Silent-Capitulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$785

Unrealized P&L

-$489

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

2,436

Trades

9,482

lifetime

Volume

$281.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$115

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-27 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 44% +$307

Other

1% 50% -$1,012

Politics

0% 50% -$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	+151	$76	34¢	$52	-$23	10-24 16:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	+3,655	$432	1¢	$38	-$394	10-27 03:09
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?	Yes	+514	$35	4¢	$21	-$14	10-26 02:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	+1,324	$62	0¢	$3	-$58	10-26 02:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana dip to 100 in january 2026	9	$5.0K	7,476	7,476	+0	Yes	+$3,758	01-31 18:43
ethereum above 1700 on june 18 2026	39	$4.3K	5,022	5,022	+0	No	+$3,790	06-18 16:01
will solana dip to 110 in january 2026	3	$4.2K	5,398	4,000	+1,398	Yes	+$3,054	01-31 14:26
solana up or down on january 31	4	$4.1K	3,994	3,994	+0	Down	+$2,117	01-31 14:33
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	12	$4.0K	5,101	5,101	+0	No	+$3,172	01-31 14:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	25	$3.4K	5,801	5,801	+0	No	+$2,581	10-24 15:06
bitcoin up or down on february 6	35	$2.9K	4,192	4,192	+0	Up	-$1,635	02-06 02:49
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 16:00 UTC	82	$2.7K	2,067	2,029	+38	Down	+$451	06-08 19:41
ethereum above 2500 on january 31	5	$2.3K	4,496	4,496	+0	No	+$1,555	01-31 16:48
xrp above 1pt3 on february 5	3	$2.3K	3,091	3,091	+0	No	+$2,060	02-05 15:36
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 7	4	$2.3K	3,154	3,154	+0	No	-$1,845	06-07 22:15
will solana dip to 50 june 1 7 2026	9	$2.2K	6,169	3,813	+2,357	No	+$1,868	06-07 05:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	13	$2.1K	4,183	4,183	+0	Yes	+$1,937	06-02 15:44
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	15	$2.0K	4,777	5,091	-313	No	-$949	01-30 06:31
bitcoin up or down february 3 5pm et	53	$1.9K	1,445	1,445	+0	Down	+$159	02-03 22:13
will solana dip to 90 in february 2026	3	$1.8K	1,060	1,060	+0	Yes	+$317	02-04 18:12
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	18	$1.7K	1,451	1,451	+0	No	+$412	02-03 16:36
bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	7	$1.7K	1,578	1,578	+0	No	+$870	06-05 15:10
xrp up or down on february 4	19	$1.7K	1,520	1,520	+0	Down	+$30	02-03 20:30
solana up or down on february 3	9	$1.6K	1,132	1,132	+0	Down	+$354	02-03 14:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:15 UTC	27	$1.6K	1,605	1,581	+24	Down	+$179	02-04 01:29
xrp up or down on february 9	8	$1.6K	2,011	2,010	+1	Up	-$261	02-09 03:40
xrp above 1pt6 on february 1	2	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$863	02-01 17:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	10	$1.5K	2,959	2,959	+0	No	+$1,439	05-29 15:33
ethereum above 1600 on june 10 2026	10	$1.5K	3,479	2,225	+1,254	Yes	-$304	06-10 15:49
bitcoin above 82k on january 30	2	$1.5K	2,627	2,627	+0	Yes	-$458	01-30 11:53
ethereum above 2000 on february 13	13	$1.3K	1,318	1,318	+0	Yes	+$609	02-13 15:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 21:30 UTC	23	$1.3K	747	747	+0	Up	+$157	06-08 21:43
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	8	$1.3K	3,055	3,055	+0	No	-$361	01-30 12:24
solana above 100 on february 3	12	$1.3K	4,780	2,350	+2,430	Yes	-$95	02-03 16:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:14:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 27?	No	BUY	128	2¢	$3	0x47011d…
10-27 03:13:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 27?	No	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9ee443…
10-27 03:11:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 27?	No	BUY	543	2¢	$12	0xdf3f9a…
10-27 03:11:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 27?	No	BUY	178	2¢	$4	0x915c20…
10-27 03:11:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 27?	No	BUY	510	2¢	$10	0x55cc2a…
10-27 03:11:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	62	59¢	$37	0x317926…
10-27 03:09:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	319	7¢	$21	0x5c97c4…
10-27 03:09:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	244	7¢	$16	0x78974d…
10-27 03:08:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	105	7¢	$7	0x00a169…
10-27 03:08:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	380	7¢	$25	0x0900b7…
10-27 03:08:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1,112	6¢	$71	0x7b5488…
10-27 03:08:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	250	61¢	$152	0xabf3eb…
10-26 16:46:05	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa4142c…
10-26 16:46:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5badf3…
10-26 16:45:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0x3520a2…
10-26 16:45:41	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$13	0xf37feb…
10-26 16:45:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa2ae8c…
10-26 16:45:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xb9fa68…
10-26 16:45:15	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x61e33a…
10-26 16:44:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xb3de40…
10-26 16:43:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	567	3¢	$15	0x190699…
10-26 16:42:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x21a873…
10-26 16:42:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	905	3¢	$27	0xffdf1d…
10-26 16:42:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	746	3¢	$21	0x3c0496…
10-26 16:42:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	921	3¢	$23	0x9ee826…
10-26 16:40:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,400	11¢	$154	0x15f9e5…
10-26 16:39:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe5789e…
10-26 02:45:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	303	20¢	$62	0x49fff0…
10-26 02:44:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	192	20¢	$39	0xfb76c4…
10-26 02:43:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1,042	5¢	$49	0x9011ae…
10-26 02:43:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	282	5¢	$13	0xd580ef…
10-26 02:19:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	514	7¢	$35	0x84e256…
10-26 02:04:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,400	4¢	$52	0x4b731a…
10-26 01:56:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	144	2¢	$4	0x12e892…
10-26 01:55:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x9aae10…
10-26 01:55:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	396	2¢	$9	0x1722ed…
10-26 01:52:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	800	26¢	$206	0x57fa73…
10-26 01:52:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xedee2a…
10-26 01:52:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x463dd7…
10-26 01:51:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0x487545…
10-26 01:51:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0x139134…
10-26 01:51:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x636e58…
10-26 01:51:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	534	8¢	$42	0x378c3a…
10-26 01:51:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1,279	7¢	$92	0x9d693f…
10-26 01:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0x9a8840…
10-26 01:50:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	385	3¢	$11	0xae0f70…
10-26 01:50:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	339	3¢	$9	0x6f7889…
10-26 01:50:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	860	12¢	$105	0x202550…
10-26 01:47:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	790	100¢	$789	0xbe67f7…
10-25 21:52:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	88	29¢	$25	0x331dda…
10-25 21:52:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	241	29¢	$70	0x560d76…
10-25 21:52:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xe256d0…
10-25 21:51:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	116	28¢	$33	0xa2b6ac…
10-25 03:35:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	279	7¢	$21	0x5ac31a…
10-24 16:52:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	151	50¢	$76	0x3431f1…
10-24 16:52:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1,000	19¢	$191	0x7af737…
10-24 16:51:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xcf8688…
10-24 16:51:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	470	46¢	$216	0x3363f0…
10-24 16:51:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0x1405b0…
10-24 16:50:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	420	43¢	$180	0x1a5543…
10-24 15:57:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x9968a5…
10-24 15:56:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	294	85¢	$250	0x9c68a6…
10-24 15:46:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	300	45¢	$135	0x8d611a…
10-24 15:26:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	531	2¢	$9	0x5d73ff…
10-24 15:21:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,573	12¢	$189	0xb9cbdf…
10-24 15:21:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	566	11¢	$62	0xbc53f3…
10-24 15:20:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	2,000	51¢	$1,024	0xcf2aa9…
10-24 15:19:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	1,715	8¢	$146	0xe74266…
10-24 15:19:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0xc1d01d…
10-24 15:19:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	237	24¢	$56	0x74c219…
10-24 15:19:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	629	24¢	$149	0x08f9b4…
10-24 15:18:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$222	0x391ae0…
10-24 15:18:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	634	24¢	$150	0x3b9dea…
10-24 15:18:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$23	0xe6ce75…
10-24 15:06:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	790	66¢	$521	0xb8963e…
10-24 15:06:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x33694d…
10-24 15:06:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	220	66¢	$145	0x2315a6…
10-24 15:05:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	1,015	59¢	$596	0xf331dd…
10-24 15:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0xe2ddf2…
10-24 15:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	534	50¢	$265	0xc74381…
10-24 15:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0x933fd4…
10-24 15:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	1,048	50¢	$521	0x8d8dc7…
10-24 15:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	83	50¢	$41	0x269bec…
10-24 15:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	260	50¢	$129	0x0ccf16…
10-24 15:04:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	220	52¢	$114	0x890b25…
10-24 15:04:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	481	53¢	$255	0xc05387…
10-24 15:04:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	88	53¢	$46	0x5349d9…
10-24 15:04:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	300	46¢	$139	0xe3d374…
10-24 14:44:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	131	22¢	$29	0x9e7bcd…
10-24 14:43:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	521	23¢	$118	0xaaaace…
10-24 05:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	442	1¢	$4	0x3cba54…
10-24 05:08:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	2,674	7¢	$190	0x799246…
10-24 05:08:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	111	7¢	$7	0x08fd58…
10-24 05:07:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	99	7¢	$7	0xf4b7ff…
10-24 05:06:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	99	7¢	$7	0x6e7615…
10-24 05:06:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	612	7¢	$42	0x9502c7…
10-24 05:06:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x11121e…
10-24 05:06:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	52	7¢	$3	0x06f6e0…
10-24 05:06:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	2,106	6¢	$134	0xd29b95…
10-24 05:05:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	26	6¢	$1	0x38f118…