Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$220

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 10-05 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

76% 52% -$18

Politics

21% 31% -$8

Crypto

2% 75% -$1

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	2	$7	14	+14	Yes	+$7	10-02 17:26
Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	2	$6	7	+7	No	+$1	10-04 15:12
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	1	$5	6	+6	No	+$1	09-29 19:26
Will anyone say "Blind" during Big Brother E36?	1	$5	19	+19	Yes	+$14	09-29 18:13
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$5	13	+13	Yes	-$5	09-29 15:51
Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week?	1	$5	10	+10	Yes	-$5	10-01 19:27
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	1	$5	16	+16	Yes	-$5	09-29 16:01
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 1?	1	$5	6	+6	Down	-$5	10-01 18:56
will trump say data center this week 20261004	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$2	09-29 13:53
GitHub.com critical incident by September 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-01 15:10
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	1	$5	7	+7	No	+$2	09-29 18:46
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 29?	1	$5	8	+8	Yes	+$3	09-29 14:57
state d4 drought 2026 09 29 wi	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	09-29 14:30
Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	09-29 15:20
Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	09-29 15:15
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 4, 2026?	2	$5	26	+26	Yes	-$5	10-03 15:14
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August?	1	$5	16	+16	No	-$5	09-29 18:47
will trump say 22 this week 20261004	1	$4	9	+9	Yes	+$4	09-30 13:04
mu up or down on september 30 2026	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	09-30 19:23
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?	1	$4	36	+36	No	-$4	09-30 15:12
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?	1	$4	5	+5	Yes	+$0	09-30 15:56
will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 160k	1	$4	36	+36	Yes	-$4	09-30 17:24
Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw?	1	$4	5	+5	Yes	+$0	09-30 14:41
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	1	$4	5	+5	Yes	+$1	10-01 14:36
Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?	1	$4	8	+8	No	+$4	10-02 18:45
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 100.40 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	10-02 15:21
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in September?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	09-30 18:31
Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	+$0	10-02 13:03
Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be G3 or higher?	1	$4	5	+5	No	+$1	10-02 13:46
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 5?	2	$4	11	+11	Up	-$4	10-04 16:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 17:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xd102b5…
10-05 16:03:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x48a798…
10-05 15:16:17	Will the CAQ win 10-14 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x30b749…
10-05 14:29:52	Will ISM Services PMI be at least 59.0 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee38e3…
10-05 14:06:28	will trump say si 5 during his midterm rally in nebraska october 5	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x057eb5…
10-04 19:35:32	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?	No	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x1f48a5…
10-04 18:45:59	Flyers vs. Lightning	Flyers	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xeaecd0…
10-04 16:33:46	nflx up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x9fc680…
10-04 15:53:35	Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x0cc54a…
10-04 15:12:16	Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x965fd1…
10-04 14:30:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x7b4a77…
10-04 13:48:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xc8d2b7…
10-03 19:25:10	World Championship of Legends: Pakistan Champions vs Bangladesh Champions	Bangladesh Champions	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x20bd47…
10-03 18:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 3?	No	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x5a9fef…
10-03 17:17:17	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x8b7e9b…
10-03 17:14:32	Will Solana reach $120 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xd9f0a4…
10-03 17:04:02	Latvia parliamentary election vote share margin of victory: AS 15-20%?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x035c75…
10-03 15:53:09	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x2bde8b…
10-03 15:14:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x5f5ee6…
10-03 14:33:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x273cb3…
10-03 13:46:23	Will OpenRouter process between 160T and 165T tokens the week of September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xf098cb…
10-03 13:08:33	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?	No	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x287efd…
10-02 19:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5687ec…
10-02 19:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 3?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xbb7acf…
10-02 18:45:38	Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x4b3e2e…
10-02 17:26:42	Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x97185e…
10-02 16:36:15	Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x1fd80f…
10-02 16:02:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf1e572…
10-02 15:58:59	Will "Digger" score at least 53 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x433d44…
10-02 15:21:57	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 100.40 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb1dd04…
10-02 14:40:18	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x609abf…
10-02 13:46:42	Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be G3 or higher?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb73ea2…
10-02 13:03:59	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb42651…
10-01 19:33:21	Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.4 on October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6e21a2…
10-01 19:27:29	Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4c9e2f…
10-01 18:59:06	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xaa2e14…
10-01 18:56:08	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9aa981…
10-01 18:07:56	Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x00ceb4…
10-01 18:02:56	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x00b76f…
10-01 17:17:33	Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0fcfd9…
10-01 17:14:21	Will the US add at least 200k jobs in September?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xfd39fb…
10-01 16:36:21	Will "Verity" score at least 44 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$4	0x3a938d…
10-01 16:35:56	Will "Patient Zero" hit 47m first week streams?	No	BUY	43	6¢	$2	0x5a0a4e…
10-01 15:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xec3497…
10-01 15:10:02	GitHub.com critical incident by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe2b5bd…
10-01 14:36:17	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xef77d5…
10-01 14:36:15	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xb2595a…
10-01 13:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0xe10465…
10-01 13:08:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x278292…
09-30 19:23:02	mu up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xbae1e7…
09-30 18:31:03	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in September?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x36a5bb…
09-30 17:59:36	Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in September?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xd11d9e…
09-30 17:24:17	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 160k	No	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0x8cef2a…
09-30 15:56:21	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0xfa72e4…
09-30 15:12:36	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0xa86a03…
09-30 14:41:42	Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0xe694d4…
09-30 13:56:17	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xc95afe…
09-30 13:56:15	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on September 30?	No	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xd6211d…
09-30 13:04:21	will trump say 22 this week 20261004	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x9c245b…
09-29 19:26:26	Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x70de1a…
09-29 19:26:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd1f738…
09-29 19:26:21	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0e85a4…
09-29 18:47:15	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xcc9253…
09-29 18:46:42	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x04f434…
09-29 18:46:29	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x52e02c…
09-29 18:13:21	Will anyone say "Blind" during Big Brother E36?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x6da66a…
09-29 16:47:21	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0fea2c…
09-29 16:46:30	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xcb03b4…
09-29 16:46:29	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xbb297b…
09-29 16:01:00	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xa0f627…
09-29 15:51:48	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xf76c60…
09-29 15:20:02	Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1ff490…
09-29 15:15:11	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xce5765…
09-29 14:57:26	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3e62f8…
09-29 14:32:51	where will it rain on september 28 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x0192fd…
09-29 14:30:08	state d4 drought 2026 09 29 wi	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdbfb98…
09-29 13:53:11	will trump say data center this week 20261004	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x861ab3…