Lovable-Institution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$276

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

494

Trades

976

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$978

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 11-09 17:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

90% 41% -$246

Crypto

10% 34% -$49

Sports

1% 50% +$20

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	+999	$699	88¢	$874	+$175	10-19 12:48
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	+999	$70	6¢	$58	-$11	10-19 12:49
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	+999	$200	4¢	$45	-$155	10-19 12:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol blg jdg 2026 08 12	10	$989	760	500	+260	JD Gaming	-$133	08-12 14:37
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	2	$699	999	0	+999	open	—	10-19 12:48
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	17	$341	6,500	6,500	+0	No	-$10	07-19 20:52
lol ig1 lng 2026 08 09	3	$329	367	15	+352	Invictus Gaming	+$53	08-09 08:50
lol kt dk 2026 06 07	15	$328	224	162	+62	KT Rolster	-$39	06-07 11:57
lol lgd al 2026 08 08	5	$323	178	178	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$32	08-08 11:16
lol lng ig1 2026 08 02	4	$289	312	40	+272	Invictus Gaming	+$62	08-02 12:15
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	3	$203	340	300	+40	Yes	+$26	07-19 04:58
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	1	$200	999	0	+999	open	—	10-19 12:48
lol nip lng 2026 08 15	3	$192	160	70	+90	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$38	08-15 10:26
lol blg edg 2026 08 08	1	$178	200	0	+200	Bilibili Gaming	+$22	08-08 11:23
lol tt blg 2026 08 13	2	$151	175	0	+175	Bilibili Gaming	+$25	08-13 11:57
lol lgd jdg 2026 08 16 game1	3	$140	80	80	+0	JD Gaming	+$20	08-16 07:51
lol edg al 2026 08 12	3	$128	100	100	+0	Anyone's Legend	-$50	08-12 12:05
Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-09?	3	$125	120	60	+60	No	+$17	10-09 13:07
lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	7	$124	300	300	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$19	06-06 12:28
lol wb ig1 2026 08 16	5	$123	100	100	+0	Invictus Gaming	-$19	08-16 12:14
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-09?	3	$121	180	120	+60	No	+$19	10-09 13:14
lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game2	4	$111	61	61	+0	Dplus KIA	+$11	06-07 09:19
lol we edg 2026 08 19	3	$82	130	0	+130	EDward Gaming	-$82	08-19 13:53
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)	2	$82	50	50	+0	Olympique Lyonnais	$0	10-09 12:51
Will PSV win on 2026-10-09?	2	$81	55	55	+0	Yes	-$1	10-09 12:51
lol ns fox1 2026 08 27	11	$80	150	100	+50	BNK FEARX	+$0	08-27 09:57
lol kt bro2 2026 08 26	3	$78	90	50	+40	KT Rolster	+$40	08-26 12:37
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-10-09?	2	$78	50	50	+0	No	$0	10-09 12:49
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-10-09?	2	$77	70	70	+0	Yes	+$0	10-09 12:49
lol ig1 lgd 2026 09 08	1	$76	119	0	+119	Invictus Gaming	+$43	09-07 11:30
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$74	66	66	+0	Dplus KIA	+$2	05-31 11:47
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-09?	3	$72	100	50	+50	Yes	-$29	10-09 08:30
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	1	$70	999	0	+999	open	—	10-19 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 17:27:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3dd7f7…
11-05 01:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd4f78d…
11-05 00:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb0ab98…
11-05 00:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x56f62f…
11-04 12:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xea420f…
11-04 12:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x365dff…
11-04 11:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x141b77…
11-04 11:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc90bd9…
11-04 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1f6400…
11-04 11:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x1cdfe2…
11-04 11:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0aa07d…
11-04 11:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xdbedff…
11-04 11:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xabefed…
11-04 11:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x61ef79…
11-04 11:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xd80320…
11-04 11:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xdad1a9…
11-04 10:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xb3fb8c…
11-04 10:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9dc548…
11-04 10:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x224502…
11-04 10:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x0ea776…
11-04 10:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xc803d6…
11-04 10:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x0747cc…
11-04 10:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf86313…
11-04 10:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x634bec…
11-04 10:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x41cb03…
11-04 10:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xb97e1f…
11-04 10:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xafe745…
11-04 10:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x44dbb5…
11-04 10:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xea7b39…
11-04 10:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa56e81…
11-04 09:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7a168a…
11-04 09:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf7949e…
11-04 09:26:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5862f7…
11-04 09:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x67e6fc…
11-04 09:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x2c7abe…
11-04 08:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7c9091…
11-04 08:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x4c556d…
11-04 08:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x996567…
11-04 08:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x240f49…
11-04 08:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x47834f…
11-04 08:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd2fb2b…
11-04 08:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x92b811…
11-04 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8295d2…
11-04 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x75ab5c…
11-04 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x724d8b…
11-04 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x180b5f…
11-04 08:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x89b1de…
11-04 07:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xfbbd77…
11-04 07:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x7d9c19…
11-04 07:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xada493…
11-04 07:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0c9c9d…
11-04 07:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xf33555…
11-04 07:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xcf7193…
11-04 07:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x0dd2ec…
11-04 07:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0e94b2…
11-04 07:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa6e0a8…
11-04 07:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x58c1e7…
11-04 07:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9f7af0…
11-04 07:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x084691…
11-04 07:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x92e148…
11-04 07:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x580e1f…
11-04 07:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xcb5a70…
11-04 07:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xc2bf3c…
11-04 07:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x10855c…
11-04 06:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9a5ed5…
11-04 06:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x52104e…
11-04 06:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5d3ce4…
11-04 06:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa80b42…
11-04 06:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf016a5…
11-04 06:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xf59378…
11-04 06:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x3625b0…
11-04 06:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3b3777…
11-04 06:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb70fee…
11-04 06:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x85ef9a…
11-04 06:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xcda2b3…
11-04 06:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xac745d…
11-04 06:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x5b1415…
11-04 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x00cdf0…
11-04 05:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xbe43e4…
11-04 05:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x422410…
11-04 05:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x489e9c…
11-04 05:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x3539ab…
11-04 05:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc0c880…
11-04 05:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa0aa9c…
11-04 05:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x3f822c…
11-04 05:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfb3582…
11-04 05:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4f89e8…
11-04 05:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd2bc09…
11-04 04:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf8bdb6…
11-04 04:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe5c8f3…
11-04 04:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2b3b3c…
11-04 04:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa735e9…
11-04 04:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xac12c5…
11-04 04:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xaa2ef4…
11-04 04:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7fe809…
11-04 04:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb17a42…
11-04 04:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x617380…
11-04 03:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc1fb2e…
11-04 03:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x46b1ef…
11-04 03:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x444cf4…