Sparkling-Alpaca — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

117

Trades

2,258

lifetime

Volume

$6.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-12 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 53% $-3

Other

9% 0% $-2

Politics

0% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 285 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	14	$304	330	330	+0	open	—	07-14 20:53
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$181	104	104	+0	open	—	07-12 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	16	$78	57	57	+0	open	—	05-21 13:58
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 10pm et	11	$77	56	56	+0	open	—	07-15 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET	3	$63	51	51	+0	open	—	05-20 23:56
bitcoin up or down on august 3 2026	2	$62	42	42	+0	open	—	08-03 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	16	$59	64	64	+0	open	—	05-21 12:00
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 4pm et	8	$54	52	48	+4	open	—	07-14 20:56
bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 4am et	12	$53	96	5	+92	open	—	07-13 08:45
btc updown 15m 1784078100	11	$53	52	52	+0	open	—	07-15 01:25
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 11pm et	14	$49	181	181	+0	open	—	07-15 03:46
btc updown 15m 1785763800	8	$49	40	40	+0	open	—	08-03 13:41
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 10am et	12	$46	55	55	+0	open	—	08-03 14:31
dogecoin up or down may 21 2026 12am et	3	$45	37	15	+22	open	—	05-21 05:04
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 9am et	10	$45	62	62	+0	open	—	08-03 13:34
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9pm et	9	$44	41	41	+0	open	—	07-15 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	16	$43	49	49	+0	open	—	05-21 12:53
bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 5am et	9	$42	47	40	+6	open	—	07-13 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET	15	$41	39	39	+0	open	—	05-21 14:38
Bitcoin above 77,600 on May 21, 6AM ET?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	6	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	05-20 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	15	$37	36	27	+9	open	—	05-21 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12AM ET	6	$37	29	29	+0	open	—	05-21 04:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	05-21 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	4	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	05-27 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	8	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	05-21 07:50
btc updown 5m 1784061900	6	$35	23	23	+0	open	—	07-14 20:50
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 11am et	4	$34	26	26	+0	open	—	07-14 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET	5	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	05-21 02:43
bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 9am et	7	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	07-16 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 23:30:40	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa59576…
08-12 23:30:40	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x151c4f…
08-12 23:30:39	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd7a268…
08-12 23:30:39	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xabcfb3…
08-12 11:01:58	btc updown 5m 1786532400	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x93d153…
08-12 11:01:18	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xdd138a…
08-12 10:57:31	btc updown 15m 1786531500	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x5d86e9…
08-12 10:56:39	btc updown 15m 1786531500	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x431514…
08-12 10:56:15	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xa96132…
08-12 10:16:24	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x59bedb…
08-12 10:11:49	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x975770…
08-12 10:11:49	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x210c9d…
08-12 10:11:10	btc updown 5m 1786529400	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfa4d78…
08-12 10:09:24	btc updown 5m 1786529100	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xf38205…
08-12 10:06:21	btc updown 5m 1786529100	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5b83b3…
08-12 10:05:52	btc updown 5m 1786529100	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x70a243…
08-12 09:49:22	btc updown 5m 1786527900	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x336d86…
08-12 09:43:37	btc updown 5m 1786527900	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x08c03f…
08-12 09:37:37	btc updown 15m 1786527000	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xbd4df6…
08-12 09:31:18	btc updown 15m 1786527000	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb923c5…
08-12 09:29:55	btc updown 5m 1786526700	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xc09e0e…
08-12 09:26:58	btc updown 5m 1786526700	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9d9c47…
08-12 09:25:27	btc updown 5m 1786526700	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xd9753a…
08-12 09:24:57	btc updown 5m 1786526700	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x932a55…
08-12 09:24:57	btc updown 5m 1786526700	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x67aec2…
08-12 09:24:52	btc updown 5m 1786526700	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x553024…
08-12 09:24:09	btc updown 15m 1786526100	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0xf4d100…
08-12 09:22:39	btc updown 15m 1786526100	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x01f2ca…
08-12 09:13:28	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1e56c9…
08-12 09:12:04	btc updown 15m 1786525200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7d1cbf…
08-12 09:04:39	btc updown 15m 1786525200	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6f6a3e…
08-12 08:42:55	btc updown 15m 1786524300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfcf57e…
08-12 08:42:55	btc updown 15m 1786524300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8874b6…
08-12 08:42:16	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7341c2…
08-12 08:42:16	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x588bb8…
08-12 08:36:34	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x262e1a…
08-12 08:27:57	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc7427e…
08-12 04:05:03	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8eb190…
08-12 03:58:57	btc updown 15m 1786506300	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x32b8a4…
08-12 03:58:21	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0xcfb6f3…
08-12 03:58:13	btc updown 15m 1786506300	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xa74dcd…
08-12 03:57:31	btc updown 5m 1786506900	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x29013e…
08-12 03:55:39	btc updown 5m 1786506900	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9c0c4b…
08-12 03:52:49	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x665fb4…
08-12 03:52:49	bitcoin up or down august 12 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x285317…
08-12 03:48:54	btc updown 15m 1786506300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x271eef…
08-12 03:38:09	btc updown 5m 1786505700	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6c7c3d…
08-12 03:36:03	btc updown 5m 1786505700	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x8c17d3…
08-12 03:36:03	btc updown 5m 1786505700	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x708232…
08-12 03:35:06	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0xcaf116…
08-12 03:23:33	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd4e9d5…
08-12 03:22:36	btc updown 15m 1786504500	Up	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xee2c53…
08-12 03:20:42	btc updown 15m 1786504500	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7cef12…
08-12 03:20:42	btc updown 15m 1786504500	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5687d5…
08-12 03:20:03	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xdee696…
08-12 03:04:10	btc updown 5m 1786503900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x85aed2…
08-12 03:02:21	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9d05f6…
08-12 03:00:57	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xcfe58a…
08-12 02:59:22	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x76abbc…
08-12 02:54:43	btc updown 5m 1786503000	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x610a48…
08-12 02:52:07	btc updown 5m 1786503000	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdd1588…
08-12 02:51:57	btc updown 5m 1786503000	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x29d50f…
08-12 02:51:54	btc updown 5m 1786503000	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x070034…
08-12 02:51:49	btc updown 5m 1786503000	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbdb584…
08-12 02:51:49	btc updown 5m 1786503000	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4951b2…
08-12 02:51:27	btc updown 5m 1786503000	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xacd0ae…
08-12 02:50:34	btc updown 15m 1786502700	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xf6bfe2…
08-12 02:49:22	btc updown 15m 1786502700	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x802133…
08-12 02:49:01	btc updown 5m 1786502700	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xbda419…
08-12 02:48:16	btc updown 5m 1786502700	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xeae4c6…
08-12 02:46:31	btc updown 5m 1786502700	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfdd2b3…
08-12 02:45:16	btc updown 5m 1786502700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0b02fe…
08-12 02:44:13	btc updown 5m 1786502400	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xd4665e…
08-12 02:40:33	btc updown 5m 1786502400	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xba8780…
08-12 02:40:21	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xa5fcf1…
08-12 02:38:10	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa3e4ec…
08-12 02:36:22	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9274ed…
08-12 02:05:25	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xfab962…
08-12 02:01:43	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfbacdd…
08-12 02:01:39	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe9e8c0…
08-12 01:58:46	btc updown 15m 1786499100	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x02c327…
08-12 01:56:25	btc updown 15m 1786499100	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xccd8b4…
08-12 01:56:19	btc updown 15m 1786499100	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x854531…
08-12 01:56:04	btc updown 15m 1786499100	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0ceb5c…
08-12 01:54:43	btc updown 5m 1786499400	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf00a35…
08-12 01:54:31	btc updown 5m 1786499400	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x56b484…
08-12 01:54:10	btc updown 5m 1786499400	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x59e174…
08-12 01:54:00	btc updown 5m 1786499400	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x125b20…
08-12 01:53:57	btc updown 5m 1786499400	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbb62f4…
08-12 01:53:31	btc updown 15m 1786499100	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x00984d…
08-12 01:49:18	btc updown 15m 1786499100	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb1c30d…
08-12 01:48:39	btc updown 5m 1786499100	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xe4d470…
08-12 01:48:07	btc updown 5m 1786499100	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xcf1c56…
08-12 01:47:00	btc updown 5m 1786499100	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x000575…
08-12 01:44:27	btc updown 5m 1786499100	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0744f9…
08-12 01:43:54	btc updown 5m 1786498800	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x868a79…
08-12 01:43:52	btc updown 5m 1786498800	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x4e6993…
08-12 01:40:51	btc updown 5m 1786498800	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdcf053…
08-12 01:40:51	btc updown 5m 1786498800	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb6e7f7…
08-12 01:40:39	btc updown 5m 1786498800	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xecfd11…