
05-15 15:51:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8105dd…
05-14 23:31:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xeb13ab…
05-14 13:37:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xa1d76d…
05-13 23:50:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8e9693…
05-13 14:28:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9ad912…
05-13 14:15:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf852ba…
05-13 14:09:39	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4cfa3e…
05-13 12:09:10	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xe81b45…
05-13 02:33:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3679b1…
05-13 01:01:43	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd4349e…
05-13 00:57:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbd6847…
05-12 23:23:12	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x55cbac…
05-12 23:20:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3f78dc…
05-12 22:24:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x09e3b3…
05-12 22:22:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x969b10…
05-12 21:05:40	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x93a8d3…
05-12 00:33:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3c60b4…
05-12 00:33:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb31328…
05-12 00:32:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x92c33c…
05-11 17:25:48	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2b50ae…
05-11 16:59:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x98b726…
05-11 16:57:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0778c7…
05-11 16:42:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe7a42e…
05-11 16:39:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x68859a…
05-11 16:38:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x9c4b71…