Prestigious-Chitchat — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$388

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved (90d)

688

Trades (90d)

827

14,933 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$5.69K

$71.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-26 08:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 56% -$4,252

Other

5% 56% -$282

Tech

1% 25% -$17

Politics

1% 40% -$32

Sports

0% 43% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No		+15	$9	86¢	$13	+$4	06-24 10:06
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes		+15	$9	15¢	$2	-$7	06-27 02:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	65	$640	1,280	0	+1,280	Down	-$640	05-02 18:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 07:30 UTC	182	$453	861	133	+728	Down	-$8	03-24 07:36
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	21	$426	718	51	+667	Yes	-$37	06-25 03:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 09:30 UTC	146	$403	762	0	+762	Up	-$3	03-24 09:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 08:00 UTC	134	$340	696	60	+636	Down	-$12	03-24 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	19	$320	640	0	+640	Down	-$320	05-02 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	25	$320	640	0	+640	Up	+$320	05-01 16:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 07:00 UTC	116	$315	612	0	+612	Up	-$21	03-24 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:45 UTC	1	$314	640	0	+640	Down	-$314	04-13 14:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$277	201	201	+0	No	+$0	06-24 17:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 13:15 UTC	29	$266	505	0	+505	Up	-$266	03-29 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	33	$263	526	0	+526	Up	+$263	05-02 15:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 09:15 UTC	11	$230	454	0	+454	Down	+$224	03-29 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	20	$226	452	0	+452	Up	-$226	05-02 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$198	120	120	+0	Up	+$37	05-06 08:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 13:00 UTC	43	$193	323	19	+304	Down	-$40	03-24 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$160	320	0	+320	Down	-$160	05-02 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	17	$160	320	0	+320	Down	-$160	05-01 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$160	320	0	+320	Down	+$160	05-01 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:15 UTC	2	$157	320	0	+320	Down	-$157	04-13 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 08:30 UTC	77	$149	300	0	+300	Up	+$20	03-24 08:36
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	7	$138	101	101	+0	Yes	-$1	06-24 16:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	3	$131	201	201	+0	No	-$22	06-26 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$126	212	0	+212	Down	+$86	05-26 17:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 12:45 UTC	16	$126	237	0	+237	Up	-$126	03-29 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$120	203	0	+203	Down	+$82	05-25 05:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 10:45 UTC	43	$120	214	0	+214	Up	-$13	03-24 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	18	$119	237	0	+237	Up	-$119	05-02 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$116	200	0	+200	Down	+$84	05-23 03:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 22:30 UTC	1	$113	240	0	+240	Up	-$113	04-08 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xe0476d…
10-26 07:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x05fa25…
10-26 07:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x60af95…
10-26 07:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	46¢	$7	0xb25de8…
10-26 05:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd2e01d…
10-26 04:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x77ca82…
10-26 03:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xdec5de…
10-26 01:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xc06153…
10-26 01:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x7ea1ba…
10-26 01:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x4a711f…
10-25 23:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xa1302a…
10-25 22:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x18d62b…
10-25 21:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x029e15…
10-25 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5a917d…
10-25 17:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xd572b3…
10-25 15:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x889dd5…
10-25 14:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x38996b…
10-25 14:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3ce5db…
10-24 23:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x49c671…
10-24 14:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$7	0x99afe8…
10-24 08:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x92ba54…
10-24 05:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa8ecd7…
10-24 03:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf3bc44…
10-24 00:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa79ddd…
10-23 14:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x129d9a…
10-23 12:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x750f17…
10-23 11:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x53f08a…
10-23 06:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x654899…
10-15 05:21:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x37e078…
10-15 05:06:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0xa78723…
10-15 04:06:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xa5cf96…
10-15 03:52:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xbb7a57…
10-15 03:51:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xc902de…
10-15 03:37:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x359bdd…
10-15 03:36:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xe839ef…
10-15 03:22:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0x9b51f1…
10-14 22:36:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x2d018c…
10-14 22:08:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x543e8d…
10-14 22:06:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	21¢	$6	0x9662c0…
10-14 21:52:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$5	0x27e9a4…
10-14 21:51:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xf28335…
10-14 21:21:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x91ddc8…
10-14 21:06:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0x78ce1d…
10-14 20:51:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xee3a3a…
10-14 20:38:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x30af27…
10-14 20:36:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x291062…
10-14 20:06:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	18¢	$6	0xc4cd13…
10-14 19:51:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x0b8a9d…
10-14 19:37:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xd7ef8a…
10-14 19:23:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x6ad4f3…
10-14 19:22:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0x443883…
10-14 19:08:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x666b64…
10-14 19:07:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x3e5e15…
10-14 18:36:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x7bbf67…
10-14 18:24:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x60511b…
10-14 17:37:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x655779…
10-14 17:36:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x66b437…
10-14 17:21:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x3173c9…
10-14 17:06:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0xb2d0b7…
10-14 16:52:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xfac458…
10-14 16:37:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x5c1ff5…
10-14 16:21:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x89d864…
10-14 15:52:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0xd59e7a…
10-14 15:21:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xd2f005…
10-14 15:06:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0x0a7ba9…
10-14 14:53:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xd92bdf…
10-14 14:52:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x2079c1…
10-14 14:36:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xd10a0b…
10-14 14:23:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	23¢	$8	0x5fa412…
10-14 13:51:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x4fd719…
10-14 13:23:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x302aac…
10-14 13:21:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x182fd0…
10-14 13:07:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xff719d…
10-14 13:06:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x960f61…
10-14 12:52:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf80394…
10-14 12:51:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x9c43d6…
10-14 11:52:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x15b896…
10-14 11:51:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xfdb205…
10-14 11:38:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x3b655d…
10-14 11:36:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x4fd0e3…
10-14 11:22:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x6d09de…
10-14 11:21:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xb4b059…
10-14 11:07:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x64d195…
10-14 11:06:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xf50d6f…
10-14 10:52:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xd0cbdd…
10-14 10:51:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x049188…
10-14 10:36:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xd2ba22…
10-14 10:06:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xe846cc…
10-14 09:53:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xd9cda2…
10-14 09:51:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0xc8beeb…
10-14 09:36:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x93d897…
10-14 09:21:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x83d3c8…
10-14 09:07:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x4f47e7…
10-14 09:06:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	59¢	$13	0x6baefe…
10-14 08:51:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x3672d6…
10-14 08:36:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x00d49d…
10-14 07:06:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xf6da45…
10-14 06:52:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x38bbf6…
10-14 06:36:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x10c554…
10-14 06:22:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x936216…