Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$137

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 11-05 13:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

79% 57% -$5

Politics

18% 71% +$7

Tech

1% 0% -$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No		+1	$1	93¢	$1	+$0	11-04 21:39
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+10	$2	13¢	$1	-$1	08-10 00:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-15 19:28
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-13 08:35
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-04 07:58
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-01 13:49
spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-14 00:49
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-06 08:03
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-05 08:00
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-05 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-13 16:39
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-06 16:05
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-13 00:34
will ng dip to 2 70 by august 3 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-03 15:57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 15:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	07-23 13:23
ato quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt36	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 07:56
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-04 15:59
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$2	10	+10	open	—	08-10 00:24
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-19 15:48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	08-02 23:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-19 07:07
will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-04 23:59
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-03 23:58
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-28 16:01
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-06 00:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-12 08:32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-16 05:03
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-07 16:06
spy closes above 755 on august 3 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 15:57
will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-12 16:34
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-07 08:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 13:44:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3d91c7…
11-05 05:39:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x973038…
11-04 21:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe7860f…
11-04 20:28:19	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2defce…
11-03 08:07:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd6cf75…
11-03 00:07:37	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd50e68…
11-01 15:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2ce019…
11-01 06:22:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x94a70a…
10-30 11:10:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3bf337…
10-28 02:46:53	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9876a2…
10-27 18:46:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8239d1…
10-25 10:25:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2a502c…
10-25 02:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x836e34…
10-25 02:09:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe38420…
10-24 05:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x607608…
10-19 19:28:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1011d2…
10-19 11:28:51	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9385c9…
10-16 00:39:36	Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x357aed…
10-15 16:38:52	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd2640a…
10-15 08:31:32	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x528a40…
10-15 00:13:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc0fa72…
10-13 02:58:12	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x272a34…
10-11 06:02:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1fe5c0…
10-10 21:41:52	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x980b0f…
10-10 13:27:25	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4992f6…
10-10 05:17:43	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x365eb8…
10-09 17:46:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xde043c…
10-09 09:45:13	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6fdb29…
10-07 23:13:11	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x95277a…
10-07 15:13:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa45049…
10-07 06:26:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8c6c32…
10-03 06:40:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x03abb7…
10-02 21:24:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3919b9…
10-02 11:58:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8d7414…
10-01 14:50:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6f09e3…
10-01 06:50:38	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x64ac46…
09-30 10:32:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa46aa4…
09-30 02:31:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb72843…
09-24 15:32:42	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc85438…
08-28 16:01:13	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb6d608…
08-19 15:48:57	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8f94a3…
08-19 07:07:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcdf590…
08-16 05:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8bcfd6…
08-15 19:28:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x463027…
08-15 09:35:13	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa0f9eb…
08-14 00:49:24	spy closes above 780 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xecdd9a…
08-13 16:39:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf6f8fb…
08-13 08:35:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xed7846…
08-13 00:34:31	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xcb5606…
08-12 16:34:12	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xceaa20…
08-12 08:32:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe6964e…
08-10 00:24:01	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5a1db5…
08-07 16:06:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8a723f…
08-07 08:06:37	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe631a8…
08-07 00:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x830a85…
08-06 16:05:42	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xcf32f6…
08-06 08:03:17	Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4bc914…
08-06 00:02:44	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb40ef7…
08-05 16:01:18	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2b1b07…
08-05 08:00:14	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3fa99e…
08-04 23:59:32	will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1f4f79…
08-04 15:59:11	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc86b62…
08-04 07:58:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x07bba5…
08-03 23:58:14	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x927a3a…
08-03 15:57:56	will ng dip to 2 70 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc6a287…
08-03 15:57:35	spy closes above 755 on august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x65ca55…
08-03 07:56:51	ato quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt36	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9267c4…
08-02 23:50:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa4b277…
08-02 15:48:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8a8811…
08-02 06:48:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa5d71b…
08-01 22:42:00	will iran target a arab country on august 6 2026 20260801004719123	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x96200f…
08-01 13:49:17	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xd03612…
08-01 02:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc31328…
07-31 18:59:05	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x73534c…
07-31 10:58:39	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9f6098…
07-30 01:50:17	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf073a6…
07-29 15:30:06	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x35d5ee…
07-28 23:53:11	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xdf171d…
07-28 12:40:59	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9f44e0…
07-27 22:15:01	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2d9df4…
07-27 13:52:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xed365d…
07-27 01:30:54	will trump say supreme court during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556641	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x80d9e2…
07-26 13:28:33	will trump say save america during michigan remarks 20260724162420366	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x3e98c9…
07-26 01:28:06	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xf45124…
07-25 13:27:18	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x87f037…
07-25 01:24:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x38cae4…
07-24 13:24:33	will trump say sleepy during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255818	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbc86c6…
07-24 01:24:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3d320c…
07-23 13:23:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd82f42…
07-23 01:20:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x77cdfb…