Sparkling-Alpaca — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

117

Trades

991

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-26 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% $-3

Politics

1% 0% $-0

Other

0% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 285 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	16	$78	57	57	+0	open	—	05-21 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET	3	$63	51	51	+0	open	—	05-20 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	16	$59	64	64	+0	open	—	05-21 12:00
dogecoin up or down may 21 2026 12am et	3	$45	37	15	+22	open	—	05-21 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	16	$43	49	49	+0	open	—	05-21 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET	15	$41	39	39	+0	open	—	05-21 14:38
Bitcoin above 77,600 on May 21, 6AM ET?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET	6	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	05-20 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	15	$37	36	27	+9	open	—	05-21 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12AM ET	6	$37	29	29	+0	open	—	05-21 04:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	05-21 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	4	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	05-27 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	8	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	05-21 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET	5	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	05-21 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2AM ET	10	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	15	$28	30	5	+25	open	—	05-21 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET	2	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	05-21 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	8	$26	22	11	+11	open	—	05-21 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	5	$26	27	27	+0	open	—	05-21 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	9	$25	24	24	+0	Down	+$11	05-08 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	3	$25	27	27	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	5	$23	27	26	+0	open	—	05-22 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	9	$22	20	20	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 00:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 00:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	9	$19	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$19	22	13	+9	open	—	05-27 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	9	$17	43	41	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	7	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 15:11
btc updown 5m 1775644200	4	$15	506	6	+500	open	—	04-08 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 03:49:28	btc updown 5m 1782445800	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x259ea9…
06-24 13:42:25	bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x22f44b…
06-24 00:59:08	btc updown 15m 1782261900	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3f38ab…
06-24 00:48:29	btc updown 15m 1782261900	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3458c8…
06-24 00:46:05	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xa2b364…
06-24 00:41:07	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc85469…
06-23 23:54:37	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners second half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4f59fe…
06-04 12:01:13	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x50d7d2…
06-04 11:59:24	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb4d684…
06-04 11:56:36	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4aaa08…
06-04 11:43:06	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0xb7af48…
06-04 11:17:54	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x12296e…
06-04 11:16:52	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x27cb10…
06-02 14:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0e0ae7…
06-02 14:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa5ba61…
06-02 13:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x24dee5…
06-02 04:10:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x2eba7f…
06-02 03:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x80a0f1…
06-02 03:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x75c8d8…
06-02 03:43:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3f6eac…
06-02 03:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1a7928…
06-02 03:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x7a19a1…
06-02 03:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x3f67fd…
06-02 03:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xec6e2c…
06-02 03:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x37b8ad…
06-02 03:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8cfed1…
06-02 03:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd98803…
06-02 03:07:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xa51f1f…
06-01 08:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7b7d84…
06-01 08:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x7eab47…
06-01 08:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0fc979…
06-01 08:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc462ac…
06-01 07:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xa70352…
06-01 07:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb4a79a…
06-01 07:34:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8ce742…
06-01 07:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x28f2a7…
06-01 07:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc7eb7e…
06-01 07:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa9009b…
06-01 07:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xb3464c…
06-01 07:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcbb137…
06-01 07:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9921f2…
06-01 07:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6ed113…
06-01 07:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9190d0…
06-01 07:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3df48f…
05-31 23:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x35505e…
05-31 23:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x023dfb…
05-31 23:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x94fce7…
05-31 23:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa54855…
05-31 23:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8e3422…
05-27 06:53:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xa78c8b…
05-27 06:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x050ab7…
05-27 06:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x83f89f…
05-27 06:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x3c1569…
05-27 06:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xa2a35b…
05-27 06:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x94bdf0…
05-27 06:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xad0ead…
05-27 06:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xae306c…
05-27 06:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe415cc…
05-27 06:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdb684e…
05-27 06:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xd1fd5b…
05-27 06:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x5bcd5d…
05-27 06:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa424a6…
05-27 05:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc61753…
05-27 05:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa31687…
05-27 05:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x16623e…
05-27 05:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x20f832…
05-27 03:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x47b813…
05-27 02:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	24	78¢	$18	0x1d3017…
05-27 00:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9e923a…
05-27 00:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x10f79d…
05-27 00:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2c3798…
05-27 00:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x60108d…
05-27 00:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb19c74…
05-26 22:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbf9d9b…
05-26 22:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x16d938…
05-26 22:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xbaf8c1…
05-26 22:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb3d811…
05-26 21:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb45855…
05-26 14:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x7b7299…
05-26 14:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x758a09…
05-26 14:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3c94cd…
05-26 13:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x51b173…
05-26 13:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x731657…
05-26 13:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x09ff14…
05-26 07:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc8f68d…
05-26 07:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbb78bf…
05-26 07:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x798bd5…
05-26 07:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6ef46f…
05-26 07:22:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x6c0759…
05-25 23:32:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x3ffd50…
05-25 23:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xfc2ac7…
05-25 22:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd52342…
05-25 22:44:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x003fc6…
05-25 22:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x9ce3b0…
05-25 22:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9d3b04…
05-25 22:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x172c0c…
05-25 22:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x5edc25…
05-25 22:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaf9734…
05-25 22:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x1a7d7f…
05-25 22:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbcf2c5…