Careful-Balance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

102

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$654

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-10 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% $-43

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775692500	12	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	04-08 23:59
btc updown 5m 1775689500	6	$17	22	0	+22	open	—	04-08 23:08
btc updown 5m 1775691600	4	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	04-08 23:44
btc updown 5m 1775691900	3	$14	21	0	+21	open	—	04-08 23:49
btc updown 5m 1775692200	2	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-08 23:51
eth updown 5m 1775691300	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-08 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$9	10	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-07 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$9	14	0	+14	Down	+$0	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$7	8	8	+0	Down	$-5	05-10 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	05-10 10:15
doge updown 5m 1775688600	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$7	9	9	+0	Up	$-5	05-07 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 20:55
btc updown 5m 1775690700	2	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	04-08 23:28
eth updown 5m 1775687400	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-08 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	Up	$-6	05-10 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$6	16	0	+16	open	—	05-04 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-3	05-10 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-04 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-0	05-10 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	5	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-07 21:11
btc updown 5m 1775691300	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-08 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	05-01 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	$-4	05-07 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-07 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 12:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xde324e…
05-10 12:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9beb4b…
05-10 12:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa82418…
05-10 12:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x5c29d0…
05-10 12:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf8bf95…
05-10 12:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc16eb1…
05-10 11:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf2fd41…
05-10 11:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2d0d1d…
05-10 11:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x87bfce…
05-10 11:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4cd989…
05-10 11:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1cb4e1…
05-10 11:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xff7d6d…
05-10 11:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xcead9d…
05-10 11:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf0a2d4…
05-10 11:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd00aec…
05-10 11:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x902d0e…
05-10 11:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcd95f2…
05-10 11:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xda7235…
05-10 11:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe9860f…
05-10 11:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x35edd7…
05-10 11:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb969bf…
05-10 11:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xabf9ae…
05-10 11:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xbb487c…
05-10 11:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x94ff82…
05-10 11:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa7bde1…
05-10 11:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdc8fe4…
05-10 11:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x49f093…
05-10 10:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x07a428…
05-10 10:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x95c28e…
05-10 10:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f3275…
05-10 10:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x13d968…
05-10 10:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbd4a35…
05-10 10:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0d9714…
05-10 10:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbfdbc8…
05-10 10:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe81fa4…
05-10 10:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x17f43e…
05-10 10:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0999b3…
05-08 13:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd00437…
05-08 11:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb31a9b…
05-07 21:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x3fe550…
05-07 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xdbe7d1…
05-07 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x485fa5…
05-07 21:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x31e0ac…
05-07 21:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x756aca…
05-07 21:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe5bba2…
05-07 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9dd024…
05-07 21:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3cfad4…
05-07 20:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x33e9f3…
05-07 20:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xceb099…
05-07 20:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf65e20…
05-07 19:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x527c7c…
05-07 19:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x376794…
05-07 19:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x38947c…
05-07 19:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9245ea…
05-07 19:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6dd432…
05-07 19:06:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x00906f…
05-07 19:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf4b372…
05-07 18:16:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf0a908…
05-07 18:16:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x1efc5c…
05-07 18:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4d9ff5…
05-07 18:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1f1246…
05-07 18:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x55b5f1…
05-07 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd2b5a1…
05-07 18:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x735d7f…
05-07 18:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc23d83…
05-07 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x93d51c…
05-07 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2940ab…
05-07 15:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xdea2a9…
05-07 15:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb1cbb8…
05-07 15:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7b9857…
05-07 15:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf1300d…
05-07 15:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc9bc23…
05-07 15:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6fab0e…
05-07 14:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3cb349…
05-07 14:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xf85c1b…
05-07 14:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0fa56e…
05-07 14:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa639c5…
05-07 13:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa08539…
05-07 13:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc7413d…
05-07 13:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc70f54…
05-07 13:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfca9d6…
05-07 13:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x87c382…
05-07 12:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe3028c…
05-07 12:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x60c2ef…
05-07 12:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf109a9…
05-07 12:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaa31fe…
05-07 12:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x38abd2…
05-07 12:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9f8aeb…
05-07 12:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xae0bab…
05-07 11:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb2bec3…
05-07 11:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x44ec11…
05-07 11:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf0fe6f…
05-07 11:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x63d680…
05-07 11:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf8d795…
05-07 11:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc18dcb…
05-07 11:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9ab7ff…
05-07 11:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3b0bf2…
05-07 11:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc6e40f…
05-07 10:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x761fa7…
05-07 03:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xff4769…