Kind-Advertisement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$273

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

34.5%

Resolved

1,175

Trades

13,579

lifetime

Volume

$27.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-03 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 246 days

Categories

Other

93% 25% +$408

Politics

6% 17% -$125

Crypto

0% 26% -$9

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+8	$2	41¢	$3	+$1	11-03 05:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	11	$617	2,280	2,280	+0	No	+$612	03-07 15:34
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	10	$334	406	306	+100	Up	-$15	05-18 20:58
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	33	$330	622	622	+0	Yes	+$42	03-09 11:40
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?	13	$326	240	240	+0	No	-$3	05-17 18:44
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$277	6,031	6,031	+0	Yes	+$246	05-15 07:05
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	21	$252	440	520	-80	Yes	-$48	03-13 12:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?	14	$248	230	230	+0	Yes	-$1	06-08 19:01
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	23	$229	3,000	4,000	-1,000	No	+$217	03-10 15:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	10	$218	250	250	+0	No	-$18	05-24 10:25
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	24	$202	741	741	+0	No	+$10	03-20 10:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	8	$202	180	180	+0	No	-$2	05-23 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	14	$194	113	113	+0	Yes	-$1	06-08 08:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	10	$189	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	05-20 14:08
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	6	$183	150	150	+0	No	-$7	05-29 11:36
cs2 mana1 step 2026 06 08	13	$181	334	150	+184	STEP	-$1	06-08 12:52
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	16	$173	227	227	+0	No	-$1	05-17 18:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	6	$172	203	203	+0	Up	-$3	05-20 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?	7	$166	91	91	+0	No	+$1	07-02 18:56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	3	$162	100	100	+0	Down	-$10	05-21 13:55
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	15	$154	280	280	+0	Yes	+$16	03-18 14:03
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	14	$153	287	287	+0	Yes	+$57	03-20 15:58
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	24	$148	727	727	+0	No	-$10	03-09 14:46
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	102	$144	5,928	1,927	+4,001	No	-$22	03-24 13:15
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	13	$143	11,338	11,338	+0	No	-$9	03-17 12:32
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	21	$130	991	741	+250	No	-$17	03-24 13:35
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	14	$129	279	279	+0	No	-$14	03-11 07:29
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	6	$128	182	182	+0	No	-$10	03-19 04:16
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	11	$127	194	194	+0	No	-$24	03-09 03:22
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	13	$126	323	323	+0	Yes	+$22	03-24 12:19
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	12	$126	432	432	+0	No	-$2	03-13 05:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 09:11:46	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x6349a7…
11-03 05:48:04	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xece1cf…
11-03 05:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x477993…
11-03 05:21:03	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x783da4…
11-03 05:21:00	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa4b56d…
11-03 03:22:57	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	178	0¢	$0	0x948f7f…
11-03 03:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,795	0¢	$3	0xaeb2ca…
11-03 03:15:54	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0x98831d…
11-03 03:15:00	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,205	0¢	$1	0x1e8995…
11-03 03:06:15	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	822	0¢	$1	0xe7549d…
11-03 00:32:55	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	466	0¢	$0	0x4bafb9…
11-03 00:32:51	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	534	0¢	$1	0xa80831…
11-03 00:32:27	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbaceaa…
11-02 23:23:51	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa11c47…
11-02 23:20:21	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xb4613e…
11-02 23:20:21	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x5b7f22…
11-02 22:29:21	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb3afe4…
11-02 22:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	483	0¢	$0	0x29b325…
11-02 22:13:33	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,483	0¢	$2	0x749b52…
11-02 21:55:37	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	501	0¢	$1	0xd55c1c…
11-02 21:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x86dc49…
11-02 21:54:25	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x71b8d2…
11-02 21:52:27	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x668082…
11-02 21:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x6bec37…
11-02 19:56:58	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	288	0¢	$1	0x829898…
11-02 19:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	0¢	$4	0x65afa5…
11-02 19:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$10	0x187344…
11-02 19:01:31	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa3d320…
11-02 18:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	704	0¢	$2	0x6c227b…
11-02 18:49:48	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9488b3…
11-02 18:46:07	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc25234…
11-02 18:45:46	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xc39653…
11-02 17:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x687eb4…
11-02 17:03:36	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,988	0¢	$4	0xfcd24e…
11-02 17:03:25	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$4	0xd0f85f…
11-02 16:04:48	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x34e1b9…
11-02 08:29:54	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xd68663…
11-02 08:29:54	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x8aaada…
11-02 08:29:51	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xdce25e…
11-01 18:01:36	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	0¢	$0	0x051b75…
11-01 17:59:09	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	0¢	$0	0x7d5c59…
10-31 13:54:30	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x23e139…
10-31 13:18:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0xb2acfd…
10-31 08:32:51	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0xc43119…
10-31 07:35:01	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xf66b50…
10-31 04:20:49	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	270	0¢	$1	0x39049f…
10-31 04:20:24	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$1	0x571be2…
10-31 04:19:55	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x5c489b…
10-31 04:18:49	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	2¢	$2	0x1ab136…
10-31 04:08:58	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x87c468…
10-31 04:07:43	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	351	0¢	$1	0x0f8f2d…
10-31 04:06:55	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	0¢	$0	0x75136a…
10-30 23:13:07	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa11521…
10-30 23:05:10	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xec0696…
10-30 23:05:10	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7509e2…
10-30 23:02:48	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa430bd…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfccbe5…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd960d1…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xab0b10…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa4e0b6…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x882905…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7b3ebc…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x745d9a…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x66d792…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x3c6481…
10-30 23:01:49	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x034917…
10-30 22:59:40	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x9897f9…
10-30 22:57:27	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5d5a5d…
10-30 22:32:03	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xd9fdc9…
10-30 22:32:03	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x724ed8…
10-30 22:30:21	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xa5a38a…
10-30 20:47:40	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x96a1ba…
10-30 19:20:21	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xd25373…
10-30 19:20:21	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x64ca07…
10-30 19:20:19	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x3ad398…
10-30 19:11:13	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x76baa5…
10-30 17:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xb2b019…
10-30 16:40:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x8d7d61…
10-30 16:40:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x66e415…
10-30 16:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x8ea3bd…
10-30 16:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x24c186…
10-30 16:24:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x97c752…
10-30 16:24:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x2105c0…
10-30 16:23:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6a6641…
10-30 16:21:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xac93ad…
10-30 16:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf5b6cd…
10-30 11:29:30	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0xe5b67d…
10-30 11:25:36	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf462c0…
10-30 10:17:30	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0x17d01b…
10-30 10:17:09	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	0¢	$1	0xcb0bae…
10-30 06:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x3aaced…
10-30 06:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	7¢	$15	0xd18632…
10-30 06:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0xa9fac2…
10-30 06:00:40	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xef098d…
10-30 06:00:40	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	7¢	$15	0x384e87…
10-30 06:00:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x76a28a…
10-30 06:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x3bfa36…
10-30 05:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xa487a7…
10-30 05:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	5¢	$5	0xd6bcaf…
10-30 05:47:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	6¢	$8	0xb67596…