Satisfied-Perennial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$895

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

129

Trades

430

lifetime

Volume

$29.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-20 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

89% 67% +$990

Politics

9% 67% -$54

Crypto

2% 25% +$82

Sports

0% 50% -$110

Tech

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	18	$4.1K	2,900	2,900	+0	Yes	+$1,675	05-15 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$2.9K	1,606	1,606	+0	Yes	+$69	05-19 15:13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$1.6K	1,743	1,743	+0	No	-$114	05-22 00:26
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	9	$928	1,301	1,301	+0	Yes	+$25	05-21 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$916	470	470	+0	No	+$14	05-23 04:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	7	$903	470	470	+0	No	+$29	05-26 23:41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$897	590	590	+0	Yes	-$24	05-23 09:03
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	12	$864	460	460	+0	No	+$37	05-22 21:17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$807	410	410	+0	No	+$12	06-12 16:25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$798	400	400	+0	No	+$1	06-26 09:06
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$677	1,884	0	+1,884	No	-$677	05-15 14:21
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	3	$640	339	339	+0	No	+$24	07-11 09:28
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$548	560	0	+560	No	+$12	06-30 12:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$537	539	0	+539	No	+$2	07-10 12:30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	3	$510	566	0	+566	No	+$56	06-26 09:07
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$484	485	0	+485	No	+$1	07-07 12:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$409	210	210	+0	No	+$8	06-06 23:39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$403	411	0	+411	No	+$8	06-29 00:16
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$390	394	0	+394	No	+$4	07-08 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	21	$374	258	258	+0	Yes	+$142	07-10 12:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	8	$302	700	700	+0	No	-$118	06-03 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?	4	$284	200	200	+0	Yes	+$116	06-12 12:17
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	6	$276	508	0	+508	Yes	-$276	10-20 02:00
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5	6	$272	170	170	+0	Under	+$68	05-19 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 23:10 UTC	1	$261	512	0	+512	Up	+$251	06-25 23:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	5	$253	131	131	+0	No	+$8	05-21 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 25?	2	$236	125	125	+0	No	+$14	08-25 23:12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	7	$229	246	0	+246	No	+$17	08-31 03:33
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$219	120	120	+0	No	+$19	05-15 08:50
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5	3	$216	120	120	+0	Under	+$24	05-19 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 02:00:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x1e882b…
10-20 02:00:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x33f026…
10-20 01:59:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x158e39…
10-20 01:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x227510…
10-20 01:11:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	160	57¢	$90	0xc14f5d…
10-20 00:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	138	56¢	$77	0x55cb21…
10-14 02:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x73470f…
10-11 00:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x93f444…
10-02 10:48:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x218781…
09-26 00:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 26?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xba3d2f…
09-19 01:24:19	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x159599…
09-14 02:43:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	109	87¢	$95	0xfc4eaf…
09-11 13:43:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xb86c5c…
09-11 13:41:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x8e740c…
09-11 13:40:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x2c1706…
09-11 13:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xdcd83b…
08-31 03:33:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x7bf303…
08-31 03:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0x829350…
08-31 03:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf0968e…
08-31 03:31:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x891282…
08-31 03:31:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x4a1312…
08-31 03:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xf50ca5…
08-31 03:30:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0xfd616e…
08-31 03:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 31?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xca23d8…
08-30 23:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 31?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xf95840…
08-29 01:24:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c15ae…
08-25 23:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 25?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x231bef…
08-25 00:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 25?	No	BUY	125	89¢	$111	0x91ad95…
08-24 14:07:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xbdf1a5…
08-24 14:07:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc9e9b7…
08-24 14:07:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0c0fed…
08-22 10:43:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	188	98¢	$184	0xdfaebe…
08-22 10:42:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5396eb…
08-22 10:42:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x1fe4d7…
08-20 23:32:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	206	98¢	$203	0x8aecf0…
08-17 22:34:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$202	0x5ca2af…
08-16 23:51:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x08372d…
08-11 01:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x803585…
08-09 11:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	194	99¢	$192	0xc2ec59…
08-08 10:58:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xf51454…
08-08 10:55:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x710211…
08-06 12:35:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0x807f95…
08-06 12:34:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	101	87¢	$88	0x76ffa4…
08-03 23:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x2de112…
08-03 23:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x7ec0ef…
08-02 22:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0xe65b68…
08-02 22:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x8d56b8…
08-02 22:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0xed96a9…
08-02 22:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2e6df2…
08-02 22:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xf0cf8c…
08-02 22:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xe70673…
08-02 22:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0e2c0b…
08-02 22:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x369c77…
08-02 22:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xb05867…
08-02 22:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xcd9c01…
08-02 22:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xf6f0e8…
08-02 22:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6ee6bd…
08-02 22:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x510c46…
08-02 22:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x40faf6…
08-02 22:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x9fdcf4…
08-02 22:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x45133d…
08-02 22:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x06cf5a…
08-01 23:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	113	46¢	$52	0x1ca060…
07-30 23:50:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x5c5d7f…
07-30 23:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e1409…
07-30 23:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x5a822c…
07-29 01:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xfce2c9…
07-27 23:39:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x5acdd6…
07-27 23:38:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x644eac…
07-27 10:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0xb58585…
07-27 10:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xe84c8f…
07-27 10:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x82c80d…
07-27 10:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x299d70…
07-27 10:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x731e34…
07-26 02:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 26?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$25	0xb900b2…
07-25 00:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xf70cd5…
07-24 23:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0x08a0a2…
07-24 23:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa3dd0b…
07-24 23:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x5d09e2…
07-24 23:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x170c6d…
07-24 09:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x234dfe…
07-24 00:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0x4d486f…
07-23 03:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 23?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x08099c…
07-23 03:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x69b263…
07-23 03:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcc69e7…
07-21 23:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc3baeb…
07-20 23:57:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0x0d9aa4…
07-19 03:37:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$130	0xd80370…
07-19 01:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb92197…
07-18 23:36:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd7ea2e…
07-14 02:13:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	40¢	$39	0xda5779…
07-14 02:12:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	40¢	$78	0x171791…
07-14 01:45:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	43¢	$86	0xc0d81e…
07-14 01:25:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xf0685a…
07-14 01:07:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	255	47¢	$120	0xbbe8bd…
07-13 04:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8c1c38…
07-11 09:28:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	339	98¢	$332	0x47bb50…
07-11 05:40:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xbd6432…
07-11 05:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb53eb9…
07-11 05:37:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	270	91¢	$246	0x5ab9b4…