Lonely-Kinase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$451

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 07-22 07:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

64% 0% $-2

Other

25% 50% $-0

Sports

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$200	220	0	+220	open	—	07-20 03:05
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	2	$70	83	0	+83	open	—	07-22 07:48
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	07-21 05:08
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	20	$49	1,052	45	+1,006	open	—	07-08 01:36
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	07-04 21:59
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-12 08:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	07-21 22:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	07-07 06:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-17 14:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 12:27
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-30 19:18
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-29 19:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	$-2	05-08 18:49
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-28 21:47
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team total away 1pt5	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-06 09:26
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-28 05:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-27 20:44
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-30 23:46
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-15 06:10
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-05 01:54
mlb wsh tb 2026 06 20	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-20 12:13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-23 04:08
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons PH vs Omega Esports (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season	1	$1	1	0	+1	Omega Esports	$-1	05-09 07:16
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 assists kylian mbappe gte1	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-17 14:28
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Tora vs Team Vamos (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season	1	$1	2	0	+2	Team Vamos	+$1	05-09 07:13
israel closes its airspace by june 11	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-10 21:47
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-05 01:54
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-08 02:17
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-23 04:17
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-10 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 07:48:46	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	82	84¢	$69	0xb9ff50…
07-21 22:50:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x879d51…
07-21 05:08:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf6007d…
07-20 03:05:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xb9d098…
07-17 14:28:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 assists kylian mbappe gte1	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7a36c3…
07-15 06:10:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x57aea8…
07-13 15:12:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2e30a4…
07-12 08:08:10	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9d87e6…
07-10 18:02:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x69998f…
07-10 12:12:47	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbbaaf4…
07-10 12:12:22	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x79a781…
07-10 02:01:20	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x593e9f…
07-10 02:00:38	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9f81ae…
07-08 02:18:17	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3edeac…
07-08 02:17:56	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x495a14…
07-08 02:17:07	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x181945…
07-08 02:06:56	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x253996…
07-08 01:36:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1e21ec…
07-07 09:57:31	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbd7927…
07-07 06:17:10	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x125f0f…
07-06 22:08:01	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2223b9…
07-06 21:45:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x90d417…
07-06 21:45:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xcf5f60…
07-06 21:40:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x141ab9…
07-06 21:37:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x97b4fe…
07-06 21:29:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe15742…
07-06 21:25:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2f18c7…
07-06 21:25:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x8ae73f…
07-06 21:22:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa88ac5…
07-06 21:15:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb85cbb…
07-06 21:15:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2097b7…
07-06 21:14:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4c7dd3…
07-06 21:13:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xa0a5b5…
07-06 21:07:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9ca4e7…
07-06 21:07:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1cf772…
07-06 21:05:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x877467…
07-06 09:26:47	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5ac369…
07-05 08:07:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x00fd12…
07-05 01:54:34	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6ff142…
07-05 01:54:14	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcb9a4f…
07-05 00:44:58	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x971dd4…
07-05 00:24:28	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0cc3df…
07-05 00:01:49	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xac8f12…
07-04 21:59:52	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x305206…
06-30 23:46:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcd8d23…
06-30 19:18:11	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1fc157…
06-29 19:57:08	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf304ca…
06-28 21:47:53	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xe07933…
06-28 05:31:32	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x03646c…
06-27 20:44:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd2c850…
06-25 10:32:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x84e7e9…
06-24 09:40:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xb26f57…
06-23 15:34:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x37f0f0…
06-22 01:57:40	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6e1525…
06-21 16:23:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa4863d…
06-20 14:23:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9584ae…
06-20 14:22:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6d79d7…
06-20 12:13:04	mlb wsh tb 2026 06 20	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4a10f3…
06-16 18:42:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xda747c…
06-10 21:47:31	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5a411b…
06-08 09:26:57	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6c1379…
06-07 11:20:54	mlbb vp ver 2026 06 07	Verso Time	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc1d9fb…
05-23 04:17:46	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8527e0…
05-23 04:08:05	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x97d7c7…
05-19 12:27:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x764cae…
05-17 14:59:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf6c133…
05-09 07:16:58	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons PH vs Omega Esports (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season	Team Falcons PH	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x71e431…
05-09 07:13:04	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Tora vs Team Vamos (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season	Team Vamos	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x784b9f…
05-08 18:49:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbaa4cd…
05-08 18:43:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb7a180…
05-08 08:21:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdf133f…
05-08 08:18:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcbc5a2…