Shocked-Direction — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

20.5%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

24 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$27

$27 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (2)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	Up		+4	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-05 21:20
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Down		+3	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-05 20:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-05 07:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-05 08:10
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	1	$2	0	3	-3	Down	$-1	05-04 22:34
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-05 22:20
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 19:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 20:03
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 07:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-05 04:20
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 20:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 21:20
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-04 23:20
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 06:20
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Down	$-1	05-05 05:35
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 12:01
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 13:46
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-05 12:21
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-05 18:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-05 10:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:20:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xc62bbe…
05-05 22:20:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x088f12…
05-05 21:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x41b0c3…
05-05 20:20:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x90019f…
05-05 20:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xbcf641…
05-05 19:18:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x38ba52…
05-05 18:28:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x4d6f54…
05-05 18:24:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x9c410e…
05-05 13:46:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x6fa5ee…
05-05 12:21:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x6378a0…
05-05 12:01:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xe4e3c0…
05-05 10:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x9f0e8a…
05-05 08:20:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb9b7fb…
05-05 08:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x19f856…
05-05 08:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf6ada1…
05-05 07:36:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xe5dd60…
05-05 07:31:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4bb170…
05-05 07:20:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x021c8c…
05-05 06:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x46b5f5…
05-05 05:35:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x74593f…
05-05 05:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8d1221…
05-05 04:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x00fa7d…
05-04 23:20:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0124cf…
05-04 22:34:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x835392…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	14	$2.73K	79	05-05 22:55
Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c	4	$1.12K	13	05-05 21:15