Frightening-Flung — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$225

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

687

lifetime

Volume

$108.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-02 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 50% +$75

Other

35% — —

Sports

8% 50% +$150

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	18	$7.6K	3,867	3,867	+0	open	—	04-30 16:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$7.2K	3,718	3,718	+0	open	—	03-27 12:03
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$6.3K	3,190	3,190	+0	open	—	03-31 13:55
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	8	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-16 14:18
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	4	$5.1K	5,204	0	+5,204	Yes	+$151	05-09 15:47
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	3	$4.9K	2,509	2,500	+9	open	—	04-27 20:29
will company d be accused of insider trading	6	$3.0K	1,510	1,510	+0	open	—	02-26 13:46
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	10	$2.8K	1,766	1,766	+0	open	—	01-27 14:51
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	11	$2.6K	1,546	1,279	+267	open	—	03-06 13:50
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	15	$2.3K	1,916	1,917	-1	open	—	03-27 08:54
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	9	$2.1K	1,153	1,153	+0	open	—	04-01 09:20
will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	12	$2.1K	1,280	1,347	-67	open	—	01-31 17:34
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$2.1K	1,052	1,052	+0	open	—	03-31 13:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	20	$2.0K	2,000	1,600	+400	open	—	06-01 20:05
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-28 17:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	8	$1.9K	984	980	+4	open	—	04-29 09:27
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	8	$1.9K	958	958	-0	open	—	02-13 19:13
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	11	$1.7K	1,323	1,323	+0	open	—	03-20 12:24
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	5	$1.6K	0	1,604	-1,604	open	—	06-29 19:29
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	5	$1.5K	1,406	1,515	-109	open	—	02-28 19:44
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	3	$1.5K	779	773	+6	open	—	04-29 21:10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	2	$1.4K	1,350	81	+1,269	open	—	05-26 13:35
will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	8	$1.4K	702	702	+0	open	—	02-26 11:04
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	10	$1.3K	1,785	443	+1,343	open	—	03-12 16:19
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	10	$1.3K	966	626	+340	open	—	03-31 08:07
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	7	$1.2K	655	655	+0	open	—	04-30 18:12
will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	10	$1.2K	649	649	+0	open	—	06-09 23:34
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	12	$1.1K	3,301	1,366	+1,935	open	—	03-23 11:54
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$974	1,020	928	+92	open	—	04-30 21:47
will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$962	500	500	+0	open	—	04-10 17:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 02:59:49	will paraguay reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134481	No	BUY	363	92¢	$333	0x3c1b68…
06-30 18:26:43	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	726	57¢	$414	0x3102fe…
06-29 19:32:31	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	331	0¢	$1	0x3b41a7…
06-29 19:29:37	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	535	99¢	$530	0x621b40…
06-29 19:03:23	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	No	BUY	99	37¢	$36	0x04b46f…
06-29 17:09:19	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	SELL	403	54¢	$217	0x5b2c14…
06-28 07:49:25	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	383	0¢	$1	0xd5d3d5…
06-28 04:25:50	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xf3c022…
06-28 04:25:07	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	BUY	376	50¢	$188	0x023866…
06-28 04:22:56	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	No	BUY	694	56¢	$388	0x7fd574…
06-27 13:00:59	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x7ce416…
06-27 12:59:32	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x8f6026…
06-27 00:13:19	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	774	7¢	$54	0x9ce2d8…
06-27 00:09:29	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x3b6541…
06-27 00:05:53	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	2,939	9¢	$264	0xeed808…
06-26 18:13:23	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x85da98…
06-26 15:19:47	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread away 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	827	1¢	$4	0xa12258…
06-25 13:47:43	will pltr dip to 108 in june 2026	No	BUY	1,400	0¢	$1	0xd24381…
06-25 13:41:05	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	345	0¢	$0	0xefe139…
06-24 15:39:02	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	345	0¢	$1	0x554449…
06-21 13:41:17	will stripes valuation hit low 165b by june 30	No	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0x3404f1…
06-20 17:02:14	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	939	60¢	$563	0x891ca9…
06-19 15:07:16	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	521	98¢	$510	0xb03eb6…
06-18 19:15:49	will coin reach 200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x6f4ec2…
06-18 19:14:25	will coin reach 200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x98e4b2…
06-17 23:41:53	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	340	98¢	$333	0x6b8443…
06-15 14:13:27	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	No	SELL	124	90¢	$111	0x6ac91f…
06-15 14:10:03	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0x92f2dc…
06-13 10:31:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	SELL	106	38¢	$40	0xdc6e96…
06-11 13:51:21	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0x69510f…
06-09 23:34:16	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	Yes	SELL	89	93¢	$84	0x8cd08b…
06-08 12:35:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	880	37¢	$325	0x2e6928…
06-07 02:04:09	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x6602c5…
06-06 10:30:52	will openais valuation hit high 900b by june 30	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x87c245…
06-05 15:04:33	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	404	20¢	$81	0x87eba3…
06-05 14:57:18	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	No	SELL	46	79¢	$36	0x88e15a…
06-05 14:48:28	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	No	SELL	48	79¢	$38	0x3cf1fa…
06-05 14:16:54	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x8f486d…
06-04 19:24:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	206	18¢	$37	0x6ea231…
06-04 18:20:51	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	Yes	SELL	215	96¢	$206	0x05e44d…
06-04 18:12:03	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	307	91¢	$280	0xb1e9cc…
06-04 16:35:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0x7314be…
06-04 16:34:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	118	18¢	$21	0xd34aa0…
06-04 00:04:48	will nvda dip to 208 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x190539…
06-03 22:57:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x22154c…
06-03 22:54:57	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x4f6356…
06-03 17:44:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in June?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x97c932…
06-03 14:21:24	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x280994…
06-03 14:20:43	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x4a0329…
06-03 14:20:35	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x633495…
06-03 14:12:44	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x66655b…
06-03 14:11:29	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x52acb4…
06-01 20:05:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	746	0¢	$1	0xb09032…
06-01 15:59:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$115	0x1bf260…
06-01 15:55:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$109	0x8755e6…
06-01 15:54:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xa8852e…
06-01 15:46:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x159743…
06-01 15:44:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xc1a72b…
06-01 15:03:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$21	0x1ee663…
06-01 15:02:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x4a4203…
06-01 14:44:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xf1276f…
06-01 13:51:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xddc992…
06-01 13:46:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x7f7edb…
06-01 13:31:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x2e058a…
06-01 13:31:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	72¢	$38	0x1894a9…
06-01 13:31:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0x09a897…
06-01 13:26:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xe2cca3…
06-01 13:25:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xa95b0e…
06-01 13:23:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	72¢	$41	0xf63e45…
06-01 13:19:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x91b67a…
06-01 13:16:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x4075c9…
06-01 12:16:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	84¢	$844	0x7965fa…
05-31 21:27:39	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	94¢	$282	0x2bea06…
05-31 14:20:26	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xbf6151…
05-31 11:44:36	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	SELL	240	81¢	$195	0x6ab319…
05-31 11:14:11	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x4a0051…
05-31 10:53:20	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0x505971…
05-31 10:51:29	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	No	SELL	70	81¢	$57	0xe4d760…
05-31 10:24:08	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x62bcdb…
05-30 13:32:28	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x31b007…
05-30 13:30:59	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	No	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0xbb4de1…
05-30 13:13:54	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xc65743…
05-30 10:49:19	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xe47019…
05-30 10:47:25	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0xb56693…
05-30 10:43:03	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xb6328f…
05-30 10:41:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	128	91¢	$116	0x429d09…
05-30 10:40:20	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	305	91¢	$277	0x067b45…
05-30 09:30:08	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	91¢	$83	0x5a35d0…
05-30 07:46:35	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xde21c8…
05-30 07:42:21	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	102	25¢	$25	0xd22e69…
05-30 00:17:11	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0x9aff48…
05-29 13:54:55	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x106332…
05-29 12:10:04	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xbd635e…
05-29 11:48:22	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0xc501f0…
05-29 11:47:52	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	SELL	58	69¢	$40	0x1fed54…
05-28 20:01:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xafe275…
05-28 20:00:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x530a8d…
05-28 16:44:06	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	BUY	39	37¢	$14	0xe2886e…
05-28 13:58:57	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	BUY	128	37¢	$47	0x6d1628…
05-28 13:57:17	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	BUY	206	37¢	$76	0x5b2c82…