Skinny-Deliberation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,459

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-26 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 18% $-9

Other

2% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770367500	3	$40	40	20	+20	open	—	02-06 09:01
btc updown 15m 1769760000	8	$22	25	15	+10	open	—	01-30 08:16
btc updown 15m 1770365700	4	$21	45	0	+45	open	—	02-06 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	6	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	8	$13	20	10	+10	open	—	05-02 10:20
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	6	$12	14	9	+5	open	—	05-01 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 17:54
btc updown 5m 1774000500	3	$11	10	5	+5	open	—	03-20 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 10:09
btc updown 5m 1773920100	3	$11	10	5	+5	open	—	03-19 11:40
btc updown 15m 1770373800	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	02-06 10:24
btc updown 5m 1773999900	6	$10	15	5	+10	open	—	03-20 09:50
btc updown 15m 1773902700	3	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	03-19 07:02
btc updown 5m 1773920400	4	$10	15	5	+10	open	—	03-19 11:46
btc updown 5m 1774015200	4	$10	15	5	+10	open	—	03-20 14:06
btc updown 5m 1773899100	3	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	03-19 05:51
btc updown 5m 1774015800	4	$10	15	5	+10	open	—	03-20 14:17
btc updown 5m 1773998400	4	$10	15	5	+10	open	—	03-20 09:26
btc updown 5m 1773907500	4	$10	15	5	+10	open	—	03-19 08:11
btc updown 5m 1774023000	3	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	03-20 16:16
btc updown 15m 1769749200	5	$9	15	10	+5	open	—	01-30 05:17
btc updown 15m 1769498100	1	$9	0	9	-9	open	—	01-27 07:32
btc updown 5m 1773913800	4	$9	15	5	+10	open	—	03-19 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	4	$9	15	5	+10	open	—	05-02 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$8	15	5	+10	open	—	04-30 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$8	15	10	+5	open	—	05-03 09:04
btc updown 5m 1773998700	5	$8	15	5	+10	open	—	03-20 09:29
btc updown 15m 1769748300	4	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	01-30 05:01
btc updown 5m 1774016400	3	$8	10	5	+5	open	—	03-20 14:26
btc updown 5m 1773910500	4	$8	15	5	+10	open	—	03-19 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x4f8bf0…
05-26 15:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x815548…
05-26 14:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x093263…
05-26 14:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcee9f5…
05-26 14:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x398fc1…
05-05 05:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x232acf…
05-05 05:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf6ac6b…
05-05 05:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x19d81b…
05-05 05:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcd2a64…
05-05 05:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa84a12…
05-05 05:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x55f4d8…
05-05 05:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x635741…
05-05 05:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf53cac…
05-05 05:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xb842d8…
05-05 05:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x3d8f42…
05-05 05:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x37c36d…
05-05 05:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x06bb63…
05-05 05:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x04ffa3…
05-05 05:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1e232a…
05-05 05:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5fe109…
05-05 05:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x561f26…
05-05 05:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x19adbe…
05-05 05:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x204a32…
05-05 05:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xff6d12…
05-05 05:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x296ac9…
05-05 05:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x52b917…
05-05 04:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x4e8c55…
05-05 04:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8b70d6…
05-05 04:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x8fd0c1…
05-05 04:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x4d9e00…
05-05 04:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1833ed…
05-05 04:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6ca639…
05-05 04:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf8faa5…
05-05 04:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x0c66e9…
05-05 04:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2694d5…
05-05 04:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd6377a…
05-05 04:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd0c717…
05-05 04:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xb285e3…
05-05 04:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x4e107c…
05-05 04:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x461c9f…
05-05 04:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9ab8a6…
05-05 04:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xfc9039…
05-05 04:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9915b7…
05-05 04:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x4f0682…
05-05 04:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc5db9a…
05-05 04:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf2639b…
05-05 04:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x8abdfe…
05-05 04:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x19e6c1…
05-05 04:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x0cf7ab…
05-05 04:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5f3146…
05-04 17:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x45b79f…
05-04 17:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe2bc24…
05-04 17:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6186b8…
05-04 17:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7abcd3…
05-04 17:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x9b232c…
05-04 17:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x3ddf60…
05-04 16:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x236c11…
05-04 16:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe56f8b…
05-04 16:32:36	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xec76f3…
05-04 16:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbece66…
05-04 16:26:52	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x66324f…
05-04 16:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x777bd9…
05-04 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x85efa5…
05-04 16:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x6f6efb…
05-04 16:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd09826…
05-04 16:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x4c7742…
05-04 16:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf7b811…
05-04 16:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x27ba30…
05-04 16:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9a76b3…
05-04 15:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xeb706d…
05-04 15:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xf0fd7b…
05-04 15:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x717664…
05-04 15:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x259521…
05-04 15:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x350f32…
05-04 15:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7c2f38…
05-04 15:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2f89d7…
05-04 15:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x320de4…
05-04 15:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9f9793…
05-04 15:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x90b5b6…
05-04 15:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0c51d4…
05-04 15:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x70ae22…
05-04 15:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xe4f9bc…
05-04 15:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe647b2…
05-04 14:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0a62fe…
05-04 14:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf1b613…
05-04 14:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe965fb…
05-04 14:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfa4347…
05-04 14:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x742715…
05-04 14:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe21c47…
05-04 14:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc59293…
05-04 14:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1f2dc2…
05-04 14:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd443db…
05-04 14:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd65c52…
05-04 14:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xf6fbc0…
05-04 14:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xe60cc6…
05-04 14:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x25a963…
05-04 14:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd64f67…
05-04 14:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x890c3e…
05-04 14:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd984e4…
05-04 14:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdc61e7…