Outrageous-Nickel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$230

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.1%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$1.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-25 04:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

60% 68% -$202

Crypto

38% 60% -$33

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	4	$424	459	459	+0	Yes	-$166	05-10 17:33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	2	$101	348	348	+0	No	-$59	05-10 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$60	66	45	+20	Down	-$10	05-21 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$41	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 12:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$30	28	28	+0	Yes	+$8	10-20 20:39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	1	$27	40	0	+40	Yes	+$13	10-24 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$26	26	26	+0	Up	-$14	05-21 12:54
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	10-20 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-21 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$21	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 11:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 02:38
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$20	53	53	+0	No	+$0	10-20 21:32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	1	$20	33	0	+33	No	-$20	10-24 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$19	12	12	+0	Down	-$1	05-21 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$16	13	7	+6	Up	-$4	05-21 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$16	12	7	+5	Down	+$1	05-21 10:58
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?	2	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	05-21 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-21 08:04
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	1	$14	27	0	+27	Yes	+$13	10-23 13:49
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-22?	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	10-23 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$13	15	9	+6	Down	-$1	05-21 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-21 07:57
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?	2	$13	11	11	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-21 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 04:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xac9841…
10-24 20:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x9ed2bf…
10-24 17:25:05	Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0x7b6b57…
10-24 17:14:50	Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x351c54…
10-24 11:17:24	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xcec12f…
10-24 11:17:11	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb78121…
10-23 19:56:45	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x37cf62…
10-23 19:55:30	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6415ef…
10-23 13:50:02	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa71bf5…
10-23 13:49:21	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0xe447a5…
10-20 21:32:05	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0xbb034c…
10-20 20:39:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	28	69¢	$19	0x833dc7…
10-20 18:56:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xd45b04…
10-20 17:14:15	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc1e324…
10-20 15:05:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0xa0468d…
10-20 15:02:17	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2a5138…
10-20 15:01:56	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x82a795…
07-19 16:33:06	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x6f2ed5…
07-05 18:37:53	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc5b85e…
07-01 18:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb203fe…
07-01 18:02:58	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0a9ffe…
07-01 17:51:29	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2b39e8…
07-01 17:39:28	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x121225…
07-01 17:17:52	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x46cd04…
06-30 21:29:02	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x015459…
06-26 14:41:31	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3cd7c2…
05-23 20:54:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x003565…
05-23 05:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3db3c1…
05-22 11:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0991c4…
05-21 20:29:45	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfbba6b…
05-21 13:01:53	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xe22232…
05-21 12:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	26	25¢	$6	0x841659…
05-21 12:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x34268b…
05-21 12:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x06c1a6…
05-21 12:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xe34137…
05-21 12:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x12883e…
05-21 12:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x9d8f7c…
05-21 12:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x65c202…
05-21 12:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf993c9…
05-21 12:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc878f0…
05-21 11:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x3af5ff…
05-21 11:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd3dc3f…
05-21 11:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x0da5e3…
05-21 11:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x95a973…
05-21 11:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xf35db6…
05-21 11:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6cf073…
05-21 11:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x09d2ad…
05-21 11:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x446ed1…
05-21 11:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1b5311…
05-21 11:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7df3aa…
05-21 11:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xf0fed0…
05-21 11:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x348057…
05-21 10:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5f5f3e…
05-21 10:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x520136…
05-21 10:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7a10b2…
05-21 10:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x9a1b8a…
05-21 10:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbca035…
05-21 10:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x75b66b…
05-21 10:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9e87b0…
05-21 10:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x25fa9c…
05-21 10:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x08b4e8…
05-21 10:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa4bcc1…
05-21 10:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xae088b…
05-21 10:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x986f7e…
05-21 09:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x239645…
05-21 09:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x71b985…
05-21 09:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7057e9…
05-21 09:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x293a04…
05-21 09:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x81f00d…
05-21 09:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x6a27dd…
05-21 09:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xae526e…
05-21 08:59:24	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa46bea…
05-21 08:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x1332a8…
05-21 08:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x63f002…
05-21 08:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x9e6ec6…
05-21 08:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3abb57…
05-21 08:47:33	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x2da4eb…
05-21 08:46:02	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x31906b…
05-21 08:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x0e9c11…
05-21 08:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3634d3…
05-21 08:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xacc9c7…
05-21 08:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x45196b…
05-21 08:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0x58d503…
05-21 08:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x22ee89…
05-21 08:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x454883…
05-21 08:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xc1a9d8…
05-21 08:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x16ff28…
05-21 08:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x218454…
05-21 08:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa40490…
05-21 08:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x9c088c…
05-21 08:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3067c3…
05-21 08:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe4e75a…
05-21 08:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa6f898…
05-21 08:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe79e74…
05-21 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xa51168…
05-21 07:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc4db21…
05-21 07:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcce0cd…
05-21 07:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x66d248…
05-21 07:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbfdb0a…
05-21 07:37:53	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0a11c6…