Mature-Burden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.6%

Resolved

152

Trades

1,581

lifetime

Volume

$5.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-01 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 07:44:56	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xed490c…
06-01 07:44:26	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1f7787…
06-01 05:34:52	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xde8a53…
06-01 05:34:38	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x783bb8…
06-01 05:19:58	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb80a62…
06-01 05:19:16	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x57af4a…
06-01 03:29:43	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x543cd9…
06-01 03:29:41	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa65969…
06-01 03:19:41	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x8f9ddb…
06-01 03:19:38	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xde8790…
06-01 02:24:51	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xbf1605…
06-01 02:24:32	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbbd6c1…
06-01 01:34:46	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xa1f0e9…
06-01 01:34:39	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x029b66…
06-01 01:29:42	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xeac473…
06-01 01:29:38	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xeb0ddf…
05-31 23:29:23	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xb7005c…
05-31 23:29:20	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x988895…
05-31 22:29:16	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x6b2ad6…
05-31 22:29:15	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc2e921…
05-31 21:44:21	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xfae890…
05-31 21:44:20	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x04e426…
05-31 20:39:43	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xb4da63…
05-31 20:39:29	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x678336…
05-31 15:29:37	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xce3fb6…
05-31 11:19:26	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x63d851…
05-31 10:39:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x252928…
05-31 10:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2b1e97…
05-31 09:49:39	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xcad38e…
05-31 09:49:38	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9776c5…
05-31 04:59:20	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x80cb89…
05-31 04:54:31	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x1c0cb2…
05-31 04:54:24	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x1fe3dd…
05-31 04:49:25	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x5580cb…
05-31 04:49:20	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9f7aed…
05-31 04:24:36	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x8f3c05…
05-31 04:24:32	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x95ec34…
05-31 04:05:01	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6075f1…
05-31 04:04:25	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x489406…
05-31 01:59:42	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x23ec71…
05-31 01:59:38	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5014cc…
05-31 01:14:27	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x10b824…
05-31 01:14:24	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xeb63a6…
05-31 00:59:45	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x385db4…
05-31 00:59:42	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x168825…
05-30 23:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xa852e8…
05-30 23:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x183196…
05-30 22:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc4b2e3…
05-30 22:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x051465…
05-30 22:19:24	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x24cd81…
05-30 22:19:20	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5b4687…
05-30 22:09:20	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xcfcd94…
05-30 19:54:30	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe2ecd1…
05-30 16:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe2b166…
05-30 16:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfb5c12…
05-30 12:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xa63864…
05-30 12:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x489ee7…
05-30 12:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x10d327…
05-30 12:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa0fe22…
05-30 11:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x5f64ca…
05-30 11:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x34568e…
05-30 11:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x412791…
05-30 11:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xad1f3d…
05-30 10:19:37	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xbe4582…
05-30 10:19:36	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4e9d33…
05-30 08:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x9a6b39…
05-30 08:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xab2f86…
05-30 08:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x0eff1c…
05-30 08:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x41ad62…
05-30 08:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x4b94d7…
05-30 08:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xeb76ac…
05-30 07:14:42	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0c559f…
05-30 07:14:39	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe4da93…
05-30 07:14:35	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x40390b…
05-30 07:14:32	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x983f34…
05-30 06:54:47	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf2d247…
05-30 06:54:45	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x673bac…
05-30 06:54:44	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0830b2…
05-30 06:04:46	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc31922…
05-30 06:04:42	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa08dcd…
05-30 05:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x941cd8…
05-30 05:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x522224…
05-30 05:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x402f95…
05-30 05:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x01a910…
05-30 04:04:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x216b86…
05-30 04:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x042e5f…
05-30 03:34:42	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x213c57…
05-30 03:34:40	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdee5cc…
05-30 03:34:37	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x88a899…
05-30 03:34:35	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5730f7…
05-30 03:09:37	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x60b332…
05-30 03:09:34	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x95dc6d…
05-30 03:09:30	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x697f68…
05-30 02:19:38	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x04d882…
05-30 02:19:34	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe58b59…
05-30 02:19:20	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe2637a…
05-30 02:19:18	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1c6c76…
05-30 00:54:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x81f87b…
05-30 00:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xe90f67…
05-30 00:54:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x38a3b6…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	8	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	8	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	05-18 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-18 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$18	20	10	+10	open	—	05-16 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$18	20	10	+10	open	—	05-16 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	6	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	05-18 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$17	15	10	+5	open	—	05-18 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$17	15	10	+5	open	—	05-18 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 20:00