Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$868

Unrealized P&L

+$180

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

114

Trades

340

lifetime

Volume

$45.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

$341

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-15 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

69% 54% +$813

Politics

18% 39% +$20

Tech

6% 20% -$244

Crypto

3% 40% +$456

Sports

3% 25% -$172

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	No		-643	-$521	53¢	$-341	+$180	06-15 14:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will laurie buckhout be the republican nominee for nc 01	4	$1.5K	903	903	+0	Yes	+$163	02-26 11:11
will trump say kevin warsh during the state of the union address	4	$1.5K	896	896	+0	No	-$108	02-20 05:47
will trump say japan during the state of the union address	4	$1.4K	951	951	+0	No	+$0	02-22 04:10
will borussia dortmund advance to the round of 16	6	$1.3K	765	765	+0	No	+$7	02-20 03:37
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	5	$1.1K	707	707	+0	No	+$156	02-06 06:59
will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31	4	$1.1K	592	592	+0	No	+$20	02-01 11:17
will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	3	$992	746	746	+0	Yes	-$112	03-18 14:32
will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	9	$978	1,119	983	+136	Yes	-$16	03-10 11:52
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 560 579	2	$970	488	487	+1	No	+$0	02-19 08:29
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?	2	$927	0	1,384	-1,384	No	+$927	06-15 13:30
will babydoll dominic fike be the 1 song on spotify this week	3	$909	611	611	+0	No	+$310	03-26 03:01
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	3	$887	934	934	+0	No	-$252	03-16 00:28
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 2026 bafta awards	2	$860	551	551	+0	No	+$22	02-20 04:57
spl taa hil 2025 12 19 hil	5	$808	573	573	+0	No	+$201	02-21 02:16
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$791	586	586	+0	No	-$6	03-31 07:48
will israel or the us target tehran 812	4	$728	745	745	+0	Yes	-$7	02-20 19:48
will performance be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	2	$721	405	405	+0	No	+$8	02-27 05:44
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 385	5	$703	773	773	+0	Yes	+$8	03-26 09:36
will samuel a alito attend the 2026 state of the union address	4	$651	371	341	+30	No	+$20	02-23 06:00
will trump say pam or bondi during the state of the union address 445	4	$643	893	893	+0	No	+$0	02-22 16:46
will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	2	$638	619	619	+0	No	-$6	02-23 05:23
foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	2	$622	486	486	+0	No	-$49	02-24 19:38
scop abe cel 2026 02 04 btts	2	$614	865	865	+0	Yes	+$216	02-27 21:56
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	9	$612	956	955	+1	No	+$6	02-25 09:49
will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in march	3	$592	343	343	+0	No	+$71	03-13 05:02
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 215 239	2	$584	294	294	+0	No	$0	02-20 13:02
another crypto hack over 100m before 2027	5	$579	693	693	+0	Yes	-$22	02-24 17:27
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-10 13:00 UTC	3	$575	1,173	0	+1,173	Up	+$598	02-10 11:47
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 28 be between 2200000 and 2400000	2	$569	517	517	+0	No	+$83	02-27 10:41
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by march 31	5	$558	552	552	+0	Yes	-$28	02-04 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 15:18:33	Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?	No	SELL	581	40¢	$235	0x058b8e…
06-15 14:46:10	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	643	81¢	$521	0x7072e5…
06-15 13:30:31	Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	SELL	516	67¢	$346	0xa7a75d…
06-15 13:30:07	Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	SELL	868	67¢	$582	0xbe4754…
04-12 00:18:15	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	477	34¢	$162	0xbbd47d…
04-12 00:18:01	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	69	34¢	$23	0xdd0d82…
04-10 04:43:51	will ai be said 15 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 568	No	BUY	812	45¢	$365	0xde3730…
04-10 02:04:01	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	546	24¢	$131	0x4fa6a9…
04-09 12:13:27	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	SELL	969	23¢	$223	0x589b08…
04-09 05:04:11	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	969	28¢	$271	0xaccac1…
03-31 07:48:09	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	471	67¢	$316	0x70fe02…
03-31 07:46:41	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	115	67¢	$77	0x1dcd79…
03-30 17:10:49	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	No	SELL	46	82¢	$38	0x42244e…
03-30 16:34:41	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	Yes	SELL	260	13¢	$34	0x5deb52…
03-30 16:34:33	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	Yes	SELL	268	13¢	$35	0x948cab…
03-30 16:34:17	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	Yes	SELL	497	13¢	$66	0x1dac2e…
03-30 14:15:29	chi sha shp 2026 04 17 sha	Yes	SELL	292	48¢	$140	0x29cfac…
03-30 09:47:06	will project hail mary 2nd weekend box office be between 50m and 54m	Yes	BUY	927	40¢	$372	0x31ceee…
03-30 05:51:16	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	586	68¢	$398	0x101792…
03-30 05:44:20	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	No	BUY	46	80¢	$37	0xf983cc…
03-30 01:47:58	chi sha shp 2026 04 17 sha	Yes	BUY	292	42¢	$123	0x8d163a…
03-30 01:04:42	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	Yes	BUY	497	14¢	$72	0x7ce308…
03-30 01:04:34	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	Yes	BUY	528	15¢	$77	0x6c7db9…
03-26 09:36:49	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 385	No	SELL	31	46¢	$14	0xea660b…
03-26 09:35:57	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 385	No	SELL	158	46¢	$73	0xa7bced…
03-26 09:34:59	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 385	No	SELL	419	46¢	$193	0x2c0339…
03-26 09:34:03	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 385	No	SELL	165	46¢	$76	0x474227…
03-26 03:01:55	will babydoll dominic fike be the 1 song on spotify this week	No	SELL	524	100¢	$523	0xbfdd49…
03-26 03:00:59	will babydoll dominic fike be the 1 song on spotify this week	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xf10c1f…
03-25 04:55:19	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 385	No	BUY	773	45¢	$348	0x7af54c…
03-21 02:52:41	will babydoll dominic fike be the 1 song on spotify this week	No	BUY	611	49¢	$299	0xbbb49c…
03-18 14:32:21	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	Yes	SELL	552	59¢	$326	0xb46ebe…
03-18 14:32:03	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	Yes	SELL	194	59¢	$114	0x5c82b6…
03-17 02:16:57	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 20	Yes	BUY	746	74¢	$552	0xce9cb4…
03-16 00:28:31	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	No	SELL	759	34¢	$258	0x8ad58b…
03-16 00:27:23	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	No	SELL	175	34¢	$60	0x8f9794…
03-14 05:40:37	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	No	BUY	934	61¢	$570	0xb90036…
03-13 05:02:23	will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in march	No	SELL	325	97¢	$314	0xf4a33f…
03-13 05:01:23	will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in march	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xf2afca…
03-11 10:29:43	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	46	22¢	$10	0x54d557…
03-11 10:27:57	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	241	22¢	$53	0x9c9b6e…
03-11 10:27:07	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	122	21¢	$26	0xa52100…
03-11 04:41:49	will trump say hottest nation in march	Yes	SELL	301	36¢	$108	0x3b2255…
03-10 11:52:33	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	Yes	SELL	158	86¢	$136	0x90efef…
03-10 11:52:21	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	Yes	SELL	131	86¢	$113	0xab9d89…
03-10 11:52:11	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	Yes	SELL	103	86¢	$89	0xcf6354…
03-10 11:51:55	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	Yes	SELL	92	86¢	$79	0xff5878…
03-10 11:06:13	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	SELL	37	43¢	$16	0x535166…
03-10 11:04:09	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	SELL	88	43¢	$38	0x56397b…
03-10 11:02:13	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	SELL	60	44¢	$26	0xa84f2d…
03-06 08:58:15	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0x5d63fb…
03-06 08:04:41	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	BUY	409	22¢	$90	0x384ac7…
03-06 07:49:51	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	BUY	185	43¢	$80	0xdbc8a1…
03-06 07:13:11	will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in march	No	BUY	343	76¢	$261	0x960ccb…
03-06 05:51:09	will trump say hottest nation in march	Yes	BUY	301	32¢	$96	0x7fdfc1…
03-06 04:56:55	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	Yes	BUY	484	83¢	$402	0x56cbb7…
02-28 11:26:59	us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	No	SELL	268	77¢	$206	0x19d12c…
02-28 07:13:49	us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	No	BUY	268	85¢	$228	0x1725a8…
02-28 06:50:33	will leavitt say hockey during the next white house press briefing	No	BUY	550	38¢	$209	0xd429c8…
02-28 03:32:41	will asa buck be the republican nominee for nc 01	Yes	SELL	371	12¢	$45	0x5fcfdf…
02-28 02:07:31	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	No	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x305728…
02-28 02:04:27	will asa buck be the republican nominee for nc 01	Yes	BUY	371	11¢	$41	0x6c8aed…
02-28 01:37:15	will the pheu thai party pt win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x181d9c…
02-28 00:47:37	will amy madigan win best supporting actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0x72e6fc…
02-27 21:56:05	scop abe cel 2026 02 04 btts	Yes	SELL	865	48¢	$415	0x2b760d…
02-27 19:55:37	will trump say tax 3 times in corpus christi on friday 591 498	No	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0x23facf…
02-27 19:54:43	will trump say tax 3 times in corpus christi on friday 591 498	No	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0x151354…
02-27 19:53:47	will trump say tax 3 times in corpus christi on friday 591 498	No	SELL	663	6¢	$40	0xcbd930…
02-27 14:34:53	will donald trumps tie be another color 653	No	SELL	89	73¢	$65	0xd0b7c3…
02-27 14:33:41	will donald trumps tie be another color 653	No	SELL	227	73¢	$166	0xda6b84…
02-27 14:32:49	will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	Yes	SELL	123	59¢	$73	0x80e6fd…
02-27 14:32:29	will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	Yes	SELL	332	59¢	$196	0x15c7f8…
02-27 14:32:23	will donald trumps tie be another color 653	No	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0x3dc858…
02-27 14:20:11	will ethena dip to 0pt08 by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0x88e692…
02-27 13:45:17	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	254	16¢	$41	0xb2f17c…
02-27 13:44:09	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	332	16¢	$53	0xb5259d…
02-27 11:55:27	will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	123	11¢	$14	0xbcb520…
02-27 11:55:13	will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	332	11¢	$37	0x099f64…
02-27 11:37:53	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	586	16¢	$94	0xcd9a05…
02-27 11:27:47	will trump say tax 3 times in corpus christi on friday 591 498	No	BUY	742	10¢	$74	0x658880…
02-27 10:41:41	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 28 be between 2200000 and 2400000	Yes	SELL	517	63¢	$326	0x4942ea…
02-27 09:46:41	will donald trumps tie be another color 653	No	BUY	346	73¢	$253	0x651f5b…
02-27 06:25:20	cbb sill evans 2026 01 25 spread away 4pt5	Evansville Aces	BUY	309	88¢	$272	0x952df0…
02-27 06:20:50	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 28 be between 2200000 and 2400000	Yes	BUY	517	47¢	$243	0x0c6960…
02-27 05:54:36	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	No	SELL	193	83¢	$160	0x313422…
02-27 05:44:52	will performance be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	SELL	405	90¢	$364	0xd1f3ae…
02-27 05:22:32	will california be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 821	Yes	SELL	352	77¢	$271	0x14aac7…
02-27 04:33:02	will performance be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	405	88¢	$356	0x3a8c90…
02-27 04:15:20	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	No	BUY	193	89¢	$172	0x0c5ed3…
02-27 03:51:04	will california be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 821	Yes	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0xe77c91…
02-27 03:50:56	will california be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 821	Yes	BUY	299	17¢	$51	0x265834…
02-27 03:17:46	will donald trumps tie be red 438	Yes	SELL	316	72¢	$228	0x5c0586…
02-27 02:53:44	will come see me in the good light win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	147	15¢	$22	0xa41525…
02-27 02:53:22	will come see me in the good light win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	366	15¢	$55	0xcb14cd…
02-27 02:53:04	will come see me in the good light win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	341	15¢	$51	0x443ff1…
02-27 01:55:10	scop abe cel 2026 02 04 btts	Yes	BUY	865	23¢	$199	0x5ca7c7…
02-27 01:52:20	will come see me in the good light win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	273	13¢	$35	0x0344c4…
02-27 01:52:04	will come see me in the good light win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	366	13¢	$48	0x449714…
02-27 01:51:48	will come see me in the good light win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	215	13¢	$28	0xd6a176…
02-27 01:44:44	will donald trumps tie be red 438	Yes	BUY	316	51¢	$161	0xbee300…