Polished-Blister — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

Trades

359

lifetime

Volume

$4.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-07 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 50% $-1

Politics

27% — —

Other

22% 0% $-2

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	22	$994	1,238	1,258	-20	open	—	06-01 12:44
iran closes its airspace by june 8	10	$529	1,037	1,037	+0	open	—	06-07 20:58
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	9	$447	3,061	2,593	+469	open	—	06-07 21:21
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	17	$365	278	278	+0	open	—	06-04 02:29
btc updown 5m 1780676100	9	$126	100	100	+0	open	—	06-05 16:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$103	76	76	+0	open	—	05-29 19:21
btc updown 5m 1780866000	4	$80	66	66	+0	open	—	06-07 21:03
cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05 map handicap home 1pt5	5	$74	67	67	+0	open	—	06-05 18:10
btc updown 5m 1780755600	10	$66	60	60	+0	open	—	06-06 14:21
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	20	$66	79	79	+0	open	—	06-07 02:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$64	46	46	+0	open	—	06-01 02:25
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	3	$61	75	75	+0	open	—	06-03 20:36
btc updown 5m 1780866900	1	$61	120	0	+120	open	—	06-07 21:12
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$57	37	37	+0	open	—	06-03 16:32
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$54	386	386	+0	open	—	05-30 17:30
btc updown 5m 1780749000	3	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	06-06 12:30
Rocket League: Karmine Corp vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	2	$46	31	31	+0	open	—	05-24 19:41
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	1	$42	64	0	+64	open	—	05-22 21:29
cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	4	$36	34	34	+0	open	—	06-07 18:48
cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	2	$36	35	35	+0	open	—	06-07 18:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	2	$35	105	105	+0	open	—	05-18 20:52
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	4	$34	307	307	+0	open	—	06-05 17:20
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	06-07 01:13
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)	3	$32	55	0	+55	open	—	05-24 01:10
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	06-02 17:19
btc updown 5m 1780865700	2	$30	250	250	+0	open	—	06-07 20:59
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	5	$29	29	29	+0	open	—	06-02 19:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 14:43
btc updown 5m 1780763100	4	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 16:26
btc updown 5m 1780866300	4	$25	39	39	+0	open	—	06-07 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 23:20:01	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x3a48b6…
06-07 21:21:51	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xdb352d…
06-07 21:20:13	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	413	3¢	$14	0x4fca02…
06-07 21:12:15	btc updown 5m 1780866900	Up	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x449c16…
06-07 21:11:21	btc updown 5m 1780866600	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xdaa05c…
06-07 21:08:46	btc updown 5m 1780866300	Down	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x48a239…
06-07 21:08:45	btc updown 5m 1780866300	Down	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x0430b5…
06-07 21:06:12	btc updown 5m 1780866300	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xad6d41…
06-07 21:06:00	btc updown 5m 1780866300	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc2cec0…
06-07 21:03:01	btc updown 5m 1780866000	Down	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xb936bf…
06-07 21:03:01	btc updown 5m 1780866000	Down	SELL	57	67¢	$38	0xb40ff3…
06-07 21:00:36	btc updown 5m 1780866000	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x97b6fa…
06-07 21:00:24	btc updown 5m 1780866000	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x39ca3c…
06-07 20:59:42	btc updown 5m 1780865700	Down	SELL	250	10¢	$25	0x1cda67…
06-07 20:59:24	btc updown 5m 1780865700	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe4754d…
06-07 20:58:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	549	8¢	$43	0x041661…
06-07 20:56:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	549	13¢	$70	0x58b458…
06-07 20:46:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	352	20¢	$70	0xb2214f…
06-07 20:45:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xbe3e72…
06-07 20:28:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	89	39¢	$35	0xcafb51…
06-07 20:22:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x54508a…
06-07 20:22:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	35	22¢	$8	0x0bed9e…
06-07 20:20:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	136	55¢	$75	0x368249…
06-07 20:19:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	115	58¢	$66	0x3557e0…
06-07 20:19:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	135	45¢	$61	0x00dcd3…
06-07 20:02:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x462de8…
06-07 19:56:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6cef84…
06-07 19:55:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xe87872…
06-07 18:48:13	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	SELL	25	53¢	$13	0xe2aa24…
06-07 18:48:13	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x9081ea…
06-07 18:44:42	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	G2	SELL	35	50¢	$18	0xf6916c…
06-07 17:36:06	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x789673…
06-07 17:35:15	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x030bf1…
06-07 17:34:10	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x0c2283…
06-07 17:34:01	cs2 g2 fut 2026 06 07	G2	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0xfef3e1…
06-07 17:12:58	cs2 b8 gl1 2026 06 07 game2	B8	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x103dad…
06-07 15:22:03	cs2 b8 gl1 2026 06 07 game1	GamerLegion	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc65eb8…
06-07 13:16:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0x24f2c0…
06-07 13:10:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x1cda06…
06-07 13:07:18	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	2,485	8¢	$211	0xef9666…
06-07 12:44:09	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	2,485	8¢	$196	0x79f33a…
06-07 12:06:09	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	82	11¢	$9	0x7bf54d…
06-07 11:43:28	cs2 ast10 tyloo 2026 06 07	Astralis	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4b506f…
06-07 10:19:28	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x194c3e…
06-07 10:17:24	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xa5b4f0…
06-07 02:55:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xee7cb7…
06-07 02:55:09	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xfc57ac…
06-07 02:45:10	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xa3e661…
06-07 02:45:03	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xe373c5…
06-07 02:37:39	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x8dba8b…
06-07 02:37:37	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x5b5f95…
06-07 02:35:13	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x4452af…
06-07 02:35:03	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x86d147…
06-07 02:05:13	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x937ef6…
06-07 01:55:18	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xa6aa22…
06-07 01:45:15	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xfef322…
06-07 01:35:19	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xa12da2…
06-07 01:35:10	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd78431…
06-07 01:28:42	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x1f5684…
06-07 01:25:19	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x1e5ca4…
06-07 01:13:55	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x6019fb…
06-07 01:09:37	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xac00c6…
06-07 01:02:28	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xcc3b93…
06-07 00:41:15	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0x36b55c…
06-07 00:40:42	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x7d0a3a…
06-06 20:48:12	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x7f5cb4…
06-06 20:47:36	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x7f4d18…
06-06 20:47:24	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xca18f6…
06-06 18:19:54	cs2 lgc fly 2026 06 06	Legacy	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x94927f…
06-06 16:26:06	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0xb890fe…
06-06 16:26:06	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x67c0a9…
06-06 16:26:06	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x005b86…
06-06 16:24:51	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9d32c2…
06-06 15:43:52	cs2 fut tyloo 2026 06 06	TYLOO	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x0c4e0f…
06-06 14:55:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x630bdd…
06-06 14:21:31	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xb4a161…
06-06 14:21:31	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Down	SELL	28	70¢	$20	0x5e7368…
06-06 14:21:30	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xbabc64…
06-06 14:21:30	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Down	SELL	25	70¢	$17	0x840929…
06-06 14:20:15	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xca64ae…
06-06 14:20:15	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x97b098…
06-06 14:20:15	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7ed5d4…
06-06 14:20:15	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7a5d09…
06-06 14:20:15	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6b40f5…
06-06 14:20:15	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x46ecb7…
06-06 14:17:45	cs2 ts7 bb3 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x01f1f9…
06-06 13:39:15	btc updown 5m 1780752900	Down	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xb6cd88…
06-06 13:38:43	btc updown 5m 1780752900	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xeeafc0…
06-06 13:34:22	cs2 ts7 bb3 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8fc477…
06-06 12:30:31	btc updown 5m 1780749000	Down	SELL	18	70¢	$13	0x92088d…
06-06 12:30:31	btc updown 5m 1780749000	Down	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0x16ffdd…
06-06 12:28:51	btc updown 5m 1780749000	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3f645d…
06-06 12:17:51	cs2 mnte big5 2026 06 06	BIG	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5497c6…
06-06 10:50:34	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x742898…
06-06 10:28:09	cs2 ast10 gl1 2026 06 06	Astralis	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3338eb…
06-06 10:12:28	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb3a94d…
06-06 10:11:10	cs2 mnte big5 2026 06 06	BIG	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x033385…
06-06 10:10:52	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06	paiN	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd025a8…
06-05 23:41:28	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x646902…
06-05 22:15:39	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6e7cca…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	101	$172.7K	3,115	06-09 08:23
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	84	$297.5K	1,609	06-09 18:44
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	74	$123.5K	2,280	06-07 21:37
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	74	$25.5K	7,178	06-09 21:24
Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb	71	$1.33K	235	06-08 00:28
Next-Exception 0x3e6d…2671	70	$4.27K	568	06-09 17:16
(anonymous) 0x35e7…8331	68	$27.4K	761	06-07 09:30
Flawless-Precipitation 0xbbbf…388e	62	$1.52K	448	06-07 21:23