Shiny-Thunderbolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$87

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-08 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

61% 55% -$20

Crypto

20% 100% +$2

Sports

13% 75% +$4

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl buf ott 2026 04 02	1	$5	9	+9	Senators	+$4	04-01 18:26
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-26 23:15
aus new wel 2026 01 23 draw	1	$5	21	+21	No	-$5	01-22 02:42
cs2 aur1 mglz 2026 03 27	1	$4	8	+8	Aurora Gaming	-$4	03-25 17:44
bitcoin above 70k on march 8	1	$4	6	+6	No	+$2	03-06 15:23
Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-26 23:18
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	1	$3	5	+5	Yes	-$3	03-25 17:45
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	07-08 22:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	05-26 23:20
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$3	5	+5	No	+$2	04-01 18:25
aus ade per 2026 02 20 draw	1	$3	4	+4	No	+$1	02-19 09:09
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	07-29 20:15
aus ade per 2026 02 20 total 4pt5	1	$3	12	+12	Under	-$3	02-19 09:09
bitcoin above 66k on august 24 2026	1	$3	3	+3	Yes	+$0	08-22 23:59
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	06-30 16:12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	08-28 23:05
aus ade per 2026 02 20 per	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	02-19 09:09
ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	1	$2	6	+6	Michael Page	-$2	03-20 09:05
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	05-26 23:21
will bitcoin reach 86k august 24 30 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-28 23:03
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 3pt5	1	$2	2	+2	England	+$0	07-17 08:28
bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	07-22 12:02
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	1	$2	2	+2	France	+$0	07-17 08:26
por gil scb 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	1	$2	3	+3	Over	-$2	02-14 09:32
aus new wel 2026 01 23 new	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	01-22 02:42
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	03-06 15:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	10-08 17:28
fl1 pfc rcl 2026 02 14 pfc	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	02-14 09:32
cs2 fal2 prv 2026 02 20	1	$1	4	+4	PARIVISION	+$3	02-19 09:09
will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-06 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 17:30:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xecc585…
10-08 17:28:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x365e7b…
08-28 23:05:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x74dbdd…
08-28 23:03:01	will bitcoin reach 86k august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x869fee…
08-22 23:59:01	bitcoin above 66k on august 24 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6f9402…
08-06 09:02:57	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8d247…
07-29 20:15:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd9a4a2…
07-22 12:02:04	bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x84a731…
07-17 08:28:10	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 3pt5	England	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6e2e34…
07-17 08:26:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	France	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x12eb6c…
07-08 22:25:58	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x4e36c7…
06-30 16:13:16	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x38e5a3…
06-30 16:12:23	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1e7da5…
05-26 23:21:59	Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4d7afe…
05-26 23:20:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd34117…
05-26 23:18:45	Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x81c500…
05-26 23:15:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x874474…
04-01 18:26:49	nhl buf ott 2026 04 02	Senators	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9ace87…
04-01 18:25:51	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x903ce2…
03-25 17:46:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x10a624…
03-25 17:45:51	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	No	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x48a4c1…
03-25 17:44:47	cs2 aur1 mglz 2026 03 27	TheMongolz	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x0eec43…
03-20 09:07:29	ufc luk12 mic34 2026 03 21	Luke Riley	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc0721c…
03-20 09:05:37	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Sam Patterson	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x3e99ae…
03-06 15:24:31	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc7f1b7…
03-06 15:23:09	bitcoin above 70k on march 8	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x6888b4…
02-19 09:09:50	aus ade per 2026 02 20 draw	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe5c007…
02-19 09:09:42	aus ade per 2026 02 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x4219f7…
02-19 09:09:34	aus ade per 2026 02 20 per	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x00c3c0…
02-19 09:09:24	cs2 fal2 prv 2026 02 20	PARIVISION	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xf87dd1…
02-14 09:32:27	por gil scb 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x579a51…
02-14 09:32:17	efa liv bha 2026 02 14 draw	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x225fa2…
02-14 09:32:09	fl1 pfc rcl 2026 02 14 pfc	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x8470a2…
01-22 02:42:18	aus new wel 2026 01 23 draw	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x562b94…
01-22 02:42:08	aus new wel 2026 01 23 new	No	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xa83a20…