Mammoth-Decisionmaking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$352

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

168

Trades

569

lifetime

Volume

$32.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-14 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 55% -$248

Other

1% 50% -$121

Politics

1% 50% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	12	$3.8K	3,135	3,135	+0	Yes	+$151	03-10 15:35
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:05 UTC	4	$1.5K	803	801	+2	Down	+$69	03-06 13:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:00 UTC	3	$1.4K	736	735	+1	Up	+$47	03-06 13:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 11:30 UTC	3	$1.3K	673	673	+0	Down	+$19	03-06 11:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 11:25 UTC	3	$1.3K	654	653	+0	Up	+$21	03-06 11:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 10	4	$1.0K	1,242	1,242	+0	No	-$182	03-10 13:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 17:15 UTC	2	$935	474	474	+0	Down	+$4	03-06 17:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 17:05 UTC	4	$885	466	465	+1	Down	+$37	03-06 17:10
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 16:40 UTC	4	$811	417	417	+0	Down	+$15	03-06 16:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:25 UTC	2	$802	405	405	+0	Up	+$2	03-06 10:30
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:45 UTC	2	$639	343	342	+1	Up	+$40	03-06 10:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 11	4	$631	572	572	+0	Yes	+$181	03-11 15:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:20 UTC	2	$609	312	312	+0	Up	+$9	03-06 10:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 10:40 UTC	2	$606	309	309	+0	Down	+$6	03-06 10:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 17:30 UTC	2	$558	282	282	+0	Down	+$0	03-06 17:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:30 UTC	4	$450	377	371	+6	Up	+$50	03-06 13:34
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 16:45 UTC	3	$447	230	230	+0	Up	+$9	03-06 16:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 17:10 UTC	2	$404	206	206	+0	Down	+$4	03-06 17:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:20 UTC	2	$399	207	207	+0	Down	-$1	03-06 13:23
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:40 UTC	4	$386	222	221	+1	Down	+$17	03-05 20:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 10	5	$372	1,366	1,366	+0	No	-$85	03-10 15:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 11	4	$335	445	445	+0	No	-$148	03-11 15:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:10 UTC	2	$309	368	366	+2	Down	-$291	03-06 13:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:45 UTC	5	$303	227	225	+2	Down	-$18	03-05 20:50
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 16:05 UTC	6	$301	174	173	+1	Down	+$21	03-05 16:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 22:00 UTC	6	$299	160	160	+0	Down	+$7	03-07 22:14
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:50 UTC	4	$288	260	258	+2	Up	-$117	03-05 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:55 UTC	7	$264	151	150	+1	Down	+$15	03-07 23:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 8	5	$251	162	162	+0	Yes	+$31	03-08 14:27
spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	13	$248	436	141	+295	Up	+$34	03-04 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 15:39:06	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xdd2cb0…
05-14 15:38:03	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xf3082f…
05-14 15:37:24	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xd39f33…
05-14 15:36:55	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x487db8…
05-14 15:34:50	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xf5c310…
05-14 15:34:12	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd35d92…
05-14 15:33:49	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x936509…
05-14 15:16:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	96¢	$77	0xdce006…
05-03 15:59:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xffe6ab…
05-03 15:56:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0x4562f0…
05-03 15:48:36	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x8fd7df…
05-03 15:47:52	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xfc573a…
05-03 15:44:40	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x053eaa…
05-03 15:44:28	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	32	74¢	$24	0x998460…
05-03 15:44:02	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x5e20be…
05-03 15:44:00	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x8f3c3c…
05-03 15:42:08	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xc6e8a0…
05-03 15:39:08	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xcd982e…
05-03 15:38:26	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x79aed3…
05-03 15:38:00	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	96	77¢	$73	0x3bb4ab…
05-03 15:37:38	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xb87053…
05-03 15:37:24	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x7b4092…
05-03 15:36:52	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x24df30…
05-03 15:33:34	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4fa4d6…
05-03 15:33:32	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x90f732…
05-03 15:33:24	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xc87397…
05-03 15:31:30	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xec8d0c…
05-03 15:30:34	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xae697f…
05-03 15:29:22	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x3fecfe…
05-03 15:29:06	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd13b27…
05-03 15:28:40	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xb68577…
05-03 15:28:30	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	71¢	$23	0xac2896…
05-03 15:27:54	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x12b664…
05-03 15:27:52	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd2decf…
03-11 15:09:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 11	Yes	SELL	572	71¢	$406	0x3ed988…
03-11 15:05:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 11	Yes	SELL	724	1¢	$4	0x95772f…
03-11 15:04:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 11	Yes	SELL	422	20¢	$84	0xc02994…
03-11 09:56:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	421	55¢	$232	0x6c8b7b…
03-10 23:12:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x42683c…
03-10 23:11:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 11	Yes	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x7a136e…
03-10 23:09:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x335582…
03-10 23:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0293e8…
03-10 23:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x9fe28c…
03-10 23:03:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x23052f…
03-10 23:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xfd30eb…
03-10 22:55:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf7420f…
03-10 22:54:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x24b15d…
03-10 22:53:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x058733…
03-10 22:49:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xce8f15…
03-10 22:49:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xff2c9c…
03-10 22:48:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x013b4b…
03-10 22:48:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	651	2¢	$10	0xbf7b57…
03-10 22:48:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0x4f36a8…
03-10 15:36:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	620	29¢	$177	0x40be73…
03-10 15:36:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xdf8319…
03-10 15:35:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	SELL	418	90¢	$377	0xe3f716…
03-10 15:21:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	418	92¢	$384	0xe3eb09…
03-10 15:21:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	SELL	437	88¢	$384	0x4d37c3…
03-10 15:18:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	87	88¢	$77	0xc7d975…
03-10 15:18:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 10	Yes	SELL	838	9¢	$77	0x309751…
03-10 15:10:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	181	12¢	$22	0xdc4b65…
03-10 15:09:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	656	15¢	$100	0xeeadd1…
03-10 15:09:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	350	86¢	$300	0xf7a402…
03-10 14:00:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	SELL	217	45¢	$98	0xffb08c…
03-10 13:59:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 10	Yes	SELL	661	49¢	$324	0x29d731…
03-10 13:45:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	661	55¢	$363	0xf7d757…
03-10 13:42:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xc640cf…
03-10 13:37:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	SELL	980	47¢	$463	0x321912…
03-10 12:20:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	980	64¢	$629	0x6f92bf…
03-10 12:17:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	54	44¢	$24	0x104603…
03-10 12:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x92f80f…
03-10 12:13:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	SELL	1,083	59¢	$635	0xd532c9…
03-10 09:06:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	107	62¢	$67	0x67ef82…
03-10 09:06:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 10	Yes	SELL	528	13¢	$67	0x7da3c8…
03-10 08:31:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	528	20¢	$106	0x2f50a7…
03-10 08:29:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 10	Yes	SELL	581	18¢	$107	0x0b80d0…
03-09 22:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7,393	1¢	$67	0xd20d8e…
03-09 21:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	76	88¢	$67	0x5bca6c…
03-09 21:58:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	76	88¢	$67	0x1bce59…
03-09 21:57:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	89	76¢	$67	0x89bdc5…
03-09 21:55:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	90	71¢	$63	0x1b68b2…
03-09 21:50:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	975	26¢	$250	0x6d58cb…
03-09 21:50:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	581	43¢	$250	0xf7bbb8…
03-09 12:42:29	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x641401…
03-09 12:42:25	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x76318d…
03-09 12:42:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 9	Yes	SELL	115	30¢	$35	0xcbe5df…
03-09 12:41:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 9	Yes	SELL	78	55¢	$43	0x8568df…
03-09 12:41:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 9	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x6a1c19…
03-09 11:00:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 9	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xd8eaee…
03-09 10:33:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 9	Yes	SELL	86	6¢	$5	0x67d308…
03-08 21:56:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 9	Yes	BUY	141	34¢	$48	0x58f934…
03-08 21:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x981393…
03-08 21:47:17	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x60e5d9…
03-08 21:47:11	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa2ed5c…
03-08 19:51:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x4b3915…
03-08 19:51:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xc8c046…
03-08 19:51:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x3388d9…
03-08 19:51:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x08d2ba…
03-08 19:49:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x2df622…
03-08 19:47:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd246d3…