Quick-Soundness — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$613

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved (90d)

188

Trades (90d)

635

2,519 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.89K

$314.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-25 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

57% 48% -$6,161

Politics

40% 58% +$3,772

Sports

3% 100% +$3,082

Crypto

0% 10% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$16.0K	8,512	8,512	+0	No	+$0	06-22 22:20
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	6	$14.4K	7,460	7,460	+0	No	+$12	06-23 22:34
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	24	$14.2K	7,539	7,539	+0	Yes	+$583	06-21 11:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$13.3K	9,568	9,568	+0	No	+$4,877	06-20 17:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	18	$11.9K	6,572	6,572	+0	Yes	+$1,198	06-24 20:35
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	24	$9.9K	11,841	11,841	+0	Yes	+$3,065	07-07 19:34
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	31	$8.7K	10,899	10,899	-0	No	+$227	07-25 14:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 26?	45	$8.3K	4,339	4,339	+0	No	+$353	06-26 17:47
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	31	$6.8K	11,863	11,863	+0	No	-$701	07-24 05:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?	81	$6.6K	4,228	4,228	+0	No	+$1,037	06-25 14:55
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	27	$6.3K	11,978	11,978	+0	No	-$1,631	07-16 00:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	10	$6.0K	3,891	3,891	+0	Yes	-$266	06-17 16:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	12	$5.5K	3,064	3,064	+0	No	-$5	06-13 04:34
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	3	$5.3K	3,270	3,270	+0	Yes	+$1,253	06-18 20:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?	9	$5.2K	2,754	2,754	+0	No	+$253	06-24 20:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 30?	20	$5.2K	2,726	2,726	+0	No	+$276	06-30 13:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?	34	$5.1K	5,703	3,896	+1,807	Yes	-$2,278	06-26 17:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?	16	$5.1K	5,885	0	+5,885	Yes	-$5,066	06-25 10:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?	13	$5.0K	2,602	2,602	+0	No	+$151	06-25 10:53
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	7	$4.6K	2,821	2,821	+0	Yes	+$1,023	06-17 22:16
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	36	$4.3K	3,792	3,792	+0	Yes	-$926	06-27 20:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?	5	$4.3K	2,238	2,238	+0	No	+$191	06-27 16:25
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 8?	23	$4.3K	2,232	2,232	+0	No	+$204	07-08 12:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 30?	6	$4.2K	2,225	2,225	+0	No	+$218	06-30 07:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?	17	$3.9K	2,023	2,023	+0	No	+$123	06-26 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 25?	11	$3.9K	2,354	2,354	+0	No	+$808	06-25 19:56
untitled market 1 20260625224941800	5	$3.7K	1,895	1,895	+0	No	+$28	06-26 23:32
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	14	$3.6K	2,222	2,221	+1	Yes	+$39	07-30 21:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	9	$3.5K	2,003	2,003	+0	No	+$107	06-17 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 29?	27	$3.3K	1,708	1,708	+0	No	+$114	06-29 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 14:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x05f192…
08-25 14:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xca39f3…
08-25 13:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 25?	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x6cf1b9…
08-25 13:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x5600bc…
08-25 11:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x813c30…
08-25 11:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xcbc5d9…
08-25 11:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 25?	No	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x6225b4…
08-25 10:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x888008…
08-25 10:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x279b0a…
08-25 10:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x794ef9…
08-25 10:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf4e147…
08-25 05:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	21	31¢	$6	0xacdd62…
08-24 21:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xe3ea02…
08-24 21:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x27e2b9…
08-24 17:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x4f4747…
08-24 17:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xdd1c3f…
08-24 17:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	42	17¢	$7	0x1f2bbc…
08-24 17:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xc2836b…
08-24 17:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x89bd3d…
08-24 17:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x83ef7a…
08-24 16:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	89	38¢	$34	0x62665a…
08-24 11:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4beb1e…
08-24 11:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	45	80¢	$36	0x9f6e68…
08-24 10:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 24?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdb0f5a…
08-24 10:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 24?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd531ea…
08-24 09:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	71	12¢	$9	0x8fab0a…
08-24 09:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x793866…
08-24 09:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xd9440e…
08-24 08:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	45	41¢	$18	0x29bf99…
08-24 08:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x730323…
08-24 08:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0xad7044…
08-24 08:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xfcd1d1…
08-24 08:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 24?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x84634c…
08-24 05:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	23	72¢	$16	0xce2aa3…
08-24 04:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xba293a…
08-24 04:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x9d5325…
08-24 04:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	13	72¢	$10	0x10b34e…
08-24 04:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0xc0ad27…
08-23 19:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	74	23¢	$17	0x93eb92…
08-23 17:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x3154b2…
08-23 17:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x256392…
08-23 16:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd59a62…
08-23 14:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xaf9193…
08-23 14:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x651552…
08-23 11:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x374b32…
08-23 11:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x68fe9b…
08-23 10:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xe0427f…
08-23 10:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	116	23¢	$26	0x9c8da1…
08-23 03:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xd7aa5b…
08-23 03:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0x4e0581…
08-23 02:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xd97176…
08-23 01:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0xd59b3c…
08-23 01:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x49b18a…
08-23 01:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xe46c11…
08-23 01:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x874e23…
08-22 21:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0x7080c3…
08-22 21:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	45	23¢	$10	0xdf2d49…
08-22 21:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xc6e82a…
08-22 21:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x9b697d…
08-22 21:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x438591…
08-22 21:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x0be796…
08-22 21:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or below on August 23?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf4d2c3…
08-22 21:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	99	29¢	$29	0x190ff0…
08-22 21:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	62	10¢	$6	0x22c56c…
08-22 21:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or below on August 23?	Yes	BUY	109	0¢	$0	0x1ac330…
08-22 21:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	109	0¢	$0	0x651594…
08-22 21:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0xe44102…
08-22 21:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x25415f…
08-22 20:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7a57da…
08-22 20:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xc35b23…
08-22 20:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x4a43a5…
08-22 20:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2b0f25…
08-22 20:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	89	8¢	$7	0x64861d…
08-22 20:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on August 23?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0xd33ff9…
08-22 20:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x1f02cc…
08-22 20:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on August 23?	No	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x0c3e30…
08-22 20:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on August 23?	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xd5122c…
08-22 20:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x57638b…
08-22 20:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x3853f8…
08-22 17:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x4ccc5b…
08-22 17:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x6446c6…
08-22 16:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x3ec3ce…
08-22 16:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xe5c374…
08-22 14:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x648cef…
08-22 14:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xd65b90…
08-22 14:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0xb06938…
08-22 14:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x0dd1b0…
08-22 14:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x841ba4…
08-22 14:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x44d8f2…
08-22 14:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd26e73…
08-22 13:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x178e2d…
08-22 13:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xefccf1…
08-22 13:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x9e88f1…
08-22 13:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x696756…
08-22 13:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x85f1de…
08-22 13:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x30b60c…
08-22 13:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x01d185…
08-22 12:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x8d144f…
08-22 12:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x492136…
08-22 12:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x11a529…