Frightening-Flung — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$225

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

656

lifetime

Volume

$103.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-08 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 50% +$75

Other

34% — —

Sports

7% 50% +$150

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	18	$7.6K	3,867	3,867	+0	open	—	04-30 16:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$7.2K	3,718	3,718	+0	open	—	03-27 12:03
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$6.3K	3,190	3,190	+0	open	—	03-31 13:55
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	8	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-16 14:18
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	4	$5.1K	5,204	0	+5,204	Yes	+$151	05-09 15:47
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	3	$4.9K	2,509	2,500	+9	open	—	04-27 20:29
will company d be accused of insider trading	6	$3.0K	1,510	1,510	+0	open	—	02-26 13:46
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	10	$2.8K	1,766	1,766	+0	open	—	01-27 14:51
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	11	$2.6K	1,546	1,279	+267	open	—	03-06 13:50
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	15	$2.3K	1,916	1,917	-1	open	—	03-27 08:54
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	9	$2.1K	1,153	1,153	+0	open	—	04-01 09:20
will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	12	$2.1K	1,280	1,347	-67	open	—	01-31 17:34
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$2.1K	1,052	1,052	+0	open	—	03-31 13:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	20	$2.0K	2,000	1,600	+400	open	—	06-01 20:05
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-28 17:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	8	$1.9K	984	980	+4	open	—	04-29 09:27
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	8	$1.9K	958	958	-0	open	—	02-13 19:13
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	11	$1.7K	1,323	1,323	+0	open	—	03-20 12:24
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	5	$1.5K	1,406	1,515	-109	open	—	02-28 19:44
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	3	$1.5K	779	773	+6	open	—	04-29 21:10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	2	$1.4K	1,350	81	+1,269	open	—	05-26 13:35
will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	8	$1.4K	702	702	+0	open	—	02-26 11:04
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	10	$1.3K	1,785	443	+1,343	open	—	03-12 16:19
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	10	$1.3K	966	626	+340	open	—	03-31 08:07
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	7	$1.2K	655	655	+0	open	—	04-30 18:12
will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	10	$1.2K	649	649	+0	open	—	06-09 23:34
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	12	$1.1K	3,301	1,366	+1,935	open	—	03-23 11:54
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$974	1,020	928	+92	open	—	04-30 21:47
will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$962	500	500	+0	open	—	04-10 17:56
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	5	$940	592	592	+0	open	—	01-16 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:34:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	Yes	SELL	89	93¢	$84	0x8cd08b…
06-08 12:35:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	880	37¢	$325	0x2e6928…
06-07 02:04:09	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x6602c5…
06-06 10:30:52	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x87c245…
06-05 15:04:33	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	404	20¢	$81	0x87eba3…
06-05 14:57:18	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	No	SELL	46	79¢	$36	0x88e15a…
06-05 14:48:28	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	No	SELL	48	79¢	$38	0x3cf1fa…
06-05 14:16:54	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x8f486d…
06-04 19:24:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	206	18¢	$37	0x6ea231…
06-04 18:20:51	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	Yes	SELL	215	96¢	$206	0x05e44d…
06-04 18:12:03	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	307	91¢	$280	0xb1e9cc…
06-04 16:35:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0x7314be…
06-04 16:34:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	118	18¢	$21	0xd34aa0…
06-04 00:04:48	will nvda dip to 208 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x190539…
06-03 22:57:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x22154c…
06-03 22:54:57	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x4f6356…
06-03 17:44:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in June?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x97c932…
06-03 14:21:24	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x280994…
06-03 14:20:43	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x4a0329…
06-03 14:20:35	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x633495…
06-03 14:12:44	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x66655b…
06-03 14:11:29	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x52acb4…
06-01 20:05:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	746	0¢	$1	0xb09032…
06-01 15:59:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$115	0x1bf260…
06-01 15:55:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$109	0x8755e6…
06-01 15:54:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xa8852e…
06-01 15:46:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x159743…
06-01 15:44:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xc1a72b…
06-01 15:03:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$21	0x1ee663…
06-01 15:02:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x4a4203…
06-01 14:44:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xf1276f…
06-01 13:51:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xddc992…
06-01 13:46:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x7f7edb…
06-01 13:31:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x2e058a…
06-01 13:31:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	72¢	$38	0x1894a9…
06-01 13:31:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0x09a897…
06-01 13:26:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xe2cca3…
06-01 13:25:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xa95b0e…
06-01 13:23:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	72¢	$41	0xf63e45…
06-01 13:19:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x91b67a…
06-01 13:16:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x4075c9…
06-01 12:16:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	84¢	$844	0x7965fa…
05-31 21:27:39	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	94¢	$282	0x2bea06…
05-31 14:20:26	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xbf6151…
05-31 11:44:36	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	SELL	240	81¢	$195	0x6ab319…
05-31 11:14:11	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x4a0051…
05-31 10:53:20	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x505971…
05-31 10:51:29	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	No	SELL	70	81¢	$57	0xe4d760…
05-31 10:24:08	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x62bcdb…
05-30 13:32:28	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x31b007…
05-30 13:30:59	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	No	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0xbb4de1…
05-30 13:13:54	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xc65743…
05-30 10:49:19	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xe47019…
05-30 10:47:25	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0xb56693…
05-30 10:43:03	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xb6328f…
05-30 10:41:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	128	91¢	$116	0x429d09…
05-30 10:40:20	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	305	91¢	$277	0x067b45…
05-30 09:30:08	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	91¢	$83	0x5a35d0…
05-30 07:46:35	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xde21c8…
05-30 07:42:21	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	102	25¢	$25	0xd22e69…
05-30 00:17:11	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0x9aff48…
05-29 13:54:55	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x106332…
05-29 12:10:04	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xbd635e…
05-29 11:48:22	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0xc501f0…
05-29 11:47:52	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	SELL	58	69¢	$40	0x1fed54…
05-28 20:01:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xafe275…
05-28 20:00:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x530a8d…
05-28 16:44:06	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	BUY	39	37¢	$14	0xe2886e…
05-28 13:58:57	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	BUY	128	37¢	$47	0x6d1628…
05-28 13:57:17	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	BUY	206	37¢	$76	0x5b2c82…
05-28 13:56:25	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	BUY	278	37¢	$103	0xdb9cd5…
05-27 14:48:52	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x8c26f4…
05-27 14:21:46	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	SELL	37	93¢	$34	0x754989…
05-27 14:21:18	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xc2b0c6…
05-26 13:35:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	SELL	81	96¢	$78	0xb521d1…
05-26 13:34:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	1,350	96¢	$1,293	0xcc1a1b…
05-26 12:28:31	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$166	0x0714c5…
05-26 10:37:31	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	BUY	97	86¢	$83	0xc19305…
05-26 10:02:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	255	98¢	$249	0xa42d82…
05-25 12:50:02	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0x76bed6…
05-25 10:48:14	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x78d3e1…
05-25 10:43:42	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in May?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x4399bd…
05-25 10:39:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	142	9¢	$13	0x95d184…
05-25 10:26:26	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x775def…
05-25 01:12:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	142	11¢	$16	0xd42d97…
05-21 16:11:46	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x293ae5…
05-21 16:10:15	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x9c74d8…
05-21 11:12:33	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x22a651…
05-20 13:34:22	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	450	95¢	$426	0x445e31…
05-09 15:47:34	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	254	97¢	$246	0x9f61de…
05-09 15:31:38	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	950	97¢	$922	0x81d172…
05-09 15:30:35	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,942	0x9db231…
05-09 15:29:55	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,942	0xcaf415…
05-09 08:08:41	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	156	3¢	$5	0xabdc13…
05-07 12:45:38	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0xcdb1a5…
05-07 12:44:54	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x608989…
05-06 09:06:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	248	13¢	$32	0xe71f8c…
05-06 06:04:12	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?	Yes	BUY	112	10¢	$11	0x6c0a47…
05-01 09:29:48	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	394	100¢	$394	0x3a4a4a…
05-01 00:09:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x254c10…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	122	$704.7K	15,076	06-09 21:45
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	114	$20.0K	9,554	06-09 23:34
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	106	$67.4K	1,143	06-07 01:20
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	105	$23.3K	4,888	06-09 16:20
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	97	$46.0K	16,891	05-08 22:12
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	82	$174.0K	15,273	03-28 06:40
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	80	$44.4K	3,339	06-08 19:47
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	80	$4.26K	2,216	06-05 05:42