Lovely-Assassination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

281

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:49
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:50
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-29 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-25 10:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 07:43
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:37
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:11
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:43
highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-22 09:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:47
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:13
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:03
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 72 73f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-20 02:28
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:43
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 64 65f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-19 00:47
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:17
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:34
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:39
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:38
highest temperature in karachi on april 16 2026 32c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:12
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:56
highest temperature in busan on april 15 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-15 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6670a7…
10-31 09:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xefda9b…
10-30 09:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe915bf…
10-29 08:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2236af…
10-28 05:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xedfecc…
10-27 08:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x279269…
10-26 09:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x90c07d…
10-24 10:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x29dd3a…
10-22 10:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x887cad…
10-20 04:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x32a804…
10-19 08:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaae072…
10-18 08:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd8476f…
10-17 09:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xbb55ea…
10-16 08:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a17f3…
10-15 08:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d2694…
10-14 08:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5e524…
10-13 08:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bd2a1…
10-12 08:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8a7ef…
10-11 07:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc91e51…
10-08 08:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94c2ac…
10-07 13:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f7438…
10-06 07:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87a839…
10-04 10:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00df90…
10-03 05:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcaf0af…
10-02 07:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b6fb9…
10-01 08:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35d536…
09-30 12:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43bcab…
09-29 09:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2beedf…
09-28 09:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf07261…
09-27 08:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedfb14…
09-25 08:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1463e…
09-24 08:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe91b9…
09-23 05:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdad336…
09-22 07:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda6c49…
09-21 08:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf35402…
09-20 05:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0a46b…
09-19 07:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6b163…
09-18 01:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cc4e2…
09-17 03:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x771d17…
09-16 07:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c7aa9…
09-15 08:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb5f5b…
09-14 08:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91f15a…
09-12 10:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92e46a…
09-11 07:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea9de7…
09-10 02:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1de8f2…
09-09 01:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeba3ba…
09-08 01:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ac8c7…
09-07 08:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb288f3…
09-06 17:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1d716…
09-06 08:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e9050…
09-05 09:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cc070…
09-04 09:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40863c…
09-03 09:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f432b…
09-01 06:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd6a67…
08-30 07:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x717e4d…
08-29 06:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb692cc…
08-28 06:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99174c…
08-27 07:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf9f233…
08-26 08:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17b7ac…
08-25 07:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb437c4…
08-24 09:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a1b84…
08-23 14:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x336932…
08-22 07:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x087abe…
08-21 03:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfdc8e…
08-20 08:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa66d7…
08-19 08:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70ca53…
08-18 04:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x562105…
08-17 07:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce126c…
08-16 10:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x677c3d…
08-15 09:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92fbe7…
08-14 06:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd01bcc…
08-13 07:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bd908…
08-12 07:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4260c…
08-11 01:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3afce…
08-10 00:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8184f8…
08-09 01:12:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x754703…
08-08 07:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51b897…
08-07 00:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1eccec…
08-06 00:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fb62c…
08-05 07:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x913697…
08-04 07:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dfbc2…
08-03 01:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6542ba…
08-02 01:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24fab8…
08-01 00:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c93d1…
07-31 07:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36a36c…
07-30 06:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88e70c…
07-29 06:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x744d22…
07-28 05:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ed2d3…
07-27 07:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcda38…
07-26 06:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x108b3c…
07-25 00:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1500ca…
07-24 08:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09b01d…
07-23 02:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e01d1…
07-22 01:41:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x061ee8…
07-20 23:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ea577…
07-20 02:15:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x537fbf…
07-18 22:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bc5d5…
07-17 23:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb87d38…
07-17 06:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3303a0…
07-16 07:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1fcf3…