Anxious-Pepperoni — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,720

lifetime

Volume

$7.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$172

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-14 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 51% $-4

Politics

14% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No		+180	$168	96¢	$172	+$4	06-08 19:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$332	800	800	+0	open	—	01-10 16:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	26	$214	150	150	+0	open	—	06-06 22:47
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	6	$208	750	650	+100	open	—	05-23 22:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 20	3	$206	111	111	+0	open	—	01-20 14:51
btc updown 15m 1767857400	2	$205	108	106	+2	open	—	01-08 07:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	3	$168	180	0	+180	open	—	06-08 19:18
btc updown 15m 1767860100	6	$136	106	83	+24	open	—	01-08 08:28
btc updown 15m 1767866400	4	$129	94	93	+1	open	—	01-08 10:12
btc updown 15m 1767862800	3	$118	58	78	-20	open	—	01-08 09:11
btc updown 15m 1767879000	3	$107	144	42	+102	open	—	01-08 13:44
bitcoin up or down february 13 1pm et	26	$104	204	0	+203	open	—	02-13 19:09
btc updown 15m 1767858300	1	$100	142	0	+142	open	—	01-08 07:55
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	06-09 17:52
btc updown 15m 1767864600	3	$72	71	19	+52	open	—	01-08 09:44
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	5	$57	40	30	+10	open	—	03-18 12:31
will israel strike lebanon on january 11 2026	2	$55	40	40	+0	open	—	01-11 12:18
btc updown 15m 1767859200	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	01-08 08:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 20	3	$50	154	154	+0	open	—	01-20 12:01
will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	4	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	01-10 18:19
btc updown 15m 1771013700	44	$44	92	0	+92	open	—	02-13 20:26
btc updown 15m 1771020000	36	$36	73	0	+73	open	—	02-13 22:09
btc updown 15m 1774150200	34	$34	53	49	+4	open	—	03-22 03:37
btc updown 15m 1767772800	4	$31	32	32	+1	open	—	01-07 08:04
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	3	$30	118	0	+118	open	—	01-11 15:37
btc updown 15m 1771012800	30	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	02-13 20:11
btc updown 15m 1767682800	4	$29	39	39	+0	open	—	01-06 07:06
eth updown 15m 1774216800	15	$28	24	23	+1	open	—	03-22 22:07
btc updown 15m 1774216800	23	$27	36	34	+2	open	—	03-22 22:08
btc updown 15m 1771014600	26	$26	58	0	+58	open	—	02-13 20:42
eth updown 15m 1774215900	20	$26	27	25	+1	open	—	03-22 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 15:45:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x94c72e…
06-13 08:16:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x76b3c2…
06-12 14:57:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7cb61b…
06-12 14:56:40	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x66a6c7…
06-12 14:56:36	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x2c7c2f…
06-09 17:52:57	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9cbcef…
06-08 19:18:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xa1e06c…
06-06 22:47:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0x93af63…
06-04 17:08:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	71¢	$55	0xf90a2e…
06-04 16:56:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x6cd62e…
06-04 16:51:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x1d77bd…
06-04 15:20:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xe9c0d3…
06-04 13:12:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x35325d…
06-04 13:09:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x8a1320…
06-04 13:07:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xf0b892…
06-04 12:52:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x8d042c…
06-04 12:49:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x09721d…
06-04 12:16:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xc0e9cf…
06-04 12:15:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x9e8ca5…
06-04 11:25:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x647569…
06-04 11:24:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x871589…
06-04 10:50:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xe9e8cc…
06-04 10:49:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x41da3a…
06-04 10:45:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x5a8fe2…
06-04 10:42:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xfc4e69…
06-04 10:40:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x9ec771…
06-04 10:19:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x10322c…
06-04 10:18:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0e6492…
06-04 09:18:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x3c40d3…
06-04 09:16:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x702d49…
06-04 08:16:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x64da30…
06-04 06:56:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xed4673…
06-04 06:53:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xff7508…
06-03 23:59:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x57f7b3…
06-02 16:59:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	95¢	$70	0x608577…
06-02 15:06:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xfcaf6f…
06-02 06:16:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	1¢	$8	0xf1291c…
06-02 06:04:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$6	0x430849…
05-23 22:53:59	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xe29364…
05-23 22:53:04	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	122	30¢	$37	0x9241ca…
05-23 22:53:03	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	72	30¢	$22	0x3e938c…
05-23 22:53:01	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xc4a9fa…
05-23 22:34:19	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	350	16¢	$56	0x1ec14e…
05-23 15:07:03	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	750	7¢	$53	0xa3be28…
05-08 05:30:32	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa7caa8…
05-08 05:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdf6e17…
05-08 03:16:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xea3960…
05-08 01:05:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x83507b…
05-07 22:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x14d94b…
05-07 21:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7ed300…
05-07 18:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x43e247…
05-07 17:02:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa61d24…
05-07 16:04:29	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5def51…
05-07 16:03:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x384f92…
05-07 15:02:29	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1e9ae0…
05-07 15:02:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbf7020…
05-07 14:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x841ff0…
05-07 10:10:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe0812d…
05-07 08:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3092ab…
05-07 06:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd90305…
05-07 04:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x77ac44…
05-07 03:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6a540d…
05-07 02:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x02ab2c…
05-07 01:16:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x341cb7…
05-07 00:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6181f1…
05-06 21:11:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9b3df1…
05-06 20:32:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x746093…
05-06 19:08:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x63f83a…
05-06 18:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x153046…
05-06 17:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xeedba1…
05-06 15:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3bf108…
05-06 11:50:12	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x290ab8…
05-06 11:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xde3382…
05-06 10:37:16	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4e97f2…
05-06 10:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaf383e…
05-06 09:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd8862d…
05-06 08:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x90fcf8…
05-06 07:09:50	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfcdec1…
05-06 07:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x72f626…
05-06 06:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x89e142…
05-06 04:06:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x62ce5c…
05-06 03:09:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x66f17a…
05-06 00:21:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x7814e6…
05-05 23:19:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xef5f31…
05-05 23:05:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf61c32…
05-05 22:32:20	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdf3e3f…
05-05 22:10:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xce4901…
05-05 21:26:16	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfa9c1f…
05-05 21:11:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2107e8…
05-05 19:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x26e085…
05-05 19:12:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xebe8ca…
05-05 17:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x641892…
05-05 17:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x67a097…
05-05 16:02:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x47a097…
05-05 15:04:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc053f6…
05-05 14:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7b229a…
05-05 12:11:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x77db49…
05-05 12:06:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x95e809…
05-05 08:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2947fd…
05-05 07:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x93b0fc…