Calculating-Hypothesis 0xf05d94…498a7f
new
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Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
8
8 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$12
$12 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$6
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 05-16 13:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
70% — —
Crypto
30% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -1 $-1 83¢ $-1 $-0 05-16 12:45
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -1 $-1 78¢ $-1 $-0 05-16 12:45
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-16 12:46
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-16 13:44
MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-16 13:44
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -1 $-1 56¢ $-1 +$0 05-16 13:44