Moral-Proponent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$390

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.0%

Resolved

Trades

417

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-20 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 24% $-384

Politics

3% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$370	500	500	+0	open	—	03-09 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$351	254	254	+0	open	—	05-04 14:31
btc updown 5m 1780956600	2	$231	185	185	+0	open	—	06-08 22:13
btc updown 5m 1776169500	2	$229	214	201	+13	open	—	04-14 12:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$194	220	220	+0	No	$-6	04-23 10:10
btc updown 5m 1780956900	2	$174	125	125	+0	open	—	06-08 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$156	108	108	+0	Up	+$59	05-04 19:59
btc updown 5m 1776986100	1	$150	289	0	+289	open	—	04-23 23:15
btc updown 5m 1776982200	2	$149	244	58	+186	open	—	04-23 22:12
btc updown 5m 1780954800	2	$145	238	60	+179	open	—	06-08 21:41
btc updown 5m 1776997200	2	$133	111	107	+4	open	—	04-24 02:21
btc updown 5m 1776717300	3	$123	115	64	+51	open	—	04-20 20:41
btc updown 5m 1780946400	2	$117	93	93	+0	open	—	06-08 19:25
btc updown 5m 1780942500	2	$115	76	76	+0	open	—	06-08 18:20
btc updown 5m 1776378600	2	$111	86	82	+4	open	—	04-16 22:35
btc updown 5m 1776984900	1	$110	204	0	+204	open	—	04-23 22:55
btc updown 5m 1776379800	3	$105	144	72	+72	open	—	04-16 22:51
btc updown 5m 1776379500	2	$105	88	84	+4	open	—	04-16 22:49
btc updown 5m 1775088000	2	$100	74	71	+3	open	—	04-02 00:05
btc updown 5m 1776986700	1	$100	189	0	+189	open	—	04-23 23:25
btc updown 5m 1776178200	1	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	04-14 14:51
btc updown 5m 1776168300	1	$100	176	0	+176	open	—	04-14 12:05
btc updown 5m 1776174600	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	04-14 13:51
btc updown 5m 1776177300	1	$100	278	0	+278	open	—	04-14 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	05-04 13:16
btc updown 5m 1776985200	1	$100	208	0	+208	open	—	04-23 23:00
btc updown 5m 1776978300	1	$100	245	0	+245	open	—	04-23 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$100	194	0	+194	Up	$-100	05-04 20:05
btc updown 5m 1776177900	1	$100	361	0	+361	open	—	04-14 14:45
btc updown 5m 1776177000	1	$100	204	0	+204	open	—	04-14 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 22:40:49	btc updown 5m 1781995200	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3d32f9…
06-20 22:40:16	btc updown 5m 1781995200	Down	BUY	55	42¢	$23	0x820fdf…
06-20 22:39:59	btc updown 5m 1781994900	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x49ed95…
06-20 22:39:13	btc updown 5m 1781994900	Up	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xb926c5…
06-20 22:38:55	btc updown 5m 1781994900	Down	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0xd0129f…
06-20 22:38:05	btc updown 5m 1781994900	Up	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x21c78a…
06-20 22:36:07	btc updown 5m 1781994900	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xb5bebb…
06-20 22:34:37	btc updown 5m 1781994600	Up	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x26da4f…
06-20 22:30:49	btc updown 5m 1781994600	Up	BUY	36	35¢	$13	0x150791…
06-20 22:28:04	btc updown 5m 1781994300	Down	BUY	107	16¢	$17	0xef8b92…
06-20 22:27:25	btc updown 5m 1781994300	Up	SELL	46	69¢	$32	0xe4f40f…
06-20 22:25:44	btc updown 5m 1781994300	Up	BUY	46	36¢	$17	0x5a4504…
06-20 22:12:34	btc updown 5m 1781993400	Down	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x758ba2…
06-20 22:05:28	btc updown 5m 1781993100	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x9d7666…
06-16 18:11:04	btc updown 5m 1781633400	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xba81cd…
06-16 18:05:17	btc updown 5m 1781633100	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x86f5bd…
06-16 18:02:56	btc updown 5m 1781632800	Up	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x899d1a…
06-16 18:00:26	btc updown 5m 1781632800	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x6e3c82…
06-08 23:05:37	btc updown 5m 1780959900	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x93da0e…
06-08 23:00:21	btc updown 5m 1780959600	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xddee9a…
06-08 22:57:36	btc updown 5m 1780959300	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x4143e7…
06-08 22:55:58	btc updown 5m 1780959300	Down	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0xc0c7ef…
06-08 22:50:22	btc updown 5m 1780959000	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xb8b2bf…
06-08 22:42:33	btc updown 5m 1780958400	Up	BUY	57	32¢	$18	0x64122b…
06-08 22:38:30	btc updown 5m 1780958100	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xc0b8bc…
06-08 22:30:58	btc updown 5m 1780957800	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x988bc9…
06-08 22:27:46	btc updown 5m 1780957500	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x57f073…
06-08 22:20:07	btc updown 5m 1780956900	Down	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0x3a10e2…
06-08 22:15:27	btc updown 5m 1780956900	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xc7a16b…
06-08 22:13:57	btc updown 5m 1780956600	Down	SELL	185	98¢	$181	0x9f37b6…
06-08 22:11:31	btc updown 5m 1780956600	Down	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xf81875…
06-08 22:05:19	btc updown 5m 1780956300	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xde9b55…
06-08 22:01:58	btc updown 5m 1780956000	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x0ce08e…
06-08 21:56:24	btc updown 5m 1780955700	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xf02c3d…
06-08 21:50:51	btc updown 5m 1780955400	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x358e7f…
06-08 21:46:40	btc updown 5m 1780955100	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xfabddc…
06-08 21:41:01	btc updown 5m 1780954800	Up	SELL	60	76¢	$45	0x7654d7…
06-08 21:40:12	btc updown 5m 1780954800	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xdd0a69…
06-08 21:37:36	btc updown 5m 1780954500	Down	SELL	89	6¢	$5	0x836ccc…
06-08 21:35:22	btc updown 5m 1780954500	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xd3bfdc…
06-08 19:36:03	btc updown 5m 1780947300	Down	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0xb8861e…
06-08 19:34:28	btc updown 5m 1780947000	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x0f0316…
06-08 19:25:10	btc updown 5m 1780946400	Down	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x1bbd27…
06-08 19:20:43	btc updown 5m 1780946400	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xf329bc…
06-08 19:05:57	btc updown 5m 1780945500	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xfaba61…
06-08 18:52:52	btc updown 5m 1780944600	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xd7ee64…
06-08 18:21:30	btc updown 5m 1780942800	Down	BUY	115	48¢	$55	0x4fdedc…
06-08 18:20:10	btc updown 5m 1780942500	Down	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xb19f73…
06-08 18:15:54	btc updown 5m 1780942500	Down	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0x2b5c93…
06-08 18:13:48	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xb92b45…
06-08 17:22:12	btc updown 5m 1780939200	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x01525e…
06-08 17:16:33	btc updown 5m 1780938900	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x9b53ac…
06-08 17:15:33	btc updown 5m 1780938600	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x5b8e3d…
06-08 17:10:42	btc updown 5m 1780938600	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xfe9d5a…
06-08 17:02:49	btc updown 5m 1780938000	Down	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x6f4d86…
06-08 17:00:22	btc updown 5m 1780938000	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xb5bd0e…
06-08 16:59:33	btc updown 5m 1780937700	Up	SELL	45	25¢	$11	0x7e96e1…
06-08 16:58:22	btc updown 5m 1780937700	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3aa7e4…
06-08 16:50:54	btc updown 5m 1780937400	Up	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x2a4ad0…
06-08 16:50:10	btc updown 5m 1780937100	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xd62536…
06-08 16:45:21	btc updown 5m 1780937100	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x611a1e…
05-07 21:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0xd16b75…
05-07 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x970803…
05-07 21:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	206	17¢	$35	0xecf78b…
05-07 21:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x5c4dcc…
05-07 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	82	36¢	$30	0xc3a6c8…
05-07 21:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xc6f6a6…
05-07 21:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x814e0f…
05-05 20:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd01203…
05-05 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x6adf1b…
05-05 19:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xd348d4…
05-05 19:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x01b552…
05-05 19:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x21ea29…
05-05 19:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x031fde…
05-05 19:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0x80992f…
05-04 20:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0x0dd074…
05-04 20:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x33b8d7…
05-04 20:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x0b93e8…
05-04 20:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x138f8c…
05-04 20:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	82	48¢	$40	0xbd5e74…
05-04 20:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	123	49¢	$60	0xac0f00…
05-04 20:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xa6dbd1…
05-04 20:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	162	25¢	$40	0x6d13e4…
05-04 19:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0xaee73b…
05-04 19:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	108	45¢	$49	0x45ef98…
05-04 19:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0xdbd562…
05-04 19:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$17	0x173fb4…
05-04 19:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	324	31¢	$100	0xafe97e…
05-04 19:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	266	38¢	$100	0x765aa5…
05-04 19:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x999b1b…
05-04 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	254	99¢	$251	0xbc1c05…
05-04 14:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	254	39¢	$100	0x1805b2…
05-04 13:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xab4fa7…
05-04 13:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x968b8a…
05-04 12:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x27fe5a…
05-02 18:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x9b997e…
05-02 18:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6cb3a7…
05-02 18:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x46626b…
05-02 18:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xd6837e…
05-02 18:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	79	45¢	$35	0xd1e1bc…