Strange-Progress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-10 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 62% $-10

Other

17% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$200	870	0	+870	open	—	04-12 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$49	50	30	+20	Up	$-0	05-09 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$39	30	19	+11	Up	$-1	05-09 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$33	28	28	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$31	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$30	26	26	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-08 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$27	19	12	+6	Down	$-3	05-09 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-09 13:59
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	04-12 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$22	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	$-20	05-08 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-08 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$17	22	8	+14	Up	$-13	05-09 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$16	19	10	+9	Down	$-4	05-09 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$16	25	10	+15	Up	$-4	05-09 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$15	23	0	+23	Down	+$1	05-09 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 10:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe1b296…
05-09 19:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x86ec92…
05-09 19:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x6de31a…
05-09 19:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x04b965…
05-09 19:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xcf0267…
05-09 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x31f9ec…
05-09 19:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x65f350…
05-09 19:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x3139e2…
05-09 19:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd4c2b2…
05-09 19:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2db157…
05-09 19:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6f91a2…
05-09 18:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf74872…
05-09 18:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x138828…
05-09 18:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7798fa…
05-09 14:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb85be9…
05-09 14:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x78593d…
05-09 14:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x43b31c…
05-09 14:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	33¢	$5	0x2fa925…
05-09 14:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd30de9…
05-09 14:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc74caa…
05-09 14:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x9d7fc8…
05-09 14:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1767b6…
05-09 14:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xa0d959…
05-09 14:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x200c5d…
05-09 14:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0xf292da…
05-09 14:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	22¢	$3	0x0a234a…
05-09 14:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1b9332…
05-09 14:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4af0bc…
05-09 14:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x13aae2…
05-09 14:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x330f9d…
05-09 14:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x544e75…
05-09 14:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x13d86c…
05-09 14:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x10fe1a…
05-09 13:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0xbe866e…
05-09 13:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x050869…
05-09 13:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xb93b86…
05-09 13:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x0a63a1…
05-09 13:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x418db3…
05-09 13:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xade788…
05-09 13:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfc7b53…
05-09 13:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6d9ee0…
05-09 13:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc9176d…
05-09 09:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xfac066…
05-09 08:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x670452…
05-09 07:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xaf13a7…
05-09 07:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x47daba…
05-09 07:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe350a5…
05-09 07:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5d9639…
05-09 07:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5878ec…
05-09 07:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb64fda…
05-09 07:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xcf4979…
05-09 07:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x900b3f…
05-09 06:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1250b5…
05-09 06:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfb8747…
05-09 06:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x22b0cc…
05-09 06:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xbd8f1c…
05-09 06:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0559c0…
05-09 06:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x24cbd7…
05-09 06:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xaa42b4…
05-09 06:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2d144d…
05-09 06:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbe9b55…
05-09 06:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd9ff61…
05-09 06:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7c7c93…
05-09 06:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x07cb57…
05-09 06:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x487529…
05-09 06:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbef7ca…
05-09 06:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5848e2…
05-09 05:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x32f380…
05-09 05:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7f5db4…
05-09 05:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x99d2d4…
05-09 05:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x339559…
05-09 00:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc73cd9…
05-09 00:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x1ac4d1…
05-09 00:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x044e18…
05-09 00:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa950d0…
05-09 00:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3927c7…
05-09 00:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xec05ab…
05-09 00:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xd39547…
05-09 00:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4e6270…
05-09 00:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf4a195…
05-09 00:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5db4fe…
05-09 00:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa20055…
05-09 00:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x55e805…
05-08 23:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9ccd96…
05-08 23:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x069ec9…
05-08 23:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xcf7b16…
05-08 23:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x14a172…
05-08 23:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x70255e…
05-08 23:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5f247d…
05-08 23:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0eb28b…
05-08 23:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x153366…
05-08 23:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xfe3112…
05-08 23:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xcbd048…
05-08 23:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc5115f…
05-08 23:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6e956e…
05-08 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x0d9a87…
05-08 22:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x406885…
05-08 22:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3f27c1…
05-08 22:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4e8402…
05-08 22:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x444053…