Vivid-Magic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$340

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

44.0%

Resolved

1,728

Trades

2,870

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$99

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-09 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 204 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 49% -$88

Other

42% 39% +$331

Sports

3% 44% +$108

Politics

1% 0% -$15

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+218	$107	45¢	$99	-$9	10-28 15:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?	19	$431	660	0	+660	Yes	+$229	06-28 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 29?	13	$332	290	290	+0	Yes	+$203	06-29 07:21
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 7am et	5	$305	162	159	+3	Down	+$1	04-06 11:54
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$253	388	170	+218	open	—	10-28 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?	15	$251	480	40	+440	Yes	+$217	06-24 16:51
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$166	418	368	+50	Yes	+$48	07-19 19:19
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 26?	17	$142	186	19	+167	Yes	+$38	06-25 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?	15	$139	318	318	+0	No	-$23	06-29 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?	1	$122	203	0	+203	No	-$122	06-29 04:06
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$117	100	70	+30	Yes	+$5	07-19 19:19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?	6	$113	143	143	+0	Yes	+$22	07-02 10:28
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 27?	9	$109	169	10	+159	Yes	+$61	06-27 03:20
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 28?	12	$107	122	42	+81	No	-$38	06-28 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 27?	5	$103	153	153	+0	No	-$14	06-26 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?	4	$96	200	100	+100	No	-$38	06-25 17:58
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 29?	6	$95	140	40	+100	Yes	+$32	06-28 17:11
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 1?	6	$95	150	59	+92	No	-$42	06-30 16:31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$91	202	302	-100	No	-$1	07-15 20:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?	8	$90	120	120	+0	No	+$0	07-04 15:28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$87	6	294	-288	No	+$85	07-14 19:40
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 27?	10	$86	215	150	+65	No	+$2	06-26 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 3?	11	$81	535	123	+412	No	-$43	07-02 11:07
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 26?	11	$79	111	80	+31	No	-$30	06-25 18:24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?	3	$77	202	0	+202	No	-$77	07-01 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?	8	$73	133	133	-0	No	-$6	06-25 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?	6	$72	257	0	+257	Yes	+$185	07-01 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?	7	$71	150	150	+0	No	-$25	07-01 06:21
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?	12	$68	168	58	+110	No	-$25	06-25 12:05
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 2?	6	$66	135	0	+135	No	-$66	07-01 17:40
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$65	100	0	+100	Yes	+$35	06-17 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 23:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x2fc6a2…
11-09 09:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x289e3c…
11-09 05:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x001d25…
11-03 13:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfe63b2…
11-03 13:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5c67ef…
11-03 13:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x28081a…
10-28 15:16:10	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	170	43¢	$73	0xbe2345…
10-21 05:30:14	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	388	46¢	$180	0x8e1c7a…
09-25 13:42:47	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x84cb7c…
09-25 13:18:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2ad408…
09-24 16:49:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x011228…
09-24 16:49:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5c9559…
09-24 12:11:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xf9d727…
09-24 05:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc239c8…
09-24 05:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2b67bb…
09-24 05:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1928b7…
09-24 05:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x085ef4…
09-23 08:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb6d475…
09-23 07:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5d78e4…
09-23 06:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x44ad1a…
09-23 05:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x5b9f96…
09-22 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x09023c…
09-22 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe13523…
09-22 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9625bb…
09-22 17:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xec1df2…
09-22 05:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x2c3bee…
09-22 02:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x1ab498…
09-22 01:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xe94926…
09-22 01:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x73ce4c…
09-22 01:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5972e6…
09-21 19:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x8bf7b3…
09-21 19:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x97df11…
09-21 19:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdc68d0…
09-21 17:50:07	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x964272…
09-21 15:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x86cab6…
09-21 13:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb7c14e…
09-21 12:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xafd52b…
09-21 12:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x4f7d16…
09-21 11:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xf9e89d…
09-21 10:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa95de8…
09-21 09:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xac5949…
09-21 09:30:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1fa00c…
09-21 09:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xa03121…
09-21 08:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0411a5…
09-21 07:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x06de0a…
09-21 07:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x3b9c9d…
09-21 07:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe9f0ce…
09-21 07:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xe2a8b5…
09-21 03:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x715a4c…
09-20 21:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xc8bd94…
09-20 16:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd24c9e…
09-20 16:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x001c95…
09-20 09:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xdee396…
09-20 07:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0xe62ae7…
09-20 03:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x61f075…
09-20 03:00:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x8d9ce9…
09-20 02:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xbb42f1…
09-20 01:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x9a3bb9…
09-20 01:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xd6e3d9…
09-19 23:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x231376…
09-19 21:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0xb52697…
09-19 14:30:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd87ced…
09-19 08:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x22731d…
09-19 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb6b84e…
09-19 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7fc625…
09-19 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd51a7c…
09-19 00:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe00e5e…
09-19 00:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x6524a3…
09-18 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xcb8b92…
09-18 20:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x452c9d…
09-18 16:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4d3683…
09-18 15:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2306fc…
09-18 14:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	42¢	$16	0xe4cc9a…
09-18 09:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0x240ec3…
09-18 07:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0x1c8122…
09-18 05:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	57	39¢	$22	0x8c69d6…
09-18 03:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x297f20…
09-18 03:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	41	40¢	$16	0x72a7ee…
09-18 03:00:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	56¢	$24	0x821025…
09-18 02:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x103e62…
09-17 23:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x0867bd…
09-17 22:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	55	49¢	$27	0x33d51b…
09-17 22:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x642964…
09-17 22:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	64	42¢	$27	0x4b729d…
09-17 17:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	46	42¢	$19	0x8ee81b…
09-17 16:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x8d866a…
09-17 15:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfd7f94…
09-17 13:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0xaf22a6…
09-17 13:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0x7a785b…
09-17 12:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	41	50¢	$21	0x1d2a2e…
09-17 11:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x79816a…
09-17 10:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0x01d0f7…
09-17 10:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xc09367…
09-17 09:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0x92963e…
09-17 08:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x8bf4fd…
09-17 04:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x1da750…
09-17 04:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x43b13a…
09-16 23:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x216244…
09-16 21:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x5e15d1…
09-16 12:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x0ce9b5…