Humiliating-Pendulum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

410

Trades

1,014

lifetime

Volume

$7.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-25 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 60% -$39

Politics

2% 33% +$16

Other

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes		-48	-$2	4¢	$-2	+$0	06-07 04:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 9am et	6	$185	132	132	+0	Up	+$5	07-06 13:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 12:30 UTC	4	$156	140	140	+0	Down	-$4	07-06 12:40
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 2pm et	9	$153	128	128	+0	Up	+$3	07-03 18:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$130	94	94	+0	No	+$30	05-24 16:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 11:45 UTC	8	$126	115	115	+0	Down	+$6	07-06 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	6	$93	64	64	+0	Down	+$3	06-30 14:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 15:30 UTC	6	$92	65	65	+0	Down	+$2	07-01 15:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 15:15 UTC	8	$90	82	82	+0	Up	+$0	07-02 15:21
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	6	$88	229	229	+0	Down	-$12	09-30 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$85	56	56	+0	Down	+$5	05-26 13:19
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 10am et	4	$83	48	48	+0	Down	+$3	06-30 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 12:00 UTC	2	$83	51	51	+0	Down	+$3	07-06 12:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	2	$69	57	57	+0	Up	+$9	09-30 19:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 12:20 UTC	2	$66	38	38	+0	Down	+$6	06-29 12:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 14:00 UTC	4	$66	50	50	+0	Up	+$6	07-01 14:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 12:15 UTC	10	$65	98	98	+0	Up	-$25	07-06 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:25 UTC	5	$63	43	40	+3	Down	+$1	06-30 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:25 UTC	2	$59	47	47	+0	Down	+$9	07-01 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 12:35 UTC	2	$58	42	42	+0	Down	+$8	07-06 12:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 23:15 UTC	4	$54	38	38	+0	Up	+$15	09-27 23:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 12:15 UTC	4	$54	33	33	+0	Down	+$4	06-30 12:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 14:45 UTC	4	$52	48	48	+0	Up	+$2	07-02 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 23:35 UTC	2	$51	39	39	+0	Down	+$11	09-27 23:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:40 UTC	2	$51	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	07-01 14:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:10 UTC	2	$51	86	86	+0	Up	-$49	07-06 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 19:15 UTC	2	$51	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	06-29 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:55 UTC	2	$50	38	38	+0	Up	+$10	07-01 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$50	42	42	+0	Up	$0	09-02 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$49	30	30	+0	Down	+$9	05-25 19:39
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 9am et	2	$45	61	61	+0	Up	+$5	09-27 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x065e0b…
10-25 19:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf67812…
10-25 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x736798…
10-25 19:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc2681c…
10-25 19:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x5caed2…
10-25 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7266c5…
10-25 19:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x4737cb…
10-25 19:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe31146…
10-25 19:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0xe80208…
10-25 18:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbf4bc1…
10-25 18:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x7b8545…
10-25 18:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0273b1…
10-25 18:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4f8b9a…
10-25 18:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xcf5d89…
10-25 18:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xebd919…
10-25 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x469c0c…
10-25 17:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xb9e235…
10-25 17:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe2e721…
10-25 17:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xa2aefc…
10-25 17:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc5d4fa…
10-25 16:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x912484…
10-25 16:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xb1a90a…
10-25 16:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x151d8d…
10-25 16:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xbe510d…
10-25 16:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa3f87b…
10-25 16:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2af4c8…
10-25 15:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x62a328…
10-25 15:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x78e6a4…
10-25 14:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x60b9c3…
10-22 14:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x318be9…
10-22 14:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc79475…
10-22 13:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0xf564a3…
10-22 13:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xa442eb…
10-21 15:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5b520c…
10-21 13:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xd3d169…
10-21 13:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x3b8fec…
10-21 13:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9016e0…
10-06 21:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x265bfb…
10-06 20:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x1910fe…
10-06 20:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x623574…
10-06 19:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x26010d…
10-06 19:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xbe775a…
10-05 10:25:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xf1f946…
10-05 10:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xabd718…
10-05 09:53:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-05 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0x10c265…
10-05 09:39:40	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x5def24…
10-05 09:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc0708c…
10-05 09:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x0e5a7d…
10-05 09:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd4c4f9…
10-05 09:30:46	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xce284d…
10-05 09:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	24	14¢	$3	0x595f4e…
10-05 09:12:55	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x2af740…
10-05 09:11:53	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf4c944…
10-05 09:10:01	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5915b0…
10-04 21:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x7074b9…
10-04 20:45:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-04 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x411e1f…
10-04 17:50:07	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x23e639…
10-04 17:49:25	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xb6f430…
10-04 17:48:20	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcd3dbb…
10-04 17:32:26	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x0f60ce…
10-04 17:24:07	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7d55f6…
10-04 14:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x56c282…
10-04 14:47:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x34d51f…
10-04 12:41:22	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x2488ed…
10-04 12:18:20	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x611dae…
10-04 12:17:11	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfab8fc…
10-03 16:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x9a2e35…
10-03 16:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2a61a9…
10-03 14:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xfea408…
10-03 14:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf09719…
10-03 14:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0691b2…
10-03 13:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x1ec80f…
10-03 13:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe48ce6…
10-03 10:21:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xc0fde8…
10-03 10:18:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x686a83…
10-02 18:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	77	23¢	$18	0x3df7ef…
10-02 18:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xa9cff1…
10-02 18:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xc325f3…
10-02 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2df8ad…
10-02 18:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xc75cd0…
10-02 17:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$2	0xdeaae3…
10-02 17:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5f2551…
10-02 17:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x5b1181…
10-02 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x69c76e…
10-02 12:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x47e8ec…
10-02 12:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x01cdb2…
10-02 10:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3fbe06…
10-02 10:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x69bd75…
10-02 08:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x423448…
10-02 06:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0x0ed7a0…
10-02 05:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0x09adb0…
10-02 04:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xca92ab…
10-01 19:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x7c45bf…
10-01 17:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x0f7a63…
10-01 17:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x21a6ff…
10-01 14:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x8d3f01…
10-01 13:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf765df…
09-30 19:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0xe47192…
09-30 19:49:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xe18b23…
09-30 19:48:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0xc9b828…