Rude-Lyre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$575

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-19 04:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 63% +$217

Other

40% 72% -$804

Tech

8% — —

Politics

1% 75% +$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+49	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	06-19 04:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	16	$2.6K	3,638	3,633	+5	Yes	-$64	05-28 18:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	18	$2.4K	1,995	1,995	+0	No	+$330	05-21 06:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	11	$1.5K	3,708	3,708	+0	Yes	+$4	05-22 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	12	$1.3K	669	669	+0	Yes	+$14	05-28 15:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	25	$1.2K	918	918	+0	open	—	05-15 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	11	$701	721	0	+721	No	-$701	05-28 15:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?	2	$156	81	81	+0	Yes	+$4	05-26 21:45
bitcoin above 72k on april 12	14	$148	86	85	+1	No	+$7	04-11 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?	2	$145	77	77	+0	Yes	+$7	05-26 19:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	3	$137	70	70	+0	Yes	+$2	05-26 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?	5	$131	68	68	+0	Yes	+$4	05-26 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 26?	2	$127	65	65	+0	Yes	+$1	05-26 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 26?	2	$121	64	64	+0	Yes	+$5	05-26 12:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?	2	$119	62	62	+0	No	+$5	05-22 17:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on May 22?	4	$114	58	58	+0	No	+$0	05-22 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 26?	2	$114	59	59	+0	Yes	+$3	05-26 10:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?	4	$113	57	57	+0	No	+$1	05-21 20:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?	3	$112	62	62	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 08:35
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 26?	2	$110	58	58	+0	Yes	+$3	05-26 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 25?	2	$104	54	54	+0	Yes	+$4	05-25 17:31
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	4	$99	96	95	+1	No	-$55	04-12 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 25?	2	$97	51	51	+0	Yes	+$1	05-25 15:12
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	9	$94	50	49	+0	No	+$1	04-16 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 25?	2	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	+$6	05-25 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 25?	2	$84	44	44	+0	Yes	+$2	05-25 12:32
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$80	54	54	+0	Yes	+$2	04-10 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?	2	$80	86	0	+86	No	-$80	05-27 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on May 25?	2	$80	41	41	+0	Yes	+$2	05-25 10:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?	2	$75	39	39	+0	Yes	+$2	05-25 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 28?	2	$73	38	38	+0	No	+$3	05-28 07:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 04:52:41	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$2	0x8c2a0a…
06-17 21:44:25	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xcf4021…
06-17 21:01:10	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe88daf…
06-17 20:59:19	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x8629b7…
06-17 11:37:52	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1ddebd…
06-17 11:17:23	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x02524d…
06-16 12:06:28	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x072ba0…
06-16 11:42:45	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x73f71f…
06-16 09:24:39	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4c68db…
06-16 09:23:40	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xba4ca5…
06-16 09:20:12	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x263c75…
06-16 09:18:19	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc9d223…
06-10 07:34:48	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb1d97c…
06-10 07:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?	No	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x70be07…
06-09 14:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$9	0x470ae2…
06-09 14:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 10?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$8	0x1d721e…
06-09 13:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 10?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x808505…
06-08 17:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 10?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x90db50…
06-08 11:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 10?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8d37ae…
06-08 11:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?	No	SELL	11	84¢	$10	0x4a9adf…
06-08 09:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe8f298…
06-08 06:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?	No	BUY	44	83¢	$37	0xe521a6…
06-07 17:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x37b311…
06-07 16:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x17df3a…
06-07 16:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0b6ee7…
06-07 13:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x0fcaf1…
06-07 11:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?	No	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x2adf1a…
06-06 07:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 6?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0xaf3386…
06-05 06:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 6?	No	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0xed0799…
06-04 04:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 4?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xe3cac0…
06-03 19:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 4?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x36d1f4…
06-02 21:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 4?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x651a20…
06-02 11:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 4?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x9ddd56…
06-02 08:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 3?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0x54554f…
06-01 15:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 3?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$19	0x71055a…
05-31 07:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x330213…
05-31 07:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0xfbaf38…
05-31 07:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x66fe92…
05-30 19:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0xa5c439…
05-30 19:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x0f2cf9…
05-30 17:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x5322c1…
05-30 17:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x364800…
05-30 08:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf24084…
05-30 08:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9e715f…
05-28 18:10:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7b4a7d…
05-28 15:26:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	39	89¢	$35	0xc61ecf…
05-28 15:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xf44e0d…
05-28 15:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0fcee9…
05-28 15:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x15f237…
05-28 15:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xb105d9…
05-28 15:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1d69b1…
05-28 15:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1d2404…
05-28 15:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x96ea07…
05-28 15:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x5fe2fb…
05-28 15:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x3299fd…
05-28 15:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x5350f5…
05-28 15:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	190	98¢	$186	0x623167…
05-28 15:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x4f1056…
05-28 15:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	165	98¢	$161	0x9bce5c…
05-28 15:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0xaf56ce…
05-28 15:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x8bd233…
05-28 15:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	414	100¢	$413	0x86d6f2…
05-28 13:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	338	98¢	$331	0xf8cadc…
05-28 13:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc70217…
05-28 13:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x40bee0…
05-28 13:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0xa0e8a6…
05-28 12:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xc6b313…
05-28 12:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x8cdf85…
05-28 12:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x864aa7…
05-28 12:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x611f83…
05-28 12:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x0a648b…
05-28 12:34:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	43¢	$39	0xe3e629…
05-28 12:34:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,414	43¢	$614	0x0dae78…
05-28 10:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	38	91¢	$34	0xcb446e…
05-28 08:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 28?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x996eb0…
05-28 08:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 28?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xf65ef0…
05-28 08:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 28?	No	SELL	48	59¢	$28	0x28ac38…
05-28 08:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 28?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x784d8f…
05-28 07:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 28?	No	BUY	58	64¢	$37	0x1077d4…
05-28 07:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 28?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0x3f1d92…
05-27 17:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 28?	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x4b2067…
05-27 17:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 27?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x6ee6cc…
05-27 11:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x86b26a…
05-27 11:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x6d61d1…
05-27 11:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 27?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xe7e4bd…
05-27 09:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 27?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x467651…
05-27 06:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xb91703…
05-27 06:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$29	0x935bdb…
05-26 21:45:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?	Yes	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x30e0b4…
05-26 19:58:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	81	94¢	$76	0xe4fe3c…
05-26 19:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?	Yes	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x1e0c10…
05-26 17:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?	Yes	BUY	77	90¢	$69	0x986a2f…
05-26 16:30:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xbc903e…
05-26 16:29:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x57c6a7…
05-26 16:02:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	70	96¢	$68	0xc5fbe4…
05-26 14:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xa0ec91…
05-26 14:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x7f4d3f…
05-26 13:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xd8c7ce…
05-26 13:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x9b5548…
05-26 13:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$26	0x42f04b…