Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

121

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$461

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-01 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 29% +$50

Other

30% 16% -$43

Politics

29% 28% -$13

Sports

1% 33% -$2

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-01).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		-13	-$2	4¢	$-0	+$1	05-01 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on january 29	2	$55	56	56	+0	Yes	+$51	01-29 16:02
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$23	21	21	+0	No	+$1	03-08 11:44
will xrp dip to 1 in february 2026	3	$15	28	28	+0	No	+$11	02-06 00:47
will hyperliquid dip to 20 in january	5	$15	16	16	+0	No	-$1	01-30 07:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$0	04-21 12:03
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	5	$12	21	21	+0	No	-$3	01-30 07:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$12	25	25	+0	No	$0	03-23 13:18
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	2	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$3	01-24 21:54
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	4	$9	11	11	+0	No	-$3	01-31 19:19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$8	14	14	+0	Yes	-$2	02-05 16:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$8	8	8	+0	No	-$2	04-18 14:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	5	$7	123	67	+56	No	-$3	03-17 19:23
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$7	10	10	+0	No	-$3	03-17 18:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$6	30	30	+0	No	-$2	03-07 12:01
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	2	$6	4	4	+0	80k	+$2	01-31 19:25
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$6	5	5	+0	No	$0	03-08 11:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$6	7	4	+3	Yes	-$2	03-31 20:48
will there be at least 650 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	$0	01-29 20:03
xrp up or down on february 1	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	02-01 15:21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$6	20	20	+0	No	+$2	04-22 14:29
will nvda close between 175 and 180 week february 6 2026	2	$5	12	12	+0	No	+$1	02-05 14:48
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$5	8	8	+0	No	+$1	03-24 18:29
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	01-26 22:08
over 200m hyperliquid buybacks in q1	2	$5	19	19	+0	No	-$3	02-19 12:08
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Silver	+$1	01-23 20:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	04-21 19:16
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	2	$5	43	0	+43	No	-$5	02-14 16:48
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$5	416	0	+416	No	-$5	03-18 13:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$5	12	12	+0	No	+$1	04-18 14:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	04-17 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-01 13:13:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0x2771e6…
05-01 13:11:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x993866…
05-01 13:11:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x86d13e…
05-01 13:10:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x61f52d…
04-27 16:32:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xe112e0…
04-22 16:25:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xa53c04…
04-22 14:30:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xb95345…
04-22 14:29:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xe4c7dd…
04-21 19:18:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$3	0x630a85…
04-21 19:16:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1e07b6…
04-21 16:11:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb05e84…
04-21 14:14:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x36117a…
04-21 12:04:02	Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalieva	Anna Blinkova	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3a9ac7…
04-21 12:03:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x23fd82…
04-19 17:20:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0xf39fa9…
04-18 19:45:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x1e0757…
04-18 14:20:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x71ead6…
04-18 14:20:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xfcbcf4…
04-18 11:12:10	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x0e36f8…
04-17 22:11:06	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1c6075…
04-17 16:15:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x48abba…
04-17 13:02:22	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4229c2…
04-17 12:51:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x496e58…
04-16 19:09:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3eed04…
04-16 11:14:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x36e18d…
04-15 16:59:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe0186b…
04-15 16:54:50	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x3d045b…
04-14 14:46:25	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5c20db…
04-14 14:14:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x032211…
04-14 11:33:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb7b6ad…
04-09 13:44:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x547f51…
04-07 22:52:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc2d8ac…
03-31 20:48:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x18b190…
03-30 19:35:03	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x495e2c…
03-28 22:29:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x388cb9…
03-25 00:20:39	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$2	0x50ef96…
03-24 18:29:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xadc856…
03-24 18:25:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x809799…
03-24 18:24:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x030ef3…
03-24 18:23:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x68a0fd…
03-23 13:18:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x2a5fcb…
03-23 13:17:21	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x214713…
03-23 13:16:51	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x726143…
03-23 13:16:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xfe083a…
03-19 22:26:27	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	65	1¢	$0	0x13f9ee…
03-19 18:53:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x498b42…
03-19 14:07:17	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xf8c1a3…
03-18 13:55:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa48d7c…
03-18 13:16:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x436601…
03-17 19:23:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xe5d6c3…
03-17 19:02:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x5712bb…
03-17 18:44:23	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x736000…
03-17 18:35:09	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xa66da7…
03-16 11:06:05	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x6f8020…
03-16 00:30:47	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x321958…
03-16 00:18:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0x63cc3d…
03-15 23:04:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x575312…
03-15 18:43:49	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xdde3de…
03-15 11:58:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x162f7b…
03-12 21:22:23	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2f667b…
03-12 10:39:27	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x86db23…
03-11 18:36:31	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x761dc0…
03-11 18:36:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x79d1d0…
03-11 14:51:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xec52d6…
03-09 10:49:33	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8520e3…
03-09 10:48:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xebdc1d…
03-08 13:16:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xdfac16…
03-08 11:44:47	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x39e475…
03-08 11:44:37	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x6d214b…
03-08 11:21:31	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc8b857…
03-08 11:18:19	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x5617a5…
03-07 15:08:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x924cb0…
03-07 15:03:55	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb35394…
03-07 15:02:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe7b253…
03-07 12:01:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xbdf38a…
03-05 11:58:43	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6ee6ed…
03-04 19:27:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0534b9…
03-04 14:28:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb1c772…
03-02 16:45:55	bitcoin up or down march 2 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x094707…
03-02 15:34:25	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x771a56…
03-02 10:41:15	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9c650e…
03-02 10:39:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x4b7ca3…
03-01 15:58:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xab3dcf…
02-28 19:37:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x19c502…
02-28 19:36:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xe07974…
02-28 19:23:45	bitcoin up or down february 28 5pm et	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf45a70…
02-28 12:13:35	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xc7ff2c…
02-25 13:53:42	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa3765b…
02-22 14:49:40	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xcc02bc…
02-22 14:17:30	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x954b40…
02-22 13:22:18	Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x6e5212…
02-22 13:09:26	Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x33b2ac…
02-20 22:41:26	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x837e40…
02-19 21:31:56	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x731b25…
02-19 14:03:54	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6792d5…
02-19 14:01:34	bitcoin above 66k on february 19	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xd690c6…
02-19 13:08:38	bitcoin above 66k on february 19	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x66b6bc…
02-19 12:09:44	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xb63bee…
02-19 12:08:34	over 200m hyperliquid buybacks in q1	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x1dba2e…
02-18 17:02:20	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa3ead6…