Creamy-Association — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$480

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-14 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 32% $-6

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$76	99	47	+52	Down	$-24	05-09 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$49	45	45	+0	Up	+$29	05-09 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$38	30	30	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$26	21	21	+0	Down	+$16	05-11 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Down	$-25	05-09 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$21	20	11	+9	Up	+$1	05-09 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$16	68	6	+63	Up	$-4	05-09 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 06:59
btc updown 5m 1776687000	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-20 12:15
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	62	0	+62	open	—	05-14 15:57
btc updown 5m 1776686400	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	04-20 12:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$10	541	0	+541	Up	$-10	05-09 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	Down	+$0	05-09 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$10	29	0	+29	Up	$-10	05-09 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$10	49	0	+49	Down	$-10	05-11 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-09 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$6	33	0	+33	Up	$-6	05-09 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	$-5	05-11 14:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	Down	$-5	05-09 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-10 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-09 07:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-11 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	Down	$-5	05-09 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	Down	$-5	05-09 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	60	0	+60	Up	$-5	05-09 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	$-5	05-09 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Up	$-5	05-12 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-10 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$5	45	0	+45	Up	+$40	05-11 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$5	56	0	+56	Up	$-5	05-10 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 15:57:34	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa5a9f1…
05-14 15:57:04	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7f8b24…
05-14 15:56:24	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x27e9fa…
05-12 14:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xce47cf…
05-11 14:04:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8d2c27…
05-11 14:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xda7a4a…
05-11 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xea4388…
05-11 13:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x110df0…
05-11 08:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa95fa3…
05-11 03:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x73f4b6…
05-11 03:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6bc64a…
05-11 02:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xa5883c…
05-11 02:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xef4a35…
05-11 02:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd9cd1b…
05-11 01:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1ce172…
05-11 01:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4c67fc…
05-10 12:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x19b48d…
05-10 11:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf740a2…
05-10 11:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb15023…
05-10 11:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x509684…
05-10 11:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x449d28…
05-09 15:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x07824d…
05-09 08:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf81940…
05-09 08:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfe65c8…
05-09 08:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x633192…
05-09 08:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1fbb5e…
05-09 08:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb9d26e…
05-09 08:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x2e9a20…
05-09 07:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc6cb2a…
05-09 07:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x87528e…
05-09 07:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x64cf37…
05-09 07:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x2cb14a…
05-09 07:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xb12876…
05-09 07:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0xb163ae…
05-09 07:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9fc777…
05-09 07:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	47	55¢	$26	0xe75600…
05-09 07:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x73133a…
05-09 07:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x6aedfa…
05-09 07:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc17c54…
05-09 07:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x69f390…
05-09 07:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc67cc4…
05-09 07:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x2f70f1…
05-09 06:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf76df8…
05-09 06:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x781747…
05-09 06:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x58d1bd…
05-09 06:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x685403…
05-09 06:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x63829b…
05-09 02:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0x66ca19…
05-09 02:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x878141…
05-09 02:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4ba039…
05-09 02:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8c2e39…
05-09 02:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x04cbc1…
05-09 02:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x2258e2…
05-09 02:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4cbc82…
05-09 02:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9eebec…
05-09 02:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0xc15893…
05-09 02:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x655059…
05-09 02:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbc6d02…
05-09 02:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x317e01…
04-20 12:15:48	btc updown 5m 1776687300	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x184b84…
04-20 12:15:22	btc updown 5m 1776687000	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb7ea26…
04-20 12:12:32	btc updown 5m 1776687000	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x61172e…
04-20 12:03:00	btc updown 5m 1776686400	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x1da455…
04-20 05:54:56	btc updown 5m 1776664200	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35005f…
04-20 05:22:46	btc updown 5m 1776662400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x594d3c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	42	$53.8K	2,438	05-12 14:45
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	42	$21.1K	1,788	05-12 14:43
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	42	$17.9K	3,253	05-12 14:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	42	$9.17K	2,772	05-12 14:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	42	$8.12K	2,482	05-12 14:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	42	$7.03K	1,404	05-12 14:44
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	42	$6.43K	1,282	05-12 14:44
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	42	$1.76K	428	05-12 14:44