Cautious-Seaplane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$225

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-11 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	9	$45	4,778	0	+4,778	open	—	04-30 02:59
btc updown 5m 1775666100	2	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	04-08 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-01 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-01 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-01 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	open	—	05-04 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 00:12
btc updown 5m 1775669100	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 17:23
btc updown 5m 1775672400	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 18:19
btc updown 5m 1775673300	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	04-29 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	04-29 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	04-29 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$2	50	0	+50	Up	$-2	05-07 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-07 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-07 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9cfac8…
05-07 18:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xbf9a47…
05-07 18:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3f3f1a…
05-07 17:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xcca14f…
05-07 17:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf38e14…
05-07 17:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd18d0b…
05-07 15:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xaf3c99…
05-07 15:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x42c53a…
05-07 14:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x6b2fee…
05-07 14:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc03be0…
05-07 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x51f24d…
05-07 08:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6dd746…
05-07 07:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x50423d…
05-07 07:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd2afe1…
05-07 06:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x49084a…
05-07 02:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf87ffb…
05-07 02:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb6d162…
05-07 01:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0347c3…
05-06 22:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x565715…
05-06 22:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x333b3c…
05-04 18:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf02881…
05-04 17:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x00a629…
05-04 16:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc27c55…
05-04 16:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb64cd0…
05-04 16:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd4ee00…
05-04 15:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb6d51d…
05-04 15:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x2bfdf7…
05-04 14:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf02d20…
05-04 12:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc2e4c0…
05-04 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbbf19…
05-04 09:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5385fe…
05-01 12:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x53ba44…
05-01 12:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8cd3c…
05-01 08:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc64b71…
05-01 08:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0109b…
05-01 08:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfac358…
05-01 03:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x81ff88…
05-01 00:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xaeb5b8…
05-01 00:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe792c8…
04-30 22:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3b0a88…
04-30 15:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe55737…
04-30 14:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x51ea90…
04-30 13:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x69d270…
04-30 12:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcee6d8…
04-30 10:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9cd3b8…
04-30 10:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf8d598…
04-30 02:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,625	0¢	$5	0x7032f8…
04-30 02:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,307	0¢	$5	0x5075be…
04-30 02:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbeafae…
04-30 02:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xec00d6…
04-30 02:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	196	3¢	$5	0xa10f4d…
04-30 02:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xbf565f…
04-30 02:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	176	3¢	$5	0xb692f0…
04-30 02:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0x9ace80…
04-30 02:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x396a47…
04-29 23:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xa53c6f…
04-29 20:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0x43c225…
04-29 19:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xfaad3d…
04-29 18:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x622d6a…
04-29 16:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbdb4c0…
04-29 15:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x54eae6…
04-08 18:33:15	btc updown 5m 1775673300	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xed913e…
04-08 18:19:11	btc updown 5m 1775672400	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xff4705…
04-08 17:23:51	btc updown 5m 1775669100	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0b09c5…
04-08 16:33:59	btc updown 5m 1775666100	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb0b4f4…
04-08 16:33:57	btc updown 5m 1775666100	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb090a4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	54	$131.6K	6,634	05-11 14:45
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	54	$26.7K	7,028	05-11 14:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	54	$23.6K	6,285	05-11 14:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	54	$20.2K	2,652	05-11 14:43
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	54	$18.8K	2,484	05-11 14:43
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	54	$9.64K	3,658	05-11 14:42
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	54	$3.04K	1,243	05-11 14:42
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	53	$43.7K	4,467	05-11 14:44