Dimpled-Midden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$617

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

30.6%

Resolved

133

Trades

443

lifetime

Volume

$8.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 05-27 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

56% 32% -$431

Politics

35% 26% -$171

Crypto

5% 35% -$21

Pop-Culture

4% 25% +$3

Sports

0% 50% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-3	-$2	82¢	$-2	$0	05-26 18:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-3	-$1	18¢	$-1	$0	05-26 18:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$765	1,665	1,665	+0	No	-$15	05-26 15:23
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	17	$418	610	610	+0	Up	+$62	05-21 17:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	19	$397	12,906	8,811	+4,096	No	-$87	04-27 17:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$243	704	704	+0	No	+$0	04-22 03:01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	5	$223	215	215	+0	Down	-$10	05-19 08:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	4	$219	200	300	-100	Up	-$87	05-14 06:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	7	$215	200	200	+0	Up	+$1	05-15 07:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	12	$200	586	736	-150	Down	-$30	05-27 12:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	3	$195	186	186	+0	Down	-$2	04-24 09:55
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	2	$183	191	191	+0	Yes	-$8	04-26 13:58
will tisza win 46 50 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	7	$173	314	314	+0	No	-$9	04-12 10:32
val te drg 2026 04 14	2	$167	167	167	+0	Dragon Ranger Gaming	+$6	04-14 12:10
nflx up or down on april 13 2026	3	$160	220	220	+0	Up	-$3	04-13 06:19
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	2	$154	285	285	+0	Yes	-$6	04-15 13:47
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	7	$144	163	163	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 12:10
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	6	$143	300	300	+0	Down	-$5	05-18 07:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	7	$142	230	230	+0	No	+$1	03-25 16:47
spx up or down on march 23 2026	8	$136	131	131	+0	Up	+$3	03-23 12:47
will mrbeasts latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4	2	$134	100	100	+0	Yes	-$14	04-08 12:53
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$121	366	366	+0	No	-$4	04-28 12:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$119	277	277	+0	Yes	+$3	05-23 06:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$118	120	120	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 20:41
will kanye release bully by april 3	2	$117	93	93	+0	Yes	-$1	03-28 03:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$114	85	85	+0	Yes	-$1	03-30 22:25
spx up or down on march 27 2026	2	$111	89	89	+0	Down	-$5	03-27 08:17
cs2 b8 aur1 2026 04 15	2	$110	847	847	+1	Aurora Gaming	-$42	04-15 17:16
will trump say hell 5 times during the fii priority summit	4	$106	82	82	+0	Yes	+$1	03-27 10:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?	2	$103	100	100	+0	No	-$3	05-18 07:08
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 538	4	$102	154	154	+0	Yes	-$1	03-16 17:40
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	$0	03-16 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 12:09:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	358	7¢	$25	0xff5a0a…
05-27 10:49:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	119	10¢	$12	0x6543da…
05-27 08:49:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	159	16¢	$25	0xeaf380…
05-27 08:38:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x457c7c…
05-27 08:38:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	186	17¢	$32	0x437989…
05-27 08:38:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x038b27…
05-27 08:26:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xad0c3c…
05-27 07:04:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	36	21¢	$8	0x50f78d…
05-27 07:04:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xe80e1d…
05-27 07:00:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xe2ceb3…
05-27 06:48:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	54	24¢	$13	0xc0cc27…
05-27 06:47:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x20daf1…
05-26 18:42:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0xdf2b22…
05-26 18:42:31	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x121ee5…
05-26 18:42:10	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xef04fc…
05-26 18:42:07	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x0ad8a1…
05-26 15:23:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	24¢	$72	0x71cde3…
05-26 13:56:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	246	25¢	$61	0x6784cd…
05-26 13:56:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	25¢	$14	0xea54e5…
05-26 06:11:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6973da…
05-24 12:50:37	Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-In	Bushido Wildcats	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xb358d8…
05-24 12:47:30	Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-In	Bushido Wildcats	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x97854a…
05-24 12:46:50	Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-In	Bushido Wildcats	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x7e9250…
05-24 12:46:20	Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-In	Bushido Wildcats	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9c49ac…
05-24 06:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0bde83…
05-24 06:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x6641c9…
05-24 06:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe4dbd9…
05-24 06:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf2db2a…
05-24 06:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x4805ed…
05-24 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x38628a…
05-24 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xee2e2c…
05-24 05:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7097d…
05-24 05:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64e5c9…
05-24 05:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x675103…
05-24 05:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe26819…
05-24 05:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xde0f05…
05-24 05:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x201c19…
05-24 05:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x7df9f8…
05-24 05:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd25563…
05-24 04:59:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	400	9¢	$37	0xa0f491…
05-24 04:57:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$35	0xad5673…
05-23 20:54:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xf3307e…
05-23 20:28:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x92b953…
05-23 20:24:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	SELL	150	16¢	$24	0x66dfcf…
05-23 20:21:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x177b87…
05-23 06:40:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	277	22¢	$61	0x3a8a8a…
05-23 06:25:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	277	21¢	$58	0x87f49d…
05-21 17:32:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	117	66¢	$78	0xb76728…
05-21 15:39:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	39	20¢	$8	0xcb8b7a…
05-21 15:11:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	44	16¢	$7	0x90362a…
05-21 14:41:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	63	25¢	$16	0xc6b600…
05-21 14:41:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbab3e3…
05-21 14:41:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa167ea…
05-21 14:41:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x8fcc7c…
05-21 14:40:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x98c054…
05-21 13:56:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	310	34¢	$105	0xc73efa…
05-21 13:44:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x558088…
05-21 13:32:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x1332f6…
05-21 13:31:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x6ecb79…
05-21 13:31:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xa73146…
05-21 12:35:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	60	36¢	$22	0x77711d…
05-21 12:15:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xa2d88d…
05-21 12:03:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x396f14…
05-21 12:00:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8548f3…
05-21 11:16:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x6b4fe6…
05-21 10:41:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xc13664…
05-21 10:26:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$41	0xa69d4d…
05-21 10:26:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xad3f9d…
05-21 07:49:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xc78807…
05-21 06:54:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xb1d569…
05-21 06:53:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xd2d80c…
05-21 06:45:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	82	46¢	$38	0x0548ff…
05-21 06:45:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc287e1…
05-21 06:45:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x8084b3…
05-20 10:48:58	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb653b1…
05-19 12:47:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x85fd37…
05-19 11:15:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x91a8d4…
05-19 09:04:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xe835b1…
05-19 08:55:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xc3d28c…
05-19 08:09:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	115	49¢	$56	0x234cbb…
05-19 08:07:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x1b6f1e…
05-19 08:06:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xcdcb55…
05-19 07:30:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x0e58b2…
05-19 07:29:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x56142b…
05-19 07:27:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb8722e…
05-19 07:23:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x872d1d…
05-19 07:14:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcfa399…
05-19 07:08:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xe3c79c…
05-19 07:07:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x55f8a3…
05-18 07:19:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xce7b8a…
05-18 07:16:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x05cc22…
05-18 07:16:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x67bfdf…
05-18 07:15:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x94382b…
05-18 07:08:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xf6203b…
05-18 07:06:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x658327…
05-18 06:43:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xff0bf7…
05-18 06:20:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xbe2550…
05-17 10:24:16	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x58100a…
05-17 10:24:05	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	SELL	75	23¢	$17	0x3ea3ea…
05-17 10:19:48	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xcfb0b8…