Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$56

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-08

last 10-11 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

55% 80% +$5

Politics

34% 0% -$3

Tech

5% 100% +$10

Sports

5% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes		+7	$2	22¢	$2	$0	10-08 09:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	1	$3	4	+4	No	+$1	10-10 18:53
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	10-08 08:55
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	1	$3	12	+12	Yes	+$10	10-08 08:52
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	10-08 08:52
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	1	$3	5	+5	Yes	-$3	10-08 11:47
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-09 07:30
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	2	$2	7	+7	open	—	10-08 09:10
Jinan: Kangyuan Shi vs Akira Santillan	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	10-11 10:05
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?	1	$2	12	+12	open	—	10-08 08:56
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	2	$2	7	+7	open	—	10-09 07:30
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	10-08 08:51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 10%-15%?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	10-08 08:57
Jinan: Keegan Smith vs Yuquan Jin	2	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	10-11 07:53
Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 10?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	10-10 18:46
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	10-08 11:48
Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	10-09 07:25
Will Gen.G Esports make a roster change by December?	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	10-10 18:41
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	10-09 10:38
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 20%-25%?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-09 07:35
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 13?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	10-09 10:37
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	10-09 07:31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-09 07:32
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	10-10 18:48
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	10-09 10:38
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-11 07:53
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-09 10:37
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	10-08 09:09
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-09 07:33
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	10-11 07:52
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-09 07:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 10:08:23	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf991db…
10-11 10:05:46	Jinan: Kangyuan Shi vs Akira Santillan	Akira Santillan	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb21965…
10-11 07:53:49	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb7c75e…
10-11 07:53:16	Jinan: Keegan Smith vs Yuquan Jin	Keegan Smith	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5fb01e…
10-11 07:52:57	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x530bf3…
10-11 07:52:10	Jinan: Keegan Smith vs Yuquan Jin	Keegan Smith	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd67e5d…
10-10 18:53:12	Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x467d49…
10-10 18:48:58	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe88d96…
10-10 18:46:57	Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 10?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x263dc0…
10-10 18:41:57	Will Gen.G Esports make a roster change by December?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf47adb…
10-09 10:38:25	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe4a49d…
10-09 10:38:04	Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe5bd63…
10-09 10:37:34	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 13?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2ed065…
10-09 10:37:09	Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0ab2e9…
10-09 07:35:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x73cee1…
10-09 07:33:13	Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x94d656…
10-09 07:32:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfc5e25…
10-09 07:32:04	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2d6632…
10-09 07:31:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x02cb6c…
10-09 07:31:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf9e0ee…
10-09 07:30:33	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb5c523…
10-09 07:30:22	Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6d9107…
10-09 07:29:57	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2491fa…
10-09 07:25:13	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x22af50…
10-08 19:11:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8bed5a…
10-08 19:10:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 25% or more?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5721e0…
10-08 11:48:35	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x13881a…
10-08 11:47:26	Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9e4c5c…
10-08 09:10:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x58168e…
10-08 09:10:17	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc2a692…
10-08 09:09:50	Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1ea32d…
10-08 08:57:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1b8d9e…
10-08 08:56:20	Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x454064…
10-08 08:55:14	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x71dd47…
10-08 08:52:35	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x85b19c…
10-08 08:52:13	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xb08830…
10-08 08:51:53	Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6deacc…