Monthly-Contrail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-13 22:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 26% $-81

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776492000	2	$81	77	72	+5	open	—	04-18 06:05
btc updown 5m 1776495300	2	$65	48	46	+2	open	—	04-18 07:01
btc updown 5m 1776490200	2	$59	53	50	+3	open	—	04-18 05:36
btc updown 5m 1776494400	2	$30	463	0	+463	open	—	04-18 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$30	1,583	0	+1,583	Up	$-30	05-04 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$24	47	47	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 16:23
btc updown 5m 1776492300	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-18 06:11
btc updown 5m 1776523200	4	$21	24	23	+1	open	—	04-18 14:43
btc updown 5m 1776496800	1	$20	250	0	+250	open	—	04-18 07:24
btc updown 5m 1776493800	2	$20	1,023	0	+1,023	open	—	04-18 06:35
btc updown 5m 1776496500	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-18 07:16
btc updown 5m 1776496200	1	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	04-18 07:12
btc updown 5m 1776489900	1	$20	118	0	+118	open	—	04-18 05:27
btc updown 5m 1776494100	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-18 06:39
btc updown 5m 1776495900	2	$20	145	0	+145	open	—	04-18 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	8	$18	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 23:57
btc updown 5m 1776492600	2	$18	59	34	+25	open	—	04-18 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$15	126	0	+126	Up	$-15	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	6	$14	75	43	+32	Up	$-2	05-06 05:54
btc updown 5m 1776523500	4	$14	15	15	+1	open	—	04-18 14:48
btc updown 5m 1776522900	6	$13	36	14	+23	open	—	04-18 14:39
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$12	1,443	0	+1,443	open	—	05-12 04:38
btc updown 5m 1776523800	2	$12	64	0	+64	open	—	04-18 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$11	98	6	+92	Up	$-1	05-05 02:04
btc updown 5m 1776520800	5	$10	112	11	+101	open	—	04-18 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$10	200	0	+200	Up	$-10	05-04 21:08
btc updown 5m 1776491400	1	$10	52	0	+52	open	—	04-18 05:54
btc updown 5m 1776491700	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-18 05:58
btc updown 5m 1776497100	1	$10	143	0	+143	open	—	04-18 07:29
btc updown 5m 1776495600	1	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	04-18 07:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 22:04:10	btc updown 5m 1781388000	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1fb567…
06-13 21:59:00	btc updown 5m 1781387700	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x379e9a…
06-04 06:39:28	btc updown 5m 1780554900	Down	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0xf75ed9…
06-04 06:35:43	btc updown 5m 1780554900	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x619250…
06-02 06:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xe8497e…
06-02 06:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xeddbc4…
06-02 06:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc9fda4…
06-02 06:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x5f48bc…
06-02 06:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcf9840…
06-02 06:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdf34f2…
06-01 21:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x2ee240…
06-01 21:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x009f8f…
06-01 21:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x45ae64…
06-01 19:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xe6e6c3…
06-01 19:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbbfff0…
05-26 21:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x48b18b…
05-26 05:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4f5acc…
05-26 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7c1adc…
05-26 05:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x849100…
05-25 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x94fd0b…
05-25 23:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x73e25e…
05-25 07:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x651b3a…
05-25 07:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa7d4be…
05-25 07:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3ae9b2…
05-25 07:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc1406c…
05-25 07:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfbc1f2…
05-25 07:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x33ba07…
05-25 07:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x233664…
05-24 07:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcb3fc7…
05-24 05:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x777986…
05-24 00:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x6fc083…
05-24 00:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2f5a51…
05-24 00:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xa131c2…
05-24 00:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x727689…
05-24 00:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3dfbaa…
05-23 23:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7df906…
05-23 23:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x35d63f…
05-23 23:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x694009…
05-23 08:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd17b60…
05-23 08:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x805319…
05-23 08:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x10e15f…
05-23 08:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x44727d…
05-23 08:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x6a265b…
05-23 08:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x38c3c4…
05-23 08:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8cfb88…
05-23 00:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeff622…
05-23 00:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x14577d…
05-23 00:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xaf3ab4…
05-23 00:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x051059…
05-23 00:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8abf83…
05-22 22:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x30444f…
05-22 22:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x58de32…
05-22 22:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8e2e66…
05-22 22:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xace2cd…
05-22 22:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x5e799c…
05-22 22:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe3320b…
05-22 22:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0x32ab95…
05-22 22:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe52da3…
05-22 22:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x866bdf…
05-22 21:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x4db117…
05-22 21:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfebfd1…
05-22 21:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb3ac21…
05-22 21:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xc2c6f7…
05-22 21:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd29e84…
05-22 21:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xcd6718…
05-22 21:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x988f41…
05-22 21:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9b5728…
05-22 21:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x14c07a…
05-22 21:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xdd128b…
05-22 21:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb7a38b…
05-22 21:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x2b0c35…
05-22 21:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x08f9f0…
05-22 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xa4198c…
05-22 20:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xea4151…
05-22 20:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x8c9e07…
05-22 20:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1a84b4…
05-22 18:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf6eab8…
05-22 08:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfb9791…
05-21 02:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa56b29…
05-21 02:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb3dc2e…
05-21 01:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2587f5…
05-21 01:47:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdd3073…
05-21 01:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$1	0x70cec1…
05-21 01:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x24b425…
05-12 04:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x72f842…
05-12 04:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc4d12e…
05-12 04:38:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x2d1401…
05-07 23:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe82a01…
05-07 23:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x5b30e7…
05-07 23:41:07	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x89360e…
05-07 02:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x808faa…
05-06 23:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3a6fc1…
05-06 23:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xadc33e…
05-06 23:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc48bfb…
05-06 22:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x36b368…
05-06 22:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x38aeef…
05-06 22:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x15cd92…
05-06 22:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x464e61…
05-06 22:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xaaa3d7…
05-06 21:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe24732…